Population Research and Policy Review

, Volume 22, Issue 4, pp 297–331

Blowin' Down the Road: Investigating Bilateral Causality Between Dust Storms and Population in the Great Plains

  • Glenn Deane
  • Myron P. Gutmann


Recently, the National Academy of Sciences concluded “it is clear thatpopulation and the environment are usually interrelated . . . ”. This paper directlytests the expected interrelationship using annual county-level population estimatesprovided by the U.S. Census Bureau and annual counts of dust storms from the1960s, '70s, and '80s at weather stations situated throughout the U.S. GreatPlains. In doing so, it implements a research design that extends methods (farremoved from conventional demography) for pure time series analysis withmultilevel regression models. The result is a method for causal modeling in paneldata that produces, in this application, evidence of bilateral causality betweenpopulation size and deleterious environmental conditions.

climate change granger causality population and environment U.S.Great Plains 


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Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

Authors and Affiliations

  • Glenn Deane
    • 1
  • Myron P. Gutmann
    • 2
  1. 1.Department of Sociology and Lewis Mumford Center for Comparative Urban and Regional ResearchSUNY University at AlbanyUSA
  2. 2.Department of History and Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social ResearchInstitute for Social Research, The University of MichiganUSA

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