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Cost-effectiveness of fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) and watchful observation for incidental thyroid nodules

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Abstract

Objectives

A trial-based comparison of the use of resources, costs and health utility outcomes of fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC), and watchful observation for incidental small (< 2 cm) thyroid nodules was performed using data from the randomized controlled trial (RCT).

Methods

Using data from 314 patients, healthcare-related use of resources, costs, health utility, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were estimated at 12 months after first presentation of incidental thyroid nodule(s) on an intention-to-treat basis with adjustment for covariates. Uncertainty about the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for FNAC versus watchful management at 12 months of follow-up was incorporated using bootstrapping. Multiple imputation methods were used to deal with missing data.

Results

FNAC management was associated with greater use of healthcare resources and mean direct healthcare costs per patient (US$542.47 vs US$411.55). Lower mean 12-month QALYs per patient in FNAC was observed in comparison to watchful observation (0.752 versus 0.758). The probability that FNAC management was cost-effective compared with watchful management at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US50,000 per QALY gained was 26.5%.

Conclusion

Based on 12-month data from RCT, watchful observation appeared cost-saving compared to FNAC in patients with incidental thyroid nodules that have a low-suspicion sonographic pattern and measure between 1.0 and 2.0 cm from healthcare provider perspective.

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier

NCT02398721.

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Abbreviations

FNAC:

Fine-needle aspiration cytology

RCT:

Randomized controlled trial

QALYs:

Quality-adjusted life years

US:

Ultrasonography

ATA:

American Thyroid Association

HRQOL:

Health-related quality of life

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic curve

ICER:

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio

CEAC:

Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve

WS:

Watchful surveillance

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Funding

This study has been funded by the Health and Medical Research Fund, Food and Health Bureau, HKSAR (Ref. no 12132941).

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Correspondence to C. K. H. Wong.

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Author Carlos KH Wong declares that he has no conflict of interest. Author Xiaodong Liu declares that she has no conflict of interest. Author Brian HH Lang declares that he has no conflict of interest.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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Wong, C.K.H., Liu, X. & Lang, B.H.H. Cost-effectiveness of fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) and watchful observation for incidental thyroid nodules. J Endocrinol Invest 43, 1645–1654 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40618-020-01254-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40618-020-01254-0

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