To manage a public health crisis like the one posed by COVID-19, it is important for public health officials to devise policies that engender the needed response from the public. However, the pandemic has revealed a host of racial and ethnic disparities entrenched across the US healthcare system. The magnitude of these disparities could quite easily spiral into greater distrust in the healthcare system for minorities. Policy must be carefully crafted to prevent this escalation and to start mitigating disparities. Effective policy requires a greater understanding of racial and ethnic perceptions of the pandemic and access to care. Perceptions are intuitive evaluations based on experiences, beliefs, attitudes, judgments, (mis)conceptions, and feelings, as well as wider social, cultural, and institutional processes [32]. Perceived risks are important determinants of an individual’s behavioral responses to a situation.
Fortunately, a bola of research on racial perceptions of COVID-19 is beginning to emerge. A recent survey of perceptions administered by Harvard University found age-related disparities in perceived risks of COVID-19: younger people overestimated the risk of death and older people underestimated it [33]. Recent analyses of two surveys found that Latinx and Black people perceived COVID-19 to be a greater risk to both the population’s health and to the individual’s health than perceived by White people [24]. However, White people perceived COVID-19 to be a greater risk to the immune-compromised and elderly than perceived by Non-White people [24]. Liu et al. (2021) recently found in the Understanding America Study, administered by the University of Southern California, that perceived fears of COVID-19 drive the use of more preventive measures (e.g., wearing masks) among Non-White people than among White people [14]. However, such increased preventive measures among Non-White people led to increased minority-perceived racial discrimination against them from White people, causing more mental distress. Thus, policy must be carefully designed to avoid these unintended cycles of discrimination.
In this paper, we add to this new literature by examining the fears and perceptions of health care during COVID-19 in finer detail. Past surveys looked at general fears of COVID-19 on “population health” and “individual health,” with not much clarity on what those terms are perceived to mean. We used nationally representative survey data collected in the early-stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA to assess disparities across eight very specific perceived COVID-19 risks. Based on study results, we reached three conclusions—one for each of the Latinx, Black, and Asian populations. Firstly, Latinx people were the most fearful for the two most critical measures: catching COVID-19 in public and dying once you get COVID-19. This has been corroborated in a survey of six states, where Latinx respondents perceived higher risks of dying of COVID-19 than White and Black respondents [34]. However, both this six-state survey and the Understanding America Study found that Latinx people’s perceived risk of infection was no different than White people’s perceived risk [34, 35]. Our result differs because we split this question into two parts: perceived risk of infection at home and in public. With this distinction, we see that the Latinx population’s perceived risk differs from Whites’ exactly for the fear of catching COVID-19 in public.
Secondly, Black people had the most ubiquitous fears and distrust. They were 10 percentage points more likely than any other race to believe the pandemic would not end within 3 months. And, they rated the need to protect their family from COVID-19 at a level of importance that was 19 percentage points higher than any other race and ethnicity. Black people also had the smallest gap (in percent terms) between the fears of catching COVID-19 in public versus while staying at home. They also had the greatest fear of needing medical care if they caught COVID-19, and, were least likely to believe that the hospital could meet their medical needs due to capacity constraints and lack of staff. Overall, Black people did not have confidence in the “system” working, whether from ending the pandemic, to staying home as being protective, or to delivering the needed hospital care. This paints a much different picture than the Understanding America Study, which found no racial and ethnic differences in the perceived risk of hospitalization if infected with COVID-19 compared to White people [35]. This may be because that survey focused more on political party questions about perceptions of COVID rather than health care access questions.
Thirdly, in contrast to Black people, Asian people had the most confidence in the system. They were more likely than White people to think that staying home was protective of COVID-19, and, had the biggest gap between fears of catching COVID-19 at home versus in public. Ironically, this was the case even though Asian people were the least likely of the races to live in an area with stay at home orders issued by their governor. Moreover, like White people, Asian people were the least likely to think that the hospital could not treat them due to capacity constraints.
In the Supplemental Appendix, of all the respondent characteristics in Table 2, besides race, the number of chronic conditions, income, and education were the strongest predictors of disparities in beliefs about COVID-19. We think that some of the racial and ethnic disparities in perceived risks and distrust found in our study could also be due to a mix of other unobserved socio-economic disparities, the quality of their expected hospital, and the political polarization in the USA. A recent study demonstrated that political beliefs affected risk perceptions in the COVID-19 pandemic resulting in a significant disparity in the reaction of households associated with different political party affiliations [36]. Alesina, Ferroni, and Stantcheva (2021) examined the underlying factors that shape one’s views on remedies for disparities, and found that “it is not the perceived magnitudes of racial gaps but rather their perceived causes that have the highest predictive power. Support for race-targeted policies is strongly correlated with the belief that discrimination and racism are to blame. Support for general redistribution is positively correlated with perceptions of racism and discrimination today, more weakly associated with perceived past slavery and discrimination, and negatively correlated with the belief that Black people are poorer because of lack of effort rather than due to adverse circumstances” [37].
Thus, one must consider a wide spectrum of policies to address these perceived gaps during the pandemic. Orom et al. [25] find that Black and Latinx people respond positively to pro-social policies—that is, “this policy (such as masks) will be good not just for you but for others.” Pro-social policies do not resonant as much with White people [25]. At the other end of the spectrum are bias-reducing educational programs, such as the implicit bias training for healthcare providers proposed in the 2021 Senate Bill S.1234 (The Maternal CARE Act) to help mitigate the racial disparities in maternal mortality and morbidity [38]. Moreover, these policies need to take a long-term approach, especially as we move into a New Normal involving continuous preventive measures (such as masking, which we saw does incite racial discrimination) and where receiving care regularly will be needed for “long” COVID, chronic post-acute symptoms that disproportionately affect Non-Whites patients. While President Biden has been seeking to set up a new $6.5 billion agency called ARPA-Health (or ARPA-H, modeled after the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA)) to counter new pandemic threats and the long term effects of COVID, and while others envision an ARPA-C to counter climate change, one could also imagine an ARPA-R (R for “racial”) to create countermeasures to mitigate racial and ethnic disparities in access to care during current and future pandemics [39].
Similarly, as the WHO works internationally to improve the surveillance of detecting pathogens, the collection of data, and the scientific development and equitable distribution of therapies and vaccines, there should be increased international efforts to understand the science of racial and ethnic disparities during COVID-19 [40]. The estimated cost of this pandemic is about $22 trillion, with much of that disproportionately borne by Non-Whites [41]. The basic mechanisms of COVID-19 coagulopathy complications, particularly in Black, Latinx, and American Native Indian populations, are not yet fully understood [42, 43]. Future research should jointly explore the biological and socio-economic underpinnings of these disparities and their interactions.
The contribution of our study is that we show that racial disparities in perceptions of COVID-19 extend far beyond the fear of being infected with COVID-19. They extend deep into the healthcare system—fears that they cannot get the needed treatment at their hospital. This has ramifications for the New Normal, where we are shifting from acute treatment to post-acute chronic care treatment especially needed for “long” COVID, chronic post-acute symptoms that disproportionately affect Non-Whites patients. Thus, understanding the New Normal, as highlighted by the WHO, is crucial [44]. Even though COVID-19 has waned, it is not gone. Just as COVID-19 is not gone, the fear of COVID-19 among Non-Whites has also likely not waned. Minorities are still at the frontline of risk as essential workers, public transportation users, and multi-generational household dwellers, all with multiple chronic conditions. These persistent disparities in perceived COVID-19 risks even under the New Normal can take a toll on mental health. More than 28% of Black and Hispanic people reported that the pandemic had a major negative impact on their mental health, compared to 19% of Whites [1].