Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Markov modeling and reliability allocation in wind turbine for availability enhancement

  • Original Research
  • Published:
Life Cycle Reliability and Safety Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Necessity has compelled man to improve upon the art of tapping wind energy for power generation: an apt reliever of strain exerted on the non-renewable fossil fuel. Even though wind power is the most accomplished green energy source, reliability and availability are still the primary issues for its successful generation. The components of the wind energy system (WES) have different characteristics which influence the system’s reliability at different levels. Accurate modeling of WES is very essential to study about the possible failure probability which reflects in the availability and economics of operation. This paper aims to present a suitable Markov model for a WES to incorporate the characteristics of condition monitoring (CM). In this work, the accuracy of the developed model is improved by considering failure and repair rates of all the components. A sensitivity analysis is performed using the developed model to learn the characteristics of turbine components that are likely to have an impact on the system’s reliability the most. Results reveal that the components with high failure rates and high mean down times are more critical to reliability. The paper also presents reliability allocation technique as a novel method to improve the availability of WES.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abeygunawarane SK (2013) Probabilistic models for reliability assessment of ageing equipment and maintenance optimization. Ph.D thesis, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National University of Singapore

  • Aizpurua JI, Catterson VM, Papadopoulos Y, Chiacchio F, D’Urso D (2017) Supporting group maintenance through prognostics-enhanced dynamic dependability prediction. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 168:171–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amirat Y, Benbouzid MEH, Bensaker B, Wamkeue R (2007) Condition monitoring and fault diagnosis in wind energy conversion systems: a review. IEEE International Electric machines & Drives Conference, IEEE, Antalya, Turkey, 3–5 May 2007. https://doi.org/10.1109/IEMDC.2007.383639

  • Besnard F, Fischer K, Bertling L (2010) Reliability—centred asset maintenance—a step towards enhanced reliability, availability, and profitability of wind power plants. In: Proceedings of IEEE PES innovative smart grid technologies conference, Europe, Gothenberg, Sweden, pp 1–8

  • Billinton R, Allan RN (2007) Reliability evaluation of engineering systems, concepts and techniques, 2nd edn. Springer, India Ltd, Berlin

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Crabtree CJ, Feng Y, Tavner PJ (2010) Detecting incipient wind turbine gearbox failure: a signal analysis method for on-line condition monitoring. In: Proceedings of European wind energy conference (EWEC2010), pp 154–156

  • Cruz JA (2016) Applicability and limitations of reliability allocation methods. NASA, Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, pp 1–20

    Google Scholar 

  • Dodson B, Nolan D (1999) Reliability engineering handbook. Marcel Dekker, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • El-Metwally M, EL-Shimy M, Mohamed A, Elshahed M, Sayed A (2017) Reliability assessment of wind turbine operating concepts using reliability block diagrams (RBDs). In: Proceedings of 19th international middle east power systems conference (MEPCON), Egypt, pp 19–21

  • Fischer K, Besnard F, Bertling L (2012) Reliability-centered maintenance for wind turbines based on statistical analysis and practical experience. IEEE Trans Energy Convers 27:184–195

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • García FP, Tobias AM, Pinar JM, Papaelias M (2012) Condition monitoring of wind turbines: techniques and methods. Renew. Energy 46:169–178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hines V, Ogilvie A, Bond C (2013) Continuous reliability enhancement for wind (CREW) database: wind turbine reliability benchmark report. Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Holub R, Vintr Z (2002) Applied reliability engineering volume 1—specification of dependability requirements. Military Academy, Brno

    Google Scholar 

  • International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook (2016) Online. http://www.iea.org. Accessed 08 Nov 2018

  • International Renewable Energy Agency Report (2017) Online. http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_REthinking_Energy_2017. Accessed 14 Nov 2018

  • Kozine I, Christensen P, Winther-Jensen M (2000) Failure database and tools for wind turbine availability and reliability analyses. The application of reliability data for selected wind turbines. Forskningscenter Risoe.Risoe-R; No.1200(EN)), Denmark

  • Leite AP, Borge LTC, Falcão DM (2006) Probabilistic wind farms generation model for reliability studies applied to Brazilian sites. IEEE Trans Power Syst 21(4):1493–1501

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martin R, Lazakis I, Barbouchi S, Johanning L (2016) Sensitivity analysis of offshore wind farm operation and maintenance cost and availability. Renew Energy 85:1226–1236

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McMillan D, Ault GW (2007) Towards quantification of condition monitoring benefit for wind turbine generators. In: Proceedings of European wind energy conference, Milan

  • McMillan D, Ault GW (2008) Condition monitoring benefit for onshore wind turbines: sensitivity to operational parameters. IET Renew Power Gener 2(1):60–72

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khan MM, Iqbal MT, Khan F (2005) Reliability and condition monitoring of a wind turbine. IEEE Int Conf CCECE/CCGEI, Saskatoon, pp 1978–1981

    Google Scholar 

  • Nilsson J, Bertling L (2007) Maintenance management of wind power systems using condition monitoring systems—life cycle cost analysis for two case studies. IEEE Trans Energy Convers 22(1):223–229

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pfaffel S, Faulstich S, Rohrig K (2017) Performance and reliability of wind turbines: a review. Energies 10:1–27

    Google Scholar 

  • Rajeevan AK, Shouri PV, Nair U (2016) ARIMA based wind speed modeling for wind farm reliability analysis and cost estimation. J Electri Eng Technol 11(4):869–877

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ribrant J (2006) Reliability Performance and Maintenance—a survey of failures in wind power systems. Master’s thesis, School of Electrical Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden

  • Ribrant J, Bertling L (2007) Survey of failures in wind power systems with focus on Swedish wind power plants during 1997–2005. IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, pp 1–8

  • Scheu MN, Kolios A, Fischer T, Brennan F (2017) Influence of statistical uncertainty of component reliability estimations on offshore wind farm availability. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 168:28–39

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spinato F, Tavner PJ, van Bussel GJW, Koutoulakos E (2009) Reliability of wind turbine subassemblies. IET Renew Power Gen 3(4):387–401

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Srinath LS (2005) Reliability engineering, 3rd edn. East-West Press, New Delhi

    Google Scholar 

  • Tavner PJ, Xiang JP (2005) Wind turbine reliability, how does it compare with other embedded generation sources. In: IEEE international conference on reliability of transmission and distribution networks (RTDN 2005): London, pp 243–248

  • Tavner PJ, Spinato F, van Bussel GJW, Koutoulakos E (2008) Reliability of different wind turbine concepts with relevance to offshore application. In: European wind energy conference, Brussels

  • Tchakoua P, Wamkeue R, Tameghe TA, Ekemb G (2013) A review of concepts and methods for wind turbines condition monitoring. In: Proceedings of the 2013 World congress on computer and information technology (WCCIT), Tunisia, 22–24 June, pp 1–9

  • Tchakoua P, Wamkeue R, Ouhrouche M, S-H F, Tameghe TA, Ekemb G (2014) Wind turbine condition monitoring: state-of-the-art review, new trends, and future challenges. Energies 7:2595–2630

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vittal S, Teboul M (2005) Performance and reliability analysis of wind turbines using Monte Carlo methods based on system transport theory. In: 46th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC structures, structural dynamics and materials conference, Austin, Texas

  • Walford CA (2006) Wind turbine reliability: understanding and minimizing wind turbine operation and maintenance costs. Sandia report no. SAND 2006-1100. Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, USA

  • Yang W, Tavner PJ, Crabtree CJ, Feng Y, Qiu Y (2014) Wind turbine condition monitoring: technical and commercial challenges. Wind Energy 17(5):673–693

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zitrou A, Bedford T, Walls L (2016) A model for availability growth with application to new generation offshore wind farms. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 152:83–94

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. K. Rajeevan.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Rajeevan, A.K., Shouri, P.V. & Nair, U. Markov modeling and reliability allocation in wind turbine for availability enhancement. Life Cycle Reliab Saf Eng 7, 147–157 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41872-018-0054-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41872-018-0054-8

Keywords

Navigation