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Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry

, Volume 42, Issue 1, pp 23–40 | Cite as

Short-Term Ozone Forecasting with a Network Model System during Summer 1999

  • Hermann J. Jakobs
  • Stefan Tilmes
  • Andre Heidegger
  • Klaus Nester
  • Gerhard Smiatek
Article

Abstract

Within the framework of the Tropospheric Research Programme (TFS) four working groups in Germany (University of Stuttgart, University of Cologne, Research Center Karlsruhe, German Weather Service) formed a network developing a model system for chemistry transport calculations on different scales. The network was optimized, based on each module and combined for the different interfaces in order to perform daily preoperational ozone forecasts and its precursors at the German Weather Service in summer 1999 (May through September). The setup of the model system, the interfaces and changes of each module are described. The results of the whole preoperational episode are displayed and discussed. Main efforts were done analyzing the model climate statistics and the verification of the predictions with an extensive data base of observations at stations in Germany. The results of this extensive verification demonstrate the relatively good performance of the entire forecast system.

air pollution chemistry transport models ozone forecast 

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Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002

Authors and Affiliations

  • Hermann J. Jakobs
    • 1
  • Stefan Tilmes
    • 2
  • Andre Heidegger
    • 3
  • Klaus Nester
    • 4
  • Gerhard Smiatek
    • 5
  1. 1.Institute for Geophysics and Meteorology, Project EURADUniversity of CologneCologneGermany
  2. 2.German Weather ServiceOffenbachGermany
  3. 3.Institute of Energy Economics and Rational Use of Energy (IER)University of StuttgartStuttgartGermany
  4. 4.Institute for Meteorology and Climate ResearchResearch Centre KarlsruheKarlsruheGermany
  5. 5.Fraunhofer Institute for Atmospheric Environmental Research (IFU)Garmisch-PartenkirchenGermany

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