Abstract
Purpose of Review
Recent development of energy big data could potentially transform existing energy efficiency evaluation studies into more accurate, generalizable, and scalable ones. This review article covers existing residential energy efficiency evaluation studies and residential building energy studies.
Recent Findings
Results reveal that the majority of existing energy efficiency evaluation frameworks and traditional statistical analysis are not sufficient enough to identify the causal impact of energy efficiency. In reality, households mostly self-select into energy efficiency installations and the observed changes in energy consumption after the installations may be due, at least in part, to certain factors that are generally time-variant and unobservable to the statistician.
Summary
Researchers can utilize emerging large-scale building energy datasets combined with high-frequency energy demand data to develop innovative computational energy efficiency evaluation frameworks. Such frameworks should incorporate knowledge and advances from various disciplines including machine learning, statistics, and econometrics in order to provide more accurate and information-rich causal impact evaluations of energy efficiency measures.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Papers of particular interest, published recently, have been highlighted as: • Of importance
EIA. Annual energy outlook 2015 with projections to 2014. Energy Information Administration, report, DOE/EIA-0383. 2015. Available at http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/0383(2015).pdf (accessed July 2016).
Haas R. Energy efficiency indicators in the residential sector: what do we know and what has to be ensured? Energy Policy. 1997;25(7–9):789–802. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(97)00069-4.
Pérez-Lombard L, Ortiz J, Pout C. A review on buildings energy consumption information. Energy Buildings. 2008;40(3):394–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2007.03.007.
Gillingham K, Palmer K. Bridging the energy efficiency gap: policy insights from economic theory and empirical evidence. Rev Environ Econ Policy. 2014;8(1):18–38. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/ret021.
Messenger, M. Review of evaluation, measurement and verification approaches used to estimate the load impacts and effectiveness of energy efficiency programs. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, report LBNL-3277E. 2010. Available at https://www4.eere.energy.gov/seeaction/system/files/documents/emv_approaches.pdf (accessed July 2016).
• Fowlie M, Greenstone M, Wolfram C. Do energy efficiency investments deliver? Evidence from the weatherization assistance program. Quarterly Journal of Economics. Forthcoming. Randomized control trial field experiment to study actual impact of residential energy efficiency upgrades.
Kissock JK, Eger C. Measuring industrial energy savings. Appl Energy. 2008 May 31;85(5):347–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2007.06.020.
Metoyer J, Dzvova M. Expanding the value of AMI data for energy efficiency savings estimation in California. 2014. Available at http://aceee.org/files/proceedings/2014/data/papers/2-1310.pdf (accessed July 2016).
EIA. How many smart meters are installed in the United States, and who has them? Energy Information Administration. 2016. Available at: http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=108&t=3 (accessed July 2016).
IEI. Utility-scale smart meter deployments: building block of the evolving power grid. Institute for Electronic Innovation, report. 2014 Sep. Available at http://www.edisonfoundation.net/iei/Documents/IEI_SmartMeterUpdate_0914.pdf (accessed July 2016).
EIA. An assessment of interval data and their potential application to residential electricity end use modeling. Energy Information Administration, report. 2015. Available at https://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/reports/smartmetering/pdf/assessment.pdf (accessed July 2016).
Boomhower JP, Davis LW. Do energy efficiency investments deliver at the right time?. National Bureau of Economic Research; 2017.
• Liang J, Qiu Y, James T, Ruddell BL, Dalrymple M, Earl S, Castelazo A. Do energy retrofits work? Evidence from commercial and residential buildings in Phoenix. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. Forthcoming. A study using quasi-experimental design to study the actual impact of energy efficiency retrofits.
• Graff Zivin J, Novan K. Upgrading efficiency and behavior: electricity savings from residential weatherization programs. Energy J. 2016;37(4):1–23. A study using quasi-experimental design to study the actual impact of energy efficiency retrofits.
Scheer J, Clancy M, Hógáin SN. Quantification of energy savings from Ireland’s Home Energy Saving scheme: an ex post billing analysis. Energy Effic. 2013;6(1):35–48. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-012-9164-8.
• Gillingham K, Kotchen MJ, Rapson DS, Wagner G. Energy policy: the rebound effect is overplayed. Nature. 2013;493(7433):475–6. A review of evaluating energy efficiency.
Langevin J, Gurian PL, Wen J. Reducing energy consumption in low income public housing: interviewing residents about energy behaviors. Appl Energy. 2013;102:1358–70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.07.003.
Gillingham K, Rapson D, Wagner G. The rebound effect and energy efficiency policy. Rev Environ Econ Policy. 2016;10(1):68–88. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rev017.
SBW. 2010-2012 PGE and SCE whole house retrofit program process evaluation study. SBW Consulting, technical report 2012. Available at http://www.calmac.org/publications/2010-12_PG%26E_and_SCE_Whole_House_Retrofit_Program_Process_Evaluation_Study.pdf (accessed July 2016).
DOE. Review of selected home energy auditing tools. U.S. Department of Energy, report. 2010. Available at http://energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2013/11/f5/auditing_tool_review.pdf (accessed July 2016).
DOE. M&V Guidelines: measurement and verification for performance-based contracts version 4.0. U.S. Department of Energy, report. 2015. Available at http://energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2016/01/f28/mv_guide_4_0.pdf (accessed July 2016).
EVO. International performance measurement and verification protocol: concepts and options for determining energy and water savings volume i, EVO-10000-1.2012, Efficiency Valuation Organization 2012.
ASHRAE. ASHRAE Guideline 14-2014: measurement of energy, demand and water savings. American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air Conditioning Engineers. 2014.
Hong SH, Oreszczyn T, Ridley I, Warm Front Study Group. The impact of energy efficient refurbishment on the space heating fuel consumption in English dwellings. Energy Build. 2006;38(10):1171–81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2006.01.007.
• Davis LW, Fuchs A, Gertler P. Cash for coolers: evaluating a large-scale appliance replacement program in Mexico. Am Econ J: Econ Pol. 2014;6(4):207–38. A study using large sample of data to study energy efficiency impact.
Adan H, Fuerst F. Do energy efficiency measures really reduce household energy consumption? A difference-in-difference analysis. Energy Effic. 2016 Oct 1;9(5):1207–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-015-9418-3.
Bode JL, Carrillo L, Basarkar M. Whole building energy efficiency and energy savings estimation: does smart meter data with pre-screening open up design and evaluation opportunities? 2014. Available at http://aceee.org/files/proceedings/2014/data/papers/4-442.pdf (accessed July 2016).
Greening LA, Greene DL, Difiglio C. Energy efficiency and consumption—the rebound effect—a survey. Energ Policy. 2000;28(6):389–401. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00021-5.
Novan K, Smith A, Zhou T. Residential building codes d save energy: evidence from hourly smart-meter data. 2017. Available at https://arefiles.ucdavis.edu/uploads/filer_public/f5/91/f591fb4a-2784-4099-8c26-6e44e87bb84e/building_code_draft_may2017.pdf (accessed Sep 2017).
Borenstein S, Holland SP. On the efficiency of competitive electricity markets with time-invariant retail prices. National Bureau of Economic Research; 2003.
Qiu Y. Energy efficiency and rebound effects: an econometric analysis of energy demand in the commercial building sector. Environ Resour Econ. 2014;59(2):295–335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-013-9729-9.
Eckman T, Sylvia, M. EM&V 2.0—new tools for measuring energy efficiency program savings. 2014. Available at http://www.elp.com/Electric-Light-Power-Newsletter/articles/2014/02/em-v-2-0-new-tools-for-measuring-energy-efficiency-program-savings.html
Kumar R, Aggarwal RK, Sharma JD. Energy analysis of a building using artificial neural network: a review. Energy and Buildings. 2013 Oct 31;65:352–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2013.06.007.
Kreider JF. Artificial neural networks demonstration for automated generation of energy use predictors for commercial buildings. ASHIRAE Transactions. 1991;97(1):775–9.
Ansett M. Application of neural networking models to predict energy use. ASHRAE Trans. 1993;99(1):505–17.
Grolinger K, L’Heureux A, Capretz MA, Seewald L. Energy forecasting for event venues: big data and prediction accuracy. Energy Build. 2016;112:222–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.12.010.
Aydinalp M, Ugursal VI, Fung AS. Modeling of the space and domestic hot-water heating energy-consumption in the residential sector using neural networks. Appl Energy. 2004;79(2):159–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2003.12.006.
Ghayekhloo M, Menhaj MB, Ghofrani M. A hybrid short-term load forecasting with a new data preprocessing framework. Electr Power Syst Res. 2015;119:138–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2014.09.002.
Pincetl S, Graham R, Murphy S, Sivaraman D. Analysis of high-resolution utility data for understanding energy use in urban systems: the case of Los Angeles, California. J Ind Ecol. 2016;20(1):166–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.12299.
Dong B, Cao C, Lee SE. Applying support vector machines to predict building energy consumption in tropical region. Energy Build. 2005;37(5):545–53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2004.09.009.
Kwok SS, Yuen RK, Lee EW. An intelligent approach to assessing the effect of building occupancy on building cooling load prediction. Build Environ. 2011;46(8):1681–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2011.02.008.
Jetcheva JG, Majidpour M, Chen WP. Neural network model ensembles for building-level electricity load forecasts. Energy Build. 2014;84:214–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2014.08.004.
Platon R, Dehkordi VR, Martel J. Hourly prediction of a building’s electricity consumption using case-based reasoning, artificial neural networks and principal component analysis. Energy Build. 2015;92:10–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.01.047.
Chae YT, Horesh R, Hwang Y, Lee YM. Artificial neural network model for forecasting sub-hourly electricity usage in commercial buildings. Energy and Buildings. 2016;111:184–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.11.045.
Mihalakakou G, Santamouris M, Tsangrassoulis A. On the energy consumption in residential buildings. Energy and buildings. 2002;34(7):727–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-7788(01)00137-2.
Jain RK, Smith KM, Culligan PJ, Taylor JE. Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy. Appl Energy. 2014;123:168–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.02.057.
Edwards RE, New J, Parker LE. Predicting future hourly residential electrical consumption: a machine learning case study. Energy Build. 2012;49:591–603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2012.03.010.
Jain RK, Damoulas T, Kontokosta CE. Towards data-driven energy consumption forecasting of multi-family residential buildings: feature selection via the lasso. InComputing in Civil and Building Engineering (2014) 2014 (pp. 1675-1682).
Kavousian A, Rajagopal R, Fischer M. Determinants of residential electricity consumption: using smart meter data to examine the effect of climate, building characteristics, appliance stock, and occupants’ behavior. Energy. 2013;55:184–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2013.03.086.
Burlig F, Knittel C, Rapson D, Reguant M, Wolfram C. Machine learning from schools about energy efficiency. 2017. E2e working paper WP-032. Available at http://e2e.haas.berkeley.edu/pdf/workingpapers/WP032.pdf (accessed Sep 2017).
Athey S. Machine learning and causal inference for policy evaluation. In Proceedings of the 21th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 2015 Aug 10 (pp. 5-6). ACM.
Lahouar A, Slama JB. Day-ahead load forecast using random forest and expert input selection. Energy Convers Manag. 2015;103:1040–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2015.07.041.
Dudek G. Short-term load forecasting using random forests. InIntelligent Systems’ 2014 2015 (pp. 821-828). Springer, Cham.
• Balandat M. New tools for econometric analysis of high-frequency time series data-application to demand-side management in electricity markets. University of California, Berkeley Technical Report No. UCB/EECS-2016-203. 2016. A study that develops new methods to use machine learning and econometric analysis to infer causal impacts of demand side management programs.
Zhou K, Fu C, Yang S. Big data driven smart energy management: from big data to big insights. Renew Sust Energ Rev. 2016;56:215–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.11.050.
Zhou K, Yang S. Understanding household energy consumption behavior: the contribution of energy big data analytics. Renew Sust Energ Rev. 2016;56:810–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.001.
Stojkoska BL, Trivodaliev KV. A review of Internet of Things for smart home: challenges and solutions. J Clean Prod. 2017;140:1454–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.006.
Qiu Y, Colson G, Grebitus C. Risk preferences and purchase of energy-efficient technologies in the residential sector. Ecol Econ. 2014;107:216–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.09.002.
Funding
Funding for this research was provided by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 1757329.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of Interest
Yueming Qiu and Anand Patwardhan declare no conflicts of interest.
Human and Animal Rights and Informed Consent
This article does not contain any studies with human or animal subjects performed by any of the authors.
Additional information
This article is part of the Topical Collection on End-Use Efficiency
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Qiu, Y., Patwardhan, A. Big Data and Residential Energy Efficiency Evaluation. Curr Sustainable Renewable Energy Rep 5, 67–75 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-018-0098-4
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-018-0098-4