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Erkenntnis

, Volume 55, Issue 2, pp 277–305 | Cite as

Resurrecting Logical Probability

  • J. Franklin
Article

Abstract

The logical interpretation of probability, or ``objective Bayesianism''– the theory that (some) probabilitiesare strictly logical degrees of partial implication – is defended.The main argument against it is that it requires the assignment ofprior probabilities, and that any attempt to determine them by symmetryvia a ``principle of insufficient reason'' inevitably leads to paradox.Three replies are advanced: that priors are imprecise or of little weight, sothat disagreement about them does not matter, within limits; thatit is possible to distinguish reasonable from unreasonable priorson logical grounds; and that in real cases disagreement about priorscan usually be explained by differences in the background information.It is argued also that proponents of alternative conceptions ofprobability, such as frequentists, Bayesians and Popperians, areunable to avoid committing themselves to the basic principles oflogical probability.

Keywords

Logical Probability 
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Copyright information

© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2001

Authors and Affiliations

  • J. Franklin
    • 1
  1. 1.School of MathematicsThe University of New South WalesSydneyAustralia

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