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Failure prognosis of rolling bearings using maximum variance wavelet subband selection and support vector regression

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Abstract

Machinery failure prognosis is one of the major tasks of condition-based maintenance in which the current issues of the machines are diagnosed, and the remaining useful life (RUL) is estimated by monitoring its present condition. This paper proposes a data driven approach for RUL estimation of rolling bearings. Health indicators (HI) of training bearing and test bearings are constructed by fusion of three features (semivariance, rms and variance) of the wavelet subband that has the maximum variance. Selection of the maximum variance subband helps in clear visualization of the fault progression with time. The dimensions of the selected features are reduced using principal component analysis. The dimensionally reduced features are then subjected to moving averaging over fixed window size and normalizing the moving average. By observing the run to failure degradation profile of training bearings, their respective failure thresholds are estimated. To estimate the failure thresholds of test bearing, HI of the test bearings are matched with the HIs of all the training bearings using bicubic interpolation and goodness of fit function. Support vector regression (SVR) models are used to predict the future degradation profile of test bearings and are constructed using HIs of the bearings. The failure threshold and SVR model finally predict the RUL of the bearings. PRONOSTIA data set is used for validation of the proposed algorithm. The prediction results are compared with some similar works on aforesaid dataset and have proved to be better in terms of prognosis evaluation parameters, viz. mean error, score and standard deviation error.

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We further declare that no funding has been received for the conduct of this research work or preparation of the manuscript.

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Technical discussions and algorithm designing is done by both the authors. Project has been implemented using MATLAB programing by first author, Rakesh Kumar Jha. Manuscript preparation is done by the second author, Preety D. Swami.

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Correspondence to Rakesh Kumar Jha.

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We further declare that the manuscript is the original work of us and we have not published it elsewhere and it has not been submitted elsewhere. We transfer the publication right to Springer, if it would be accepted by the journal for publication.

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Technical editor: Marcelo Areias Trindade.

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Jha, R.K., Swami, P.D. Failure prognosis of rolling bearings using maximum variance wavelet subband selection and support vector regression. J Braz. Soc. Mech. Sci. Eng. 44, 49 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40430-021-03345-2

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