Abstract
Ethiopia has abundant energy resources; however, only 45% of its population has access to energy. The hydropower potential assessment and development in the various river basins of Ethiopia needs more attention. Therefore, this study proposed a strategy to assess and implement the hydropower in the data-scarce region of Ethiopia, the Omo-Gibe basin. In this study, the hydropower potential was assessed using the Geographic Information System and Soil and Water Assessment Tool through the following procedure: (1) the stream network for the Winike river basin was generated; (2) the hydraulic head of second-order and above streams was estimated; (3) the hydropower potential sites with the hydraulic head of 20 m and above were identified; (4) the SWAT parameters were calibrated, validated, and regionalized in the study basin; (5) the flow duration curve was developed; (6) finally, the hydropower potential of each site was estimated. Based on the analysis, 103 potential sites were found to be suitable in the study region based on the available discharge and hydraulic head ranging between 20 and 81 m. The run-of-river hydropower potential of the identified sites was determined by integrating the results of the hydraulic head and dependable flow. In general, the overall analysis showed that the total hydropower potential of the Winike river was found to be 183.16, 125.96, and 33.03 MW at 50, 75, and 90% dependability, respectively. Moreover, the GIS-based multi-criteria decision analysis was considered to rank the potential sites based on their suitability for implementing the hydropower projects in the study region.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability statement
The datasets generated and/or analyzed during this study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
References
Abbaspour, K. C. (2015). SWAT ‐ CUP SWAT Calibration and Uncertainty Programs- User Manual. Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology.
Adriel, J., Mendoza, C., Anaharat, T., & Alcazar, C. (2021). Calibration and uncertainty analysis for modelling runoff in the Tambo River Basin, using sequential uncertainty fitting Ver-2 (SUFI-2) Algorithm, Peru. Air, Soil and Water Research, 14, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1177/1178622120988707
Alcalá, G., Grisales-Noreña, L. F., Hernandez-Escobedo, Q., Muñoz-Criollo, J. J., & Revuelta-Acosta, J. D. (2021). Shp assessment for a run-of-river (Ror) scheme using a rectangular mesh sweeping approach (msa) based on gis. Energies, 14(11), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14113095
Aneseyee, A. B., Elias, E., Soromessa, T., & Feyisa, G. L. (2020). Land use/land cover change effect on soil erosion and sediment delivery in the Winike watershed, Omo Gibe Basin Ethiopia. Science of the Total Environment, 728, 138776. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138776
Arnold, J. G., Moriasi, D. N., Gassman, P. W., Abbaspour, K. C., White, M. J., Srinivasan, R., Santhi, C., Harmel, R. D., Van Griensven, A., Van Liew, M. W., Kannan, N., & Jha, M. K. (2012). SWAT: Model use, calibration, and validation. Transactions of the ASABE, 55(4), 1491–1508.
Arnold, J. G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R. S., & Williams, J. R. (1998). Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment Part I: Model development. American Water Resource Association, 34(1), 73–89.
Cai, X., Ye, F., & Gholinia, F. (2020). Application of artificial neural network and Soil and Water Assessment Tools in evaluating power generation of small hydropower stations. Energy Reports, 6, 2106–2118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2020.08.010
Cibin, R., & Sudheer, K. P. (2010). Sensitivity and identifiability of stream flow generation. Hydrological Processes, 24(April), 1133–1148. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7568
Damtew, Y., & Getenet, G. (2019). Assessment of hydropower potential of selected rivers in North Shoa Zone , Amhara Regional State , Ethiopia. American Journal of Energy Research, 7(1), 15–18. https://doi.org/10.12691/ajer-7-1-2
Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y., Seyboth, K., Eickemeier, P., Matschoss, P., Hansen, G., Kadner, S., Schlömer, S., Zwickel, T., & Stechow, C. Von. (2011). IPCC, 2011: summary for policymakers. In: IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.5860/CHOICE.49-6309
El-aziz, T. M. A., & El-salam, N. M. A. (2007). Characteristic equations for hydropower stations of main barrages in Egypt. In Eleventh International Water Technology Conference, IWTC11.
Eromo, S., Adane, C., Santosh, A., & Pingale, M. (2016). Assessment of the impact of climate change on surface hydrological processes using SWAT : A case study of Omo-Gibe river basin Ethiopia. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 2(4), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-016-0257-9
Gergel’ováKuzevičováKuzevič, M. ŽŠ. (2013). A gis based assessment of hydropower potential in hornád basin. Acta Montanistica Slovaca, 18(2), 91–100.
Girma, Z. (2016). Techno-economic feasibility of small scale hydropower in Ethiopia: The case of the Kulfo River, in Southern Ethiopia. Journal of Renewable Energy, 2016, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/8037892
IEA. (2019). Africa Energy Outlook Report. www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-2019
IHA. (2020). Hydropower Status Report 2020. In International Hydropower Association. https://www.hydropower.org/sites/default/files/publications-docs/2019_hydropower_status_report_0.pdf
Kardhana, H., Arya, D. K., Hadihardaja, I. K., Widyaningtyas, R. E., & Lubis, A. (2017). Small hydropower spot prediction using SWAT and a diversion algorithm, case study: Upper Citarum Basin. AIP Conference Proceedings. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5011625
Khalid, K., Fozi, M., Faiza, N., Rahman, A., & Radzali, M. (2016). Sensitivity analysis in watershed model using SUFI-2 algorithm. Procedia Engineering, 162, 441–447. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2016.11.086
Khan, M. (2015). Run-of-river hydropower potential of Kunhar River Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Meteorology, 12(23), 19–26.
Kim, D., Jung, I., & Chun, J. A. (2016). A comparison between parameter regionalization and model calibration with flow duration curves for prediction in ungauged catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-487
Korkovelos, A., Mentis, D., Siyal, S. H., Arderne, C., Rogner, H., Bazilian, M., Howells, M., Beck, H., & De Roo, A. (2018). A geospatial assessment of small-scale hydropower potential in sub-saharan Africa. Energies. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11113100
Kusre, B. C., Baruah, D. C., Bordoloi, P. K., & Patra, S. C. (2010). Assessment of hydropower potential using GIS and hydrological modeling technique in Kopili River basin in Assam (India). Applied Energy, 87(1), 298–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.07.019
Mehari, K. (2020). GIS Based Assessment of hydropower potential (A case study on Gumara watershed, Ethiopia). Americican Scientific Research Journal for Engineering,Technology, and Sciences(ASRJETS), 69(1), 26–43.
Ministry of Water Irrigation and Energy (MoWIE). (2019). National Electrification Program 2.0. https://www.east-africa-summit.com/sites/default/files/clarion_www_poweringafricatanzania_com/pdfs/nep_2.0_ethiopia.pdf
Mondal, M. A. H., Bryan, E., Ringler, C., & Rosegrant, M. (2017). Ethiopian power sector development: Renewable based universal electricity access and export strategies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 75(November 2016), 11–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.10.041
Moreira, L. L., Schwamback, D., & Rigo, D. (2018). Sensitivity analysis of the soil and water assessment tools ( SWAT ) model in streamflow modeling in a rural river basin. Journal of Applied Science. https://doi.org/10.4136/1980-993X
Othman, A. A., Al-maamar, A. F., Ali, D., Amin, M., Liesenberg, V., Hasan, S. E., Obaid, A. K., & Al-quraishi, A. M. F. (2020). GIS-based modeling for selection of dam sites in the Kurdistan Region , Iraq. T. J. Geo-Inf. 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9040244
Pandey, A., Lalrempuia, D., & Jain, S. K. (2015). Assessment of hydropower potential using spatial technology and SWAT modelling in the Mat River, southern Mizoram India. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(10), 1651–1665. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.943669
Ritchie, H. (2019). Access to Energy - Our World in Data. OurWorldInData.Org. https://ourworldindata.org/energy-access
Rospriandana, N., & Fujii, M. (2017). Assessment of small hydropower potential in the Ciwidey subwatershed, Indonesia: A GIS and hydrological modeling approach. Hydrological Research Letters, 11(1), 6–11. https://doi.org/10.3178/hrl.11.6
Sammartano, V., Liuzzo, L., & Freni, G. (2019). Identification of potential locations for run-of-river hydropower plants using a GIS-based procedure. Energies, 12(18), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12183446
Sao, D., Kato, T., Le Hoang, Tu., Thouk, P., Fitriyah, A., & Oeurng, C. (2020). Water Evaluation of different objective functions used in the SUFI-2 calibration process of SWAT-CUP on water balance analysis: a case study of the Pursat River Basin Cambodia. Water, 12(2901), 1–22.
Schuol, J., Abbaspour, K. C., Srinivasan, R., & Yang, H. (2008). Estimation of freshwater availability in the West African sub-continent using the SWAT hydrologic model. Journal of Hydrology, 352(1–2), 30–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.12.025
Shepard, D. (1968). A two-dimensional interpolation function for irregularly-spaced data i ~ j ~. 1968 ACM National Conf., New York, 517–524.
Sloboda, M., & Swayne, D. (2011). Autocalibration of environmental process models using a PAC learning hypothesis. In IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, 359 AICT, 528–534. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22285-6_57
Swain, J. B., & Patra, K. C. (2017). Streamflow estimation in ungauged catchments using regionalization techniques. Journal of Hydrology, 554, 420–433. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.08.054
Tegegne, G., Kim, Y. O., Seo, S. B., & Kim, Y. (2019). Hydrological modelling uncertainty analysis for different flow quantiles: A case study in two hydro-geographically different watersheds. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64(4), 473–489. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1587562
Teshome, A., Tibebu, Y., & Addis, E. (2020). Assessment of hydropower potential using geospatial technology in a case study of Guna-Tana Landscape Upper Abay Basin Ethiopia. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-63615/v1
Thavhana, M. P., Savage, M. J., & Moeletsi, M. E. (2018). SWAT model uncertainty analysis, calibration and validation for runoff simulation in the Luvuvhu River catchment, South Africa. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 105, 115–124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2018.03.012
Thin, K. K., Zin, W. W., San, Z. M. L. T., Kawasaki, A., Moiz, A., & Bhagabati, S. S. (2020). Estimation of run-of-river hydropower potential in the myitnge river basin. Journal of Disaster Research, 15(3), 267–276. https://doi.org/10.20965/jdr.2020.p0267
Tian, Y., Zhang, F., Yuan, Z., Che, Z., & Zafetti, N. (2020). Assessment power generation potential of small hydropower plants using GIS software. Energy Reports, 6, 1393–1404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2020.05.023
Vogel, R. M., & Fennessey, N. M. (1995). Flow Duration Curves Ii: A review of applications in water resources planning. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 31(6), 1029–1039. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1995.tb03419.x
Winchell, M., Srinivasan, R., Di Luzio, M., & Arnold, J. (2013). ArcSWAT Interface For SWAT2012: User’s Guide. In Texas Agricultural Experiment Station and United States Department of Agriculture, Temple, TX.
World Bank. (2015). World Development Indicators | The World Bank Group A to Z 2015. In World Bank Group elibrary. https://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/pdf/10.1596/978-1-4648-0382-6_world_development_indicators
Zaidi, A. Z., & Khan, M. (2018). Identifying high potential locations for run-of-the-river hydroelectric power plants using GIS and digital elevation models. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 89(October 2017), 106–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.02.025
Acknowledgements
The authors gratefully acknowledge Addis Ababa Science and Technology University (AASTU) for providing the facilities used in this study.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this article.
Supplementary Information
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Moshe, A., Tegegne, G. Assessment of run-of-river hydropower potential in the data-scarce region, Omo-Gibe Basin, Ethiopia. Int J Energ Water Res 6, 531–542 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42108-022-00192-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42108-022-00192-2