Abstract
In California, new groundwater legislation—the 2014 Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA)—mandates that groundwater sustainability agencies (GSAs) employ the concept of sustainable yield as their primary management goal. However, SGMA’s current definition of sustainable yield does not offer clear guidance for new agencies and lacks grounding in physics. This study presents a novel hydrologically based framework for quantifying sustainable yield under SGMA that is derived from a synthesis of scientific inquiry and analysis. We introduce a flexible three-step approach that basin managers can rely on to quantify sustainable yield values, incorporate the impact of “undesirable results”, and analyze groundwater sustainability over SGMA’s implementation horizon. Our framework is illustrated through a case study of the South San Joaquin Irrigation District, a proposed GSA in one of California’s critically overdrafted groundwater basins. We calculate sustainable yield for three different management scenarios and assess the impact of each scenario on future groundwater sustainability by performing an annual water groundwater balance through 2040. Our sustainable yield framework can be used as a basis for the development of SGMA’s groundwater management plans throughout California.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alley WM, Leake SA (2004) The journey from safe yield to sustainability. Ground Water. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2004.tb02446.x
Alley WM, Reilly TW, Franke OL (1999) Sustainability of ground-water resources: U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1186. https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/circ1186/pdf/circ1186.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Balleau WP, Mayer AB (1988) The transition from ground- water mining to induced recharge in generalized hydrogeologic systems. In: Proceedings of FOCUS conference on southwestern ground water issues, national water well association, Dublin, Ohio
Black Water Consulting Engineers (2016) City of Escalon water system evaluation report, City of Escalon. http://cityofescalon.org/e-documents/public_works/water/103_water_eval.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Borchers J, Carpenter M (2014) Land subsidence from groundwater use in California, Luhdorff & Scalmanini consulting engineers, California Water Foundation. http://californiawaterfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/PDF/1397858208-SUBSIDENCEFULLREPORT_FINAL.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Bredehoeft JD (2002) The water budget myth revisited: why hydrogeologists model. Ground Water. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2002.tb02511.x
Bredehoeft JD, Papadopoulos S, Cooper H (1982) Groundwater: the water-budget myth, scientific basis for water-resource management, studies in geophysics. National Academy Press, Washington, DC
Burow K, Jurgens B, Belitz K, Dubrovsky N (2013) Assessment of regional change in nitrate concentrations in groundwater in the Central Valley, California, USA, 1950s–2000s. Environ Earth Sci 69:2609. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-012-2082-4
Butler J, Whittemore D, Wilson B, Bohling G (2016) A new approach for assessing the future of aquifers supporting irrigated agriculture. Geophys Res Lett 43:2004–2010 https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL067879
California Department of Water Resources (2006) San Joaquin Valley groundwater basin Eastern San Joaquin Subbasin, California’s Groundwater Bulletin 118. http://www.water.ca.gov/groundwater/bulletin118/basindescriptions/5-22.01.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2013) California river indices, CA water plan update 2013. http://www.water.ca.gov/waterplan/docs/cwpu2013/Final/vol4/hydrology/01RiverIndex_Update2013_Final.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2016a) Sustainable groundwater management program—DRAFT groundwater sustainability plan (GSP) emergency regulations guide, State of California Department of Water Resources. http://water.ca.gov/groundwater/sgm/pdfs/GSP_Regulations_Guide.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2016b) Critically overdrafted basins, State of California Department of Water Resources. http://www.water.ca.gov/groundwater/sgm/pdfs/COD_BasinsTable.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2016c) Best management practices for the sustainable management of groundwater—modeling BMP, State of California Department of Water Resources. http://www.water.ca.gov/groundwater/sgm/pdfs/BMP_Modeling_Final_2016-12-23.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2017a) SGMA toolbox, State of California Department of Water Resources. http://www.water.ca.gov/cagroundwater/sgmatoolbox.cfm. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2017b) Water data library. http://www.water.ca.gov/waterdatalibrary/index.cfm. Accessed 12 May 2017
California Department of Water Resources (2017c) SGMA portal—GSA formation notification system, State of California Department of Water Resources. http://sgma.water.ca.gov/portal/#gsa. Accessed 12 May 2017
Christian-Smith J, Abhold K (2015) Measuring what matters—setting measurable objectives for achieving groundwater management in California, Union of Concerned Scientists. http://www.ucsusa.org/measuringwhatmatters
Conklin H (1946) Utilization of ground-water storage in stream system development. Trans Am Soc Civ Eng 111:275–305
Crowley J, Jorgensen N, Kahler L, Satter L, Tyler W, Finner MF (1974) Effect of nitrate in drinking water on reproductive and productive efficiency of dairy cattle water resources center, University of Wisconsin Technical Report WIS WRC 74-06
Croyle W et al (2014) Public Update for the Drought response—groundwater basins with potential water shortages and gaps in groundwater monitoring. California Department of Water Resources, Drought Management Team, Drought Management. https://water.ca.gov/LegacyFiles/waterconditions/docs/DWR_PublicUpdateforDroughtResponse_GroundwaterBasins.pdf
Custodio E (2002) Aquifer overexploitation: what does it mean? Hydrogeol J. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-002-0288-6
Davids Engineering (2015) 2015 Agricultural Water Management Plan, South San Joaquin Irrigation District. http://www.ssjid.com/assets/pdf/2015-Ag-Water-Management-Plan.pdf
Devlin JF, Sophocleous M (2006) The persistence of the water budget myth and its relationship to sustainability. Hydrogeol J 14:267. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-005-0485-y
Dzurella K, Pettygrove G, Fryjoff-Hung A, Hollander A, Harter T (2015) Potential to assess nitrate leaching vulnerability of irrigated cropland. J Soil Water Conserv. https://doi.org/10.2489/jswc.70.1.63
Farr TG, Jones C, Liu Z (2017) Progress Report: Subsidence in California, March 2015–September 2016, Submitted to California Department of Water Resources. http://www.water.ca.gov/waterconditions/docs/2017/JPL%20subsidence%20report%20final%20for%20public%20dec%202016.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Faunt CC (2009) Groundwater availability of the central valley aquifer: U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1766. https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/1766/. Accessed 12 May 2017
Faunt CC, Sneed M, Traum J, Brandt J (2016) Water availability and land subsidence in the Central Valley, California, USA. Hydrogeol J 24:675. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-015-1339-x
Flint LE, Flint AL, Thorne JH, Boynton R (2013) Fine-scale hydrologic modeling for regional landscape applications: the California Basin Characterization Model development and performance. Ecol Process 2:25. https://doi.org/10.1186/2192-1709-2-25
Foster S, Loucks D (2006) Non-renewable groundwater resources—a guidebook on socially-sustainable management for water-policy makers, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. http://www.ircwash.org/sites/default/files/Foster-2006-Nonrenewable.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Freeze RA, Cherry JA (1979) Groundwater. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs
Grantham T, Viers J (2014) 100 years of California’s water rights system: patterns, trends and uncertainty. Environ Res Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084012
Herczeg A, Leaney F, Onkaparinga Catchment Water Management Board (S.A.) (2002) Groundwater flow systems and recharge in the McLaren Vale prescribed wells area. CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra. http://nla.gov.au/nla.arc-13482. Accessed 12 May 2017
Hill MC (2006) The practical use of simplicity in developing ground water models. Ground Water 44:775–781. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2006.00227.x
Joseph T (2016) Best management practices for the sustainable management of groundwater: monitoring networks and the identification of data gaps, California Department of Water Resources, Sustainable Groundwater Management Program. http://www.water.ca.gov/groundwater/sgm/pdfs/BMP_Monitoring_Networks_Final_2016-12-23.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Kalf F, Woolley D (2005) Applicability and methodology of determining sustainable yield in groundwater systems. Hydrogeol J. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-004-0401-x
Langidge R, Brown A, Rudestam K, Conrad E (2016) An evaluation of California’s adjudicated groundwater basins. University of California, Santa Cruz. http://www.water.ca.gov/cagroundwater/docs/UCSC_Adjudicated_Groundwater_Basins_Report_FINAL.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Loáiciga HA (2017) The safe yield and climatic variability: implications for groundwater management. Groundwater 55:334–345. https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12481
Lohman S (1972) Ground-water hydraulics. Geological Survey Professional Paper 708. US Government Printing Office. https://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/0708/report.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
MacEwan D, Cayar M, Taghavi A, Mitchell D, Hatchett S, Howitt R (2017) Hydroeconomic modeling of sustainable groundwater management. Water Resour Res. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019639
Maimone M (2004) Defining and managing sustainable yield. Ground Water 42:809–814. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2004.tb02739.x
Maxwell RM, Kollet SJ (2008) Interdependence of groundwater dynamics and land-energy feedbacks under climate change. Nat Geosci 1:665–669. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo315
Meyer J (1993) Changing concepts of system management. Sustaining our water resources, vol 78. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.17226/2217
Nakagawa B (2004) Eastern San Joaquin basin groundwater management plan, Northeastern San Joaquin County groundwater banking authority, San Joaquin County Department of Public Works. http://www.gbawater.org/Portals/0/assets/docs/IRWMP-2014/Groundwater-Management-Plan-Final.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Pacific Institute (2014) Issue brief: urban water conservation and efficiency potential in California. http://pacinst.org/app/uploads/2014/06/ca-water-urban.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Richey A, Thomas B, Lo MH, Reager JT, Famiglietti JS, Voss K, Swenson S, Rodell M (2015) Quantifying renewable groundwater stress with GRACE. Water Resour Res 51:5217–5238. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017349
Rudestam K, Langridge R (2014) Sustainable yield in theory and practice: bridging scientific and mainstream vernacular. Groundwater 52:90–99. https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12160
San Joaquin County (2013) G.I.S. Data download—irrigation districts. http://www.sjmap.org/GISDataDownload.htm. Accessed 12 May 2017
Scanlon BR, Faunt CC, Longuevergne L, Reedy RC, Alley WM, McGuire VL, McMahon PB (2012) Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High Plains and Central Valley. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA 109(24):9320–9325
Schoups G, Hopmans J, Young C, Vrugt J, Wallender W, Tanji K, Panday S (2005) Sustainability of irrigated agriculture in the San Joaquin Valley, California. Proc Natl Acad Sci. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0507723102
Scibek J, Allen DM (2006) Modeled impacts of predicted climate change on recharge and groundwater levels. Water Resour Res. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005WR004742
Seward P, Xu Y, Brendonck L (2006) Sustainable groundwater use, the capture principle, and adaptive management. Water SA. https://doi.org/10.4314/wsa.v32i4.5287
Sophocleous M (2000) From safe yield to sustainable development of water resources—the Kansas experience. J Hydrol. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00263-8
Sophocleous M (2002) Interactions between groundwater and surface water: the state of the science. Hydrogeol J 10:52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-001-0170-8
State of California (2017) Legislation—more about SGMA, State of California. California Groundwater. http://groundwater.ca.gov/moresgma.cfm. Accessed 12 May 2017
State Water Resources Control Board (2016a) Groundwater information sheet—salinity. State Water Resources Control Board, Division of Water Quality. GAMA Program. http://www.waterboards.ca.gov/gama/docs/coc_salinity.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
State Water Resources Control Board (2016b) Triggering state intervention—Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA). California Environmental Protection Agency. http://www.waterboards.ca.gov/water_issues/programs/gmp/sgma.shtml#materials. Accessed 12 May 2017
Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (2014) Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (And Related Statutory Provisions from SB1168 (Pavley), AB1739 (Dickinson), and SB1319 (Pavley) as Chaptered). https://www.opr.ca.gov/docs/2014_Sustainable_Groundwater_Management_Legislation_092914.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
Theis CV (1940) The source of water derived from wells. Civ Eng 10:277–280
Thomas H (1951) The conservation of ground water. McGraw Hill Book Co., New York
U.S. Department of Interior (2005) Water management of the regional aquifer in the Sierra Vista Subwatershed, Arizona—2004. Report to Congress. https://water.usgs.gov/Section321.2004_050705.pdf. Accessed 12 May 2017
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2016) Estimated nitrate concentrations in groundwater used for drinking. https://www.epa.gov/nutrient-policy-data/estimated-nitrate-concentrations-groundwater-used-drinking. Accessed 12 May 2017
U.S. Geological Survey (2017) USGS 11303000 Stanislaus R at Ripon, CA, National Water Information System. https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?PARAmeter_cd=00095,00010,00300,00400&site_no=11303000. Accessed 12 May 2017
UNAVCO (2017) P781—overview, UNAVCO Plate Boundary Observatory (PBO). https://www.unavco.org/instrumentation/networks/status/pbo/overview/P781. Accessed 12 May 2017
Van der Gun J, Lipponen A (2010) Reconciling groundwater storage depletion due to pumping with sustainability. Sustainability 2:11. https://doi.org/10.3390/su2113418
Whittemore DO, Butler JJ, Wilson BB (2016) Assessing the major drivers of water-level declines: new insights into the future of heavily stressed aquifers. Hydrol Sci J 61:134–145. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.959958
Zhou Y (2009) A critical review of groundwater budget myth, safe yield and sustainability, J Hydrol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.03.009
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by grants from the NSF Graduate Research Fellowship Program (Grant no. DGE-1144087), the University of California Office of the President, Multi-campus Research Programs and Initiatives, and the NASA GRACE Science Team (Grant no. NNX12AK64G). A portion of the research was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. This research was possible through the use of publicly available data sets, including in situ groundwater data in California: http://www.water.ca.gov/waterdatalibrary/ and the California Basin Characterization Model: https://cida.usgs.gov/thredds/CA-BCM-Catalog.html. Additional data used in this study can be requested from the authors (michellemiro@ucla.edu).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Miro, M.E., Famiglietti, J.S. A framework for quantifying sustainable yield under California’s Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA). Sustain. Water Resour. Manag. 5, 1165–1177 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40899-018-0283-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40899-018-0283-z