Abstract
We develop a spectral measure to trace the relative distance and direction of information loss resulting from temporal aggregation of a stationary time series process. Temporal aggregation is utilized as not only the reduction in the data size but also the summarization of process information. However, it is inevitable that the aggregation leads to substantial structural changes, the so-called information loss on the original process structure. Using the proposed measure, we quantify the aggregation effect in terms of the relative distance of the standardized spectral densities between “the original process to white noise” and “the aggregate process to white noise.” In addition, we suggest a guideline to identify the marginal order of temporal aggregation where the aggregation produces less information loss while providing more effective data reduction. As an illustration, we analyze the monthly CRSP log returns between January 1926 and December 2008.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.











References
Abraham B (1982) Temporal aggregation and time series. Int Stat Rev 50:285–291
Amemiya T, Wu RY (1972) The effect of aggregation on prediction in the autoregressive model. J Am Stat Assoc 67:628–632
Anderson TW (1993) Goodness of fit tests for spectral distributions. Ann Stat 21:803–847
Breitung J, Swanson NR (2002) Temporal aggregation and spurious instantaneous causality in multiple time series models. J Time Ser Anal 23:651–665
Brewer KRW (1973) Some consequences of temporal aggregation and systematic sampling for ARMA and ARMAX models. J Econ 1:133–154
Drost FC, Nijman TE (1993) Temporal aggregation of GARCH processes. Econometrica 61:909–927
Granger CWJ, Lee TH (1999) The effect of aggregation on nonlinearity. Econ Rev 18:259–269
Hafner CM (2008) Temporal aggregation of multivariate GARCH processes. J Econ 142:467–483
Lee BH, Wei WWS (2017) The use of temporally aggregated data on detecting a mean change of a time series process. Commun Stat Theory Methods 46:5851–5871
Lütkepohl H (1984) Linear aggregation of vector autoregressive moving average processes. Econ Lett 14:345–350
Marcellino M (1999) Some consequences of temporal aggregation in empirical analysis. J Bus Econ Stat 17:129–136
Rossana RJ, Seater JJ (1995) Temporal aggregation and economic time series. J Bus Econ Stat 13:441–451
Stram DO, Wei WWS (1986) Temporal aggregation in the ARIMA process. J Time Ser Anal 7:279–292
Teles P, Wei WWS (2000) The effects of temporal aggregation on tests of linearity of a time series. Comput Stat Data Anal 34:91–103
Teles P, Wei WWS (2002) The use of aggregate time series in testing for gaussianity. J Time Ser Anal 23:95–116
Teles P, Wei WWS, Crato N (1999) The use of aggregate series in testing for long memory. Bull Int Stat Inst 3:341–342
Teles P, Wei WWS, Hodgess EN (2008) Testing a unit root based on aggregate time series. Commun Stat Theory Methods 37:565–590
Tiao GC (1972) Asymptotic behaviour of temporal aggregates of time series. Biometrika 59:525–531
Tiao GC, Wei WWS (1976) Effect of temporal aggregation on the dynamic relationship of two time series variables. Biometrika 63:513–523
Tsay RS (2010) Analysis of financial time series, 3rd edn. Wiley, Hoboken
Wei WWS (1978a) The effect of temporal aggregation on parameter estimation in distributed lag model. J Econ 8:237–246
Wei WWS (1978b) Seasonal analysis of economic time series, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC, chap Some consequences of temporal aggregation in seasonal time series models, pp 433–444
Wei WWS (2006) Time series analysis: univariate and multivariate methods, 2nd edn. Addison Wesley, Boston
Weiss A (1984) Systematic sampling and temporal aggregation in time series models. J Econ 26:271–281
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lee, B.H., Park, J. A Spectral Measure for the Information Loss of Temporal Aggregation. J Stat Theory Pract 14, 34 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42519-020-00099-3
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42519-020-00099-3
Keywords
- Temporal aggregation
- Information loss
- Spectral measure
- Marginal aggregation
- CRSP log returns