Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Public Perceptions of International Leadership in China and the United States

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Chinese Political Science Review Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Many fear that with Trump taking the helm, the United States will scale back its international leadership role in global governance, leaving a void that is too big for any single country to fill. Others are hopeful that emerging powers such as China will be able to step in and provide international leadership to solve global governance challenges, from climate change to nuclear nonproliferation. In this study, we explore the Chinese and American publics’ perceptions and views on international leadership in the Trump era. Results from two parallel surveys conducted in China and the United States shed light on how ordinary citizens in these two countries conceptualize international leadership and how their views contrast with conventional wisdom and with each other. Given the increasingly larger role played by public opinion in the foreign policies of both democratic and authoritarian countries, the findings of this study will have important policy implications.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Government sometimes may drive public opinion to strengthen its bargaining position (Weiss 2014). The strategic manipulation of public opinion is more likely in China, given the government’s control over information (Keefe 2002); however, the rise of the Internet and social media has made it easier for news to spread and spark online outrage, forcing Chinese leaders to react (Shirk 2014).

  2. Due to political sensitivity, in the Chinese survey “universal human rights” was changed to “global justice.”

  3. For brevity, we only report the key findings from these models. Full estimation results are available upon request.

  4. Concerning environmental leadership, it would be interesting to consider whether news about the US pulling out of the Paris Agreement would change anything in this regard.

  5. For this question, respondents could pick more than one country.

References

  • Acharya, Amitav. 2011. Can Asia lead? Power ambitions and global governance in the twenty-first century. International Affairs 87 (4): 851–869.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ambrosio, Thomas. 2012. The rise of the ‘China Model’ and ‘Beijing Consensus’: Evidence of authoritarian confusion? Contemporary Politics 18 (4): 381–399.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Angang, Hu. 2011. China in 2020: A new type of superpower. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arce, M. Daniel G. 2001. Leadership and the aggregation of international collective action. Oxford Economic Papers 53: 114–137.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beeson, Mark. 2013. Can China lead? Third World Quarterly 34 (2): 235–252.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berinsky, Adam J., Gregory A. Huber, and Gabriel S. Lenz. 2012. Evaluating online labor markets for experimental research: Amazon. com’s Mechanical Turk. Political Analysis 20 (3): 351–368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brainard, Lael, and David Lipton. 2008. Can America still lead in the global economy?. Brookings Institution, Working Paper 26.

  • Carson, Austin. 2016. Facing off and saving face: Covert intervention and escalation management in the Korean War. International Organization 70 (1): 103–131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clark, Ian. 2011. China and the United States: A succession of hegemonies? International Affairs 87 (1): 13–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clifford, Scott, and Jennifer Jerit. 2014. Is there a cost to convenience? An experimental comparison of data quality in laboratory and online studies. Journal of Experimental Political Science 1 (2): 120–131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Destradi, Sandra. 2010. Regional powers and their strategies: Empire, hegemony and leadership. Review of International Studies 36: 903–930.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fearon, James. 1994. Domestic political audiences and the escalation of international disputes. American Political Science Review 88 (03): 577–592.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gallarotti, Giulio M. 2005. Hegemons of a lesser God: The Bank of France and monetary leadership under the classical gold standard. Review of International Political Economy 12 (4): 624–646.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gilpin, Robert. 1981. War and change in world politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Helms, Ludger. 2014. Global political leadership in the twenty-first century: Problems and prospects. Contemporary Politics 20 (3): 261–277.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huang, Haifeng. 2015. International Knowledge and Domestic Evaluations in a Changing Society: The Case of China. American Political Science Review 109 (03): 613–634.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huff, Connor, and Dustin Tingley. 2015. “Who are these people?” Evaluating the demographic characteristics and political preferences of MTurk survey respondents. Research & Politics 2 (3): 1–12.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ikenberry, G. John. 1996. The Future of International Leadership. Political Science Quarterly 111 (3): 385–402.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ikenberry, G. John, and Charles A. Kupchan. 1990. Socialization and Hegemonic Power. International Organization 44 (3): 283–315.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaarbo, Juliet. 2015. A Foreign Policy Analysis Perspective on the Domestic Politics Turn in IR. International Studies Review 17: 189–216.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keefe, John. 2002. Anatomy of the EP-3 Incident. Alexandria: Center for Naval Analyses.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellerman, Barbara. 2008. Followership: How followers are creating change and changing leaders. Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krupnikov, Yanna, and Adam Seth Levine. 2014. Cross-sample comparisons and external validity. Journal of Experimental Political Science 1 (1): 59–80.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lake, David A. 1993. Leadership, Hegemony, and the International Economy: Naked Emperor or Tattered Monarch with Potential? International Studies Quarterly 37 (4): 459–489.

  • Lantis, Jeffrey S. 2005. Leadership Matters: International Treaty Ratification in Canada and the United States. American Review of Canadian Studies 35 (3): 383–421.

  • Layne, Christopher. 2012. This time it's real: the end of unipolarity and the Pax Americana. International Studies Quarterly 56 (1): 202–213.

  • Li, Xiaojun, Weiyi Shi, and Boliang Zhu. 2017. The Face of Internet Recruitment: Evaluating the Labor Markets of Online Crowdsourcing Platforms in China. 21st Century China Center Research Paper No. 2017-04. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3002066. Accessed 11 Aug 2017.

  • Li, Xiaojun, and Ka Zeng. 2017. Individual Preferences for FDI in Developing Countries: Experimental Evidence from China. Forthcoming in Journal of Experimental Political Science.

  • Lucarelli, Sonia. 2014. The EU’s Leadership in the Global Governance: Perceptions from Others. In Communicating Europe in the Times of Crisis: External Perceptions of the European Union, ed. N. Chaban, and M. Holland. London: Palgrave.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lundestad, Geir. 2012. The rise and decline of the American “Empire”: Power and its limits in comparative perspective. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • McCormack, Tara. 2011. The domestic limits to American international leadership after Bush. International Politics 48: 188–206.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morello, Carol, and John Wagner. 2017. As the U.S. leaves Paris climate accord, some see shifts in global leadership. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/as-the-us-leaves-paris-climate-accord-some-see-shifts-in-global-leadership/2017/06/01/4c916554-4634-11e7-a196-a1bb629f64cb_story.html?utm_term=.e96ab9604c0a. Accessed 11 Aug 2017.

  • Northouse, Peter G. 2010. Leadership: Theory and practice. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nye, Joseph S. 2004. Soft power and American foreign policy. Political Science Quarterly 119 (2): 255–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmidt, Vivien A. 2010. Taking ideas and discourse seriously: Explaining change through discursive institutionalism as the fourth ‘new institutionalism’. European Political Science Review 2 (1): 1–25.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schultz, Kenneth. 2001. Looking for Audience Costs. Journal of Conflict Resolution 45 (1): 32–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shirk, Susan L. 2007. China: Fragile Superpower. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shirk, Susan L. 2014. The Domestic Context of Chinese Foreign Security Policies. In The Oxford Handbook of the International Relations of Asia, eds. S. Pekkanen, J. Ravenhill, and R. Foot, 391–410. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

  • Steinberg, James, and Michael E. O’Hanlon. 2015. Strategic reassurance and resolve: US–China relations in the twenty-first century. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Subramanian, Arvind. 2011. The inevitable superpower: Why China’s dominance is a sure thing. Foreign Affairs 90 (5): 66–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tai, Qiuqing, and Rory Truex. 2015. Public Opinion towards Return Migration: A Survey Experiment of Chinese Netizens. The China Quarterly 223: 770–786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tallberg, Jonas. 2010. The Power of the Chair: formal Leadership in International Cooperation. International Studies Quarterly 54: 241–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tomz, Michael, Jessica Weeks, and Keren Yarhi-Milo. 2017. How and why does public opinion affect foreign policy in democracies. Working paper. Stanford University.

  • Vu, Truong-Minh. 2017. International Leadership as a Process: the Case of China in Southeast Asia. Revista Brasileira de Politica Internacional 60 (1): 1–21.

  • Weiner, Jarrod. 1995. Hegemonic’ leadership: Naked emperor or the worship of false Gods? European Journal of International Relations 1 (2): 219–243.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weiss, Jessica C. 2014. Powerful patriots: Nationalist protest in China’s foreign relations. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Yan, Xuetong. 2011. International leadership and norm evolution. The Chinese Journal of International Politics 4 (3): 233–264.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zakaria, Fareed. 2017. United States Resigned as Leader of the Free World. CNN. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2017/06/02/zakaria_united_states_resigned_as_leader_of_the_free_world_when_trump_left_paris_climate_agreement.html. Accessed 11 Aug 2017.

Download references

Acknowledgements

Funding was provided by University of British Columbia's Hampton Research Grant (Grant no. F14-01146).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Xiaojun Li.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Burzo, S., Li, X. Public Perceptions of International Leadership in China and the United States. Chin. Polit. Sci. Rev. 3, 81–99 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-017-0076-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-017-0076-9

Keywords

Navigation