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Impact of cross-provincial population migration on population aging in China: 2000–2020

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Abstract

This study analyses the impact of cross-provincial migration on population ageing in different provinces of China using data from the last three population censuses (2000–2020). The results suggest that the increasing number of cross-provincial migrant populations and the ageing population structure have affected the pattern of ageing in each province. Fewer provinces have reduced the level of ageing because of population migration and numerous provinces have raised the height of ageing. Thus, cross-provincial population migration narrows the gap in the volume of the ageing population across provinces. The impact of cross-provincial population migration on the difference between the proportion of permanent resident and registered (hukou) population has been increasing. Changes in cross-provincial population migration have revised previous conclusions about the impact of population migration on population ageing. With net cross-provincial population inflows, some provinces increase the volume of ageing of population instead of decreasing, and with net cross-provincial population outflows, some provinces decrease the volume of ageing population instead of increasing it.

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Data availability

Data are available in the lab jointly supported by China’s National Bureau of Statistics and Nationl Survey Research Center at Renmin University of China.

Notes

  1. We are grateful to China’s National Bureau of Statistics and Nationl Survey Research Center at Renmin University of China for providing access to the Population Census Data.Any opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of the authors. We declare that we have no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this article.

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Funding

This work was supported by National Social Science Found of China [23CSH060].

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Population Development Studies Center, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China

    Hangkong Zhang

  2. School of Public Administration, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, China

    Weikang Jiang

  3. School of Public Administration, Beihang University, Beijing, China

    Lei Yang

  4. School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China

    Huiping Zheng

Authors
  1. Hangkong Zhang
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  2. Weikang Jiang
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  3. Lei Yang
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  4. Huiping Zheng
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Lei Yang.

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All authors declare that there are no financial or non-financial interests that are directly or indirectly related to this work.

Ethical approval

Ethical approval and consent were not required as this study was based on publicly available data from the China National Bureau of Statistics and micro-survey data from the Seventh China National Population Census in 2020.

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Zhang, H., Jiang, W., Yang, L. et al. Impact of cross-provincial population migration on population aging in China: 2000–2020. China popul. dev. stud. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42379-024-00150-x

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