Abstract
This paper investigated the impacts of cyclones and deforestation which often cause heavy floods during and after the cyclones on production of the three groups of food crops in Vietnam ―cereals, tuber crops, and other crops. Collecting provincial data on the number and intensity of the cyclones that landed in Vietnam, we employed a combination of instrumental variable and seemingly unrelated regression. The results showed that cereals suffered the heaviest loss, tuber crops the second, and other crops the least. We also found that deforestation had negative effects on the production of these food crops, both directly and indirectly by causing heavy flooding during and after a cyclone event.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Arellano M, Bond S (1991) Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Rev Econ Stud 58:277–297
Arellano M, Bover O (1995) Another look at the instrumental variables estimation of error-components models. J Econ 68:29–51
Arndt C, Tarp F, Thurlow J (2015) The economic costs of climate change: a multi-sector impact assessment for Vietnam. Sustain 7(4):4131–4145. doi:10.3390/su7044131
Arouri M, Nguyen C, Youssef AB (2015) Natural disasters, household welfare, and resilience: evidence from rural Vietnam. World Dev 70:59–77
Blanc E, Strobl E (2016) Assessing the impact of typhoons on Rice production in the Philippines. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 55:993–100
Bluedorn JC (2005) Hurricanes: intertemporal trade and capital shocks. Oxford Economics Working Paper No. 2005-241. SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=786804 or doi:10.2139/ssrn.786804
Bond S (2002) Dynamic panel data models: a guide to micro data methods and practice. Port Econ J 1(2):141–162
Brown O, Crawford A, Hammill A (2006) Natural disasters and resource rights: building resilience, rebuilding lives. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/tas_natres_disasters.pdf
Chau VN, Holland J, Cassel S, Tuohy M (2013) Using GIS to map impacts upon agriculture from extreme floods in Vietnam. Appl Geogr 41:65–74
Coffman M, Noy I (2012) Hurricane Iniki: measuring the long-term economic impact of a natural disaster using synthetic control. Environ Dev Econ 17(2):187–205
Emanuel K (2005) Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature 4:686–688
Granvorka C, Strobl E (2010) The impact of hurricanes strikes on the tourism in the Caribbean. UWI Conference Paper, 1-21, http://sta.uwi.edu/conferences/09/salises/documents/C%20Granvorka.pdf
Greene, W. (2003). Econometric Analysis, Fifth Edition. Pearson/Wesley, Princeton
Hammill A, Brown O, Crawford A (2005) Forests, natural disasters, and human securities. International Institute for Sustainable Development website, http://www.iisd.org/pdf/2005/security_arborvitae27.pdf
Kennedy P (2008) A Guide to Econometrics, 6th edn. MIT Press, MA
Koide N, Robertson A, Ines A, Jian J-H, DeWitt D, Lucero A (2013) Prediction of Rice production in the Philippines using seasonal climate forecasts. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 52:552–569
Neumann J, Emanuel K, Ravela S, Ludwig L, Verly C (2015) Risks of coastal storm surge and the effect of sea level rise in the Red River Delta, Vietnam. Sustain 7(6):6553–6572. doi:10.3390/su7066553
Ngọc Cẩm (2011) Nạn phá rừng và những hiểm họa khủng khiếp. Tạp chí Cao su Việt Nam, tháng 1, 2011. 13–31
Noy I, Vu TB (2010) The Economics of natural disasters in a developing country: the case of Vietnam. J Asian Econ 21:345–354
Rafferty JP, Pletcher K (2016) Super typhoon Haiyan. Britanica Website. https://www.britannica.com/event/Super-Typhoon-Haiyan
Shaw R (2006) Community-based climate change adaptation in Vietnam: inter-linkages of environment, disaster, and human security. In Multiple dimension of global environmental changes, edited by S. Sonak, TERI Publication, 521–547
Strobl E (2008) The macro-economic impact of natural disasters in developing countries: evidence from hurricane strikes in the central American and Caribbean region. Development Durable Discussion Paper
Tol R, Leek F (1999) Economic analysis of natural disasters. In: Downing T, Olsthoorn A, Tol R (eds) Climate change and risk. Routledge, London, pp 308–327
Vu TB, Im E (2014) Resilience in the face of the nature's furor: natural disasters and Vietnamese households. J Econ Dev No 219:02–14
Wassmann R, Nguyen XH, Chu TH, To, P.T (2004) See level rise affecting the Vietnamese Mekong Delta: water elevation in the flood season and implications for Rice production. Climate Change 66(1):89–107
Wooldridge JM (2013) Introductory econometrics: a modern approach. South-Western, Ohio
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Appendix
Appendix
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Vu, T.B., Im, E.I., Hayashi, K. et al. Cyclones, Deforestation, and Production of Food Crops in Vietnam. EconDisCliCha 1, 245–262 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-017-0010-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-017-0010-5