Abstract
Life history theory (LHT) is a powerful explanatory framework examining how developmental environments and life experiences shape allocations of effort to fitness-promoting domains in nested sets of trade-offs. Time orientation is a central psychological aspect of human life history variation, representing the degree to which behaviors are oriented towards immediate versus future goals. Identifying critical sensitive periods for shaping life history variation and verifying the scope of life history plasticity are important issues for both theory and practical application. Many LHT frameworks propose sensitive periods from gestational development through middle childhood, though recent research suggests facultative adjustments may occur much later in the lifespan. The current study examines how experiences of poor tap water quality during the Flint water crisis, associated with toxic contamination and adverse health effects, may have affected time orientations. Degraded expectations for health and longevity may have affected psychological aspects of life history variation, with important consequences for health-related behaviors. Controlling for socio-demographics and other environmental factors associated with life history variation, those who experienced worse tap water quality had lower general tendencies for future planning. Tap water quality experiences predicted several health-related behaviors, independent of socio-demographics, some relationships were mediated through tendencies for future planning.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Associated Press (2015). Flint city councilman: “We got bad water.” Detroit Free Press.
Associated Press (2016). A timeline of the water crisis in Flint, Michigan. Washington Times.
Barker, D. J. (1992). Fetal and infant origins of adult disease. London: British Medical Journal.
Belsky, J., Steinberg, L., & Draper, P. (1991). Childhood experience, interpersonal development, and reproductive strategy: An evolutionary theory of socialization. Child Development, 62, 647–670. https://doi.org/10.2307/1131166.
Bielby, J., Mace, G. M., Bininda-Emonds, O. R., Cardillo, M., Gittleman, J. L., Jones, K. E., Orme, C. D., & Purvis, A. (2007). The fast-slow continuum in mammalian life history: An empirical reevaluation. The American Naturalist, 169, 748–757.
Burke, K. L. (2016). Moving forward after Flint. American Scientist, 104, 137–139. https://doi.org/10.1511/2016.120.137.
Carstensen, L. L., Isaacowitz, D. M., & Charles, S. T. (1999). Taking time seriously: A theory of socioemotional selectivity. American Psychologist, 54, 165–181. https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.54.3.165.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2015). 2015 BRFSS Survey Data and Documentation. Atlanta, GA: Author. Retrieved from: https://www.cdc.gov/brfss/annual_data/annual_2015.html
Chisholm, J. S. (1999). Death, hope and sex: Steps to an evolutionary ecology of mind and morality. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Copping, L. T., & Campbell, A. (2015). The environment and life history strategies: Neighborhood and individual-level models. Evolution and Human Behavior, 36, 182–190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2014.10.005.
Copping, L. T., Campbell, A., & Muncer, S. (2013). Violence, teenage pregnancy, and life history. Human Nature, 24, 137–157. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12110-013-9163-2.
Crawford, C. B., & Anderson, J. L. (1989). Sociobiology: An environmentalist discipline? American Psychologist, 44, 1449–1459. https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.44.12.1449.
Darwin, C. (1871/1981). The descent of man, and selection in relation to sex. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Ellen, J. M., Jennings, J. M., Meyers, T., Chung, S., & Taylor, R. (2004). Perceived social cohesion and prevalence of sexually transmitted diseases. Sexually Transmitted Diseases, 31, 117–122. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.OLQ.0000110467.64222.61.
Ellis, B. J., & Bjorklund, D. F. (2012). Beyond mental health: An evolutionary analysis of development under risky and supportive environmental conditions: An introduction to the special section. Developmental Psychology, 48, 591–597. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0027651.
Ellis, B. J., McFadyen-Ketchum, S., Dodge, K. A., Pettit, G. S., & Bates, J. S. (1999). Quality of early family relationships and individual differences in the timing of pubertal maturation in girls: A longitudinal test of an evolutionary model. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77, 387–401.
Figueredo, A. J., Vasquez, G., Brumbach, B. H., & Schneider, S. M. (2004). The heritability of life history strategy: The K-factor, covitality, and personality. Biodemography and Social Biology, 51, 121–143.
Figueredo, A. J., Vásquez, G., Brumbach, B. H., Schneider, S. M., Sefcek, J. A., Tal, I. R., Hill, D., Wenner, C. J., & Jacobs, W. J. (2006). Consilience and life history theory: From genes to brain to reproductive strategy. Developmental Review, 26, 243–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dr.2006.02.002.
Fraley, R. C., & Heffernan, M. E. (2013). Attachment and parental divorce: A test of the diffusion and sensitive period hypotheses. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 39, 1199–1213.
Frankenhuis, W. E., & Del Giudice, M. (2012). When do adaptive developmental mechanisms yield maladaptive outcomes? Developmental Psychology, 48, 628–642.
Frankenhuis, W. E., & de Weerth, C. (2013). Does early-life exposure to stress shape, or impair, cognition? Current Directions in Psychological Science, 22, 407–412.
Frankenhuis, W. E., & Fraley, R. C. (2017). What do evolutionary models teach us about sensitive periods in psychological development? European Psychologist, 22, 141–150. https://doi.org/10.1027/1016-9040/a000265.
Frankenhuis, W. E., Panchanathan, K., & Nettle, D. (2016). Cognition in harsh and unpredictable environments. Current Opinion in Psychology, 7, 76–80.
Friedman, H. S., Tucker, J. S., Tomlinson-Keasey, C., Schwartz, J. E., Wingard, D. L., & Criqui, M. H. (1993). Does childhood personality predict longevity? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 65, 176–185. https://doi.org/10.1177/01461672022812001.
Gosling, S. D., Rentfrow, P. J., & Swann Jr., W. B. (2003). A very brief measure of the Big Five Personality Domains. Journal of Research in Personality, 37, 504–528. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0092-6566(03)00046-1.
Grossman, D.S., & Slusky, D.J. (2017). The effect of an increase in lead in the water system on fertility and birth outcomes: The case of Flint, Michigan. West Virginia University College of Business and Economics Working Paper Series No. 17–25.
Harvey, P. H., & Clutton-Brock, T. H. (1985). Life history variation in primates. Evolution, 39, 559–581. https://doi.org/10.2307/2408653.
Hawkes, K., & Paine, R. (Eds.). (2006). The evolution of human life history. Santa Fe: School of American Research Press.
Heath, K., & Hadley, C. (1998). Dichotomous male reproductive strategies in a polygynous human society: Mating versus parental effort. Current Anthropology, 39, 369–374.
Heavey, E. (2016). Lead poisoning: When an entire community is exposed. Nursing, 46(9), 28–33. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.NURSE.0000490212.15944.5e.
Hill, E. M., Ross, L. T., & Low, B. S. (1997). The role of future unpredictability in human risk-taking. Human Nature, 8, 287–325. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02913037.
Hill, T. D., Ross, C. E., & Angel, R. J. (2005). Neighborhood disorder, psychophysiological distress, and health. Journal of Health and Social Behavior, 46, 170–186. https://doi.org/10.1177/002214650504600204.
Kaplan, H., & Bock, J. A. (2001). Fertility theory: Embodied-capital theory of life history evolution. In N. J. Smelser & P. B. Baltes (Eds.), International encyclopedia of the social and behavioral sciences (pp. 5561–5568). Oxford: Elsevier.
Keough, K. A., Zimbardo, P. G., & Boyd, J. N. (1999). Who’s smoking, drinking, and using drugs? Time perspective as a predictor of substance use. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 21, 149–164. https://doi.org/10.1207/S15324834BA210207.
Kim, K., Smith, P. K., & Palermiti, A. L. (1997). Conflict in childhood and reproductive development. Evolution and Human Behavior, 18, 109–142.
Kruger, D. J. (2011). Evolutionary theory in public health and the public health of evolutionary theory. Futures, 43, 762–770.
Kruger, D. J. (2017). Brief self-report scales assessing life history dimensions of mating and parenting effort. Evolutionary Psychology, 15, 1–9.
Kruger, D. J., Cupal, S., Franzen, S. P., Kodjebacheva, G. D., Bailey, S., Key, K. D., & Kaufman, M. M. (2017a). Toxic trauma: Household water quality experiences predict post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms during the Flint, Michigan water crisis. Journal of Community Psychology, 45, 957–962. https://doi.org/10.1002/jcop.21898.
Kruger, D. J., Cupal, S., Kodjebacheva, G. D., & Fockler, T. V. (2017b). Perceived water quality and reported health among adults during the Flint, MI water crisis. Californian Journal of Health Promotion, 15, 56–61.
Kruger, D.J., Fernandes, H.B.F., Cupal, S., & Homish, G.G. (2018). Life history variation and the preparedness paradox. Evolutionary Behavioral Sciences.
Kruger, D. J., Kodjebacheva, G. D., & Cupal, S. (2017c). Poor tap water quality experiences and poor sleep quality during the Flint, Michigan Municipal Water Crisis. Sleep Health: Journal of the National Sleep Foundation, 3, 241–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sleh.2017.05.007.
Kruger, D. J., Köster, M., Nedelec, J. L., & Murphy, S. F. (2017d). A life history framework advances the understanding of intentions for police cooperation. Evolutionary Behavioral Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1037/ebs0000109.
Kruger, D. J., & Kruger, J. S. (2016). Psychometric assessment of human life history predicts health related behaviors. Psychological Topics, 25, 19–28.
Kruger, D. J., Nedelec, J. L., Reischl, T. M., & Zimmerman, M. A. (2015). Life history predicts perceptions of procedural justice and crime reporting intentions. Evolutionary Psychological Science, 1, 183–194.
Kruger, D. J., Reischl, T. M., & Zimmerman, M. A. (2008). Time perspective as a mechanism for functional developmental adaptation. Journal of Social, Evolutionary, and Cultural Psychology, 2, 1–22.
Lopez, A. D. (1998). Morbidity and mortality, changing patterns in the twentieth century. In P. Armitage & T. Colton (Eds.), Encyclopedia of biostatistics (pp. 2690–2701). New York: Wiley.
Low, B. (1998). The evolution of human life histories. In C. Crawford & D. Krebs (Eds.), Handbook of evolutionary psychology: Issues, ideas, and applications (pp. 131–161). Mahwah: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
MacArthur, R., & Wilson, E. O. (1967). The theory of island biogeography. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Mischel, W., Shoda, Y., & Rodriguez, M. L. (1989). Delay of gratification in children. Science, 244, 933–938.
Mittal, C., Griskevicius, V., Simpson, J. A., Sung, S., & Young, E. S. (2015). Cognitive adaptations to stressful environments: When childhood adversity enhances adult executive function. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 109, 604–621.
Nettle, D. (2010). Dying young and living fast: Variation in life history across English neighbourhoods. Behavioral Ecology, 21, 387–395. https://doi.org/10.1093/beheco/arp202.
Nettle, D., Frankenhuis, W. E., & Rickard, I. J. (2013). The evolution of predictive adaptive responses in human life history. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 280, 20131343. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.1343.
Oli, M. K. (2004). The fast–slow continuum and mammalian life-history patterns: An empirical evaluation. Basic and Applied Ecology, 5, 449–463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.baae.2004.06.002.
Payne, E., & Burnside, T. (2016). Adding insult to injury: Flint issues boil-water advisory after water main break. CNN. Retrieved 03/08/2016 from http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/10/politics/flint-water-crisis/.
Pianka, E. R. (1970). On r- and K-selection. American Naturalist, 104, 592–596. https://doi.org/10.1086/282697.
Pigliucci, M. (2001). Phenotypic plasticity: Beyond nature and nurture. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Preacher, K. J., & Selig, J. P. (2012). Advantages of Monte Carlo confidence intervals for indirect effects. Communication Methods and Measures, 6, 77–98. https://doi.org/10.1080/19312458.2012.679848.
Promislow, D. E. (1992). Costs of sexual selection in natural populations of mammals. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 247, 230–210.
Promislow, D. E., & Harvey, P. H. (1990). Living fast and dying young: A comparative analysis of life-history variation among mammals. Journal of Zoology, 220, 417–437.
Quinlan, R. J. (2007). Human parental effort and environmental risk. Proceedings of the Royal Society- Series B, 274, 121–125.
Reisig, M. D., Bratton, J., & Gertz, M. G. (2007). The construct validity and refinement of pro- cess-based policing measures. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 34, 1005–1028. https://doi.org/10.1177/0093854807301275.
Richardson, G. B., Sanning, B. K., Lai, H. C., Copping, L. T., Hardesty, P. H., & Kruger, D. J. (2017). On the psychometric study of human life history strategies: State of the science and evidence of two independent dimensions. Evolutionary Psychology, 15, 1–24.
Rickard, I. J., Frankenhuis, W. E., & Nettle, D. (2014). Why are childhood family factors associated with timing of maturation? A role for internal state. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 9, 3–15.
Roff, D. A. (1992). The evolution of life histories: Theory and analysis. New York: Chapman & Hall.
Sampson, R. J., Raudenbush, S. W., & Earls, F. (1997). Neighborhoods and violent crime: A multilevel study of collective efficacy. Science, 227, 918–923.
Schwartz, J. E., Friedman, H. S., Tucker, J. S., Tomlinson-Keasey, C., Wingard, D. L., & Criqui, M. H. (1995). Sociodemographics and psychosocial factors in childhood as predictors of adult mortality. American Journal of Public Health, 85, 1237–1245. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.85.9.1237.
Schlichting, C. D., & Pigliucci, M. (1998). Phenotypic evolution: A reaction norm perspective. Sunderland: Sinauer.
Smith, S.K., Steadman, G.W., Minton, T.D., & Townsend, M. (1999). Criminal victimization and perceptions of community safety in 12 cities, 1998. Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics and Office of Community Oriented Policing Services, U.S. Department of Justice. Retrieved from http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/pdf/cvpcs98.pdf.
Stearns, S. C. (1992). The evolution of life histories. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Strathman, A., Gleicher, F., Boninger, D. S., & Edwards, C. S. (1994). The consideration of future consequences: Weighing immediate and distant outcomes of behavior. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 66, 742–752. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.66.4.742.
Van Gelder, J. L., Hershfield, H. E., & Nordgren, L. (2013). Vividness of the future self reduces delinquency. Psychological Science, 24, 974–980. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797612465197.
Van Gelder, J. L., Luciano, E. C., Weulen Kranenbarg, M., & Hershfield, H. E. (2015). Friends with my future self: Longitudinal vividness intervention reduces delinquency. Criminology, 53, 158–179. https://doi.org/10.1111/1745-9125.12064.
van Schaik, C. P., & Isler, K. (2012). Life-history evolution. In J. C. Mitani, J. Call, P. M. Kappeler, R. Palombit, & J. B. Silk (Eds.), The evolution of primate societies (pp. 220–244). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Wang, X. T., Kruger, D. J., & Wilke, A. (2009). Life-history variables and risk-taking propensity. Evolution and Human Behavior, 30, 77–84.
Weinrich, J. D. (1977). Human sociobiology: Pair-bonding and resource predictability (effects of social class and race). Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 2, 91–118. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00361896.
West-Eberhard, M. J. (2003). Developmental plasticity and evolution. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Wilson, M., & Daly, M. (1997). Life expectancy, economic inequality, homicide, and reproductive timing in Chicago neighbourhoods. British Medical Journal, 314, 1271–1274.
Zahran, S., McElmurry, S. P., Kilgore, P. E., Mushinski, D., Press, J., Love, N. G., Sadler, R. C., Swanson, M. S. (2018). Assessment of the Legionnaires' disease outbreak in Flint, Michigan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 201718679. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1718679115. ISSN 0027-8424.
Zimbardo, P., & Boyd, J. (1999). Putting time in perspective: A valid, reliable individual differences metric. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77, 1271–1288. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.77.6.1271.
Acknowledgements
The 2015 Speak to Your Health! Community Survey was supported by the Blue Cross Blue Shield Foundation of Michigan, the Community Foundation of Greater Flint, and the Genesee County Health Department. We thank the Speak to Your Health! Survey Committee members and all those who participated in the project for their assistance.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kruger, D.J. Facultative Adjustments in Future Planning Tendencies: Insights on Life History Plasticity from the Flint Water Crisis. Evolutionary Psychological Science 4, 372–383 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40806-018-0148-6
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40806-018-0148-6