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Future predictions of wave and response of multiple floating bodies based on the Kalman filter algorithm

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Abstract

The present work explores the possibility of predicting future waves by extending the Kalman filter algorithm by incorporating the spatial distance between two points. Experimental data at 2D tank are used to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. When causality limitation is fulfilled, it is found that 3–8 s or several cycles of waves ahead can be predicted in model scale, depending on the distance between the two points. If a scaling of 1/100 is adopted, this means 30–80 s waves ahead can be estimated. The longer the distance, the longer future predictable time will be. Response predictions using wave prediction data are also investigated. The results for the response prediction also exhibits high accuracy, with even higher predictable future time (80–120 s ahead given 1/100 scale ratio) compared to its associated predictable future time of waves.

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Acknowledgements

It is acknowledged that this research has been supported by the 2022 Sasakawa research grants by the Japan Science Society (JSS) and Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI grant no. 20H02367. The authors are also thankful for the assistance from the members of FOWT research group (Mr. Tsukamoto, K, Mr. Toichi, K, Mr. Yoshioka, A, and Mr. Watanabe, Y), and Xie, BY of Structural Integrity Subarea during the experiment.

Funding

It is acknowledged that this research has been supported by the 2022 Sasakawa research Grants by the Japan Science Society (JSS) and Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI Grant No. 20H02367.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Osaka University, Suita, Japan

    Rodhiatul Isnaini, Akira Tatsumi & Kazuhiro Iijima

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  1. Rodhiatul Isnaini
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  2. Akira Tatsumi
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  3. Kazuhiro Iijima
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Contributions

RI wrote the main manuscript and conducted the experiment. All authors conceptualized the study and reviewed the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Rodhiatul Isnaini.

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Isnaini, R., Tatsumi, A. & Iijima, K. Future predictions of wave and response of multiple floating bodies based on the Kalman filter algorithm. J. Ocean Eng. Mar. Energy 10, 137–154 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40722-023-00304-y

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