Abstract
Background
The question of whether multiple sclerosis requires life-long disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) remains unanswered. Some studies suggest that older patients with stable disease may safely discontinue their DMTs, yet comprehensive evidence-based data are scarce and real-world studies have provided mixed results.
Objective
The aim of this study was to assess the rate of disease reactivation and associated risk factors after discontinuation of DMTs in patients with multiple sclerosis.
Methods
We searched scientific databases (PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus and Google Scholar) to identify real-world studies published until 31 July, 2023 that reported the number of patients who experienced relapses and/or disability accrual (outcomes of interest) following a therapy discontinuation longer than 12 months. Magnetic resonance activity and treatment re-start after DMT discontinuation were also considered as additional outcomes. We excluded studies where therapy discontinuation was explicitly related to an unintended or planned pregnancy or preceded a treatment switch. We ran random-effects meta-analyses, subgroup analyses and meta-regression models to provide pooled estimates of post-discontinuation relapse and disability events, and to identify their potential moderators (predictors).
Results
After an independent screening, 22 articles met the eligibility criteria, yielding a pooled sample size of 2942 patients followed for 1–7 years after discontinuation (11,689 patient-years). The pooled rates for relapse and disability events were 6.7 and 5.8 per 100 patient-years, respectively. However, available data did not allow us to disentangle isolated disability accrual from relapse-associated worsening. Studies including older patients (β = −0.65, p = 0.006), patients with a longer exposure to DMTs (β = −2.22, p = 0.001) and patients with a longer period of disease stability (β = −2.74, p = 0.002) showed a lower risk of relapse events. According to meta-regression equations, the risk of relapse events after DMT discontinuation became negligible (arbitrarily set at < 1% per year) at approximately 60 years of age, and after either 10 years of DMT exposure, or 8 years of disease stability. Additional analyses showed pooled rates for magnetic resonance imaging activity and re-start events of 16.7 and 17.5 per 100 patient-years, respectively.
Conclusions
Based on our quantitative synthesis of real-world data, in the absence of definitive answers from clinical trials, DMT discontinuation appears feasible with a high degree of certainty in selected patients. While our findings are robust regarding relapse events, future efforts are warranted to determine if DMT discontinuation is associated with isolated disability accrual.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Thompson AJ, Baranzini SE, Geurts J, et al. Multiple sclerosis. Lancet. 2018;391:1622–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30481-1.
Strijbis EMM, Kerbrat A, Corboy JR. Discontinuation of disease-modifying therapy in multiple sclerosis: should we stay or should we go? JAMA Neurol. 2021;78:787. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaneurol.2021.0764.
Prosperini L, Lucchini M, Ruggieri S, et al. Shift of multiple sclerosis onset towards older age. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1136/jnnp-2022-329049.
Michelis D, Brunetti N, Solaro C, et al. Aging with multiple sclerosis: clinical characterization of an elderly population, a cross-sectional study. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2023;69: 104464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2022.104464.
Jakimovski D, Eckert SP, Zivadinov R, Weinstock-Guttman B. Considering patient age when treating multiple sclerosis across the adult lifespan. Expert Rev Neurother. 2021;21:353–64. https://doi.org/10.1080/14737175.2021.1886082.
Weideman AM, Tapia-Maltos MA, Johnson K, et al. Meta-analysis of the age-dependent efficacy of multiple sclerosis treatments. Front Neurol. 2017;8:577. https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2017.00577.
Grebenciucova E, Berger JR. Immunosenescence: the role of aging in the predisposition to neuro-infectious complications arising from the treatment of multiple sclerosis. Curr Neurol Neurosci Rep. 2017;17:61. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11910-017-0771-9.
Prosperini L, Haggiag S, Tortorella C, et al. Age-related adverse events of disease-modifying treatments for multiple sclerosis: a meta-regression. Mult Scler. 2021;27:1391–402. https://doi.org/10.1177/1352458520964778.
Jakimovski D, Vaughn CB, Eckert S, et al. Long-term drug treatment in multiple sclerosis: safety success and concerns. Expert Opin Drug Saf. 2020;19:1121–42. https://doi.org/10.1080/14740338.2020.1805430.
Devonshire V, Lapierre Y, Macdonell R, et al. The Global Adherence Project (GAP): a multicenter observational study on adherence to disease-modifying therapies in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Eur J Neurol. 2011;18:69–77. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-1331.2010.03110.x.
Hartung H-P, Meuth SG, Miller DM, Comi G. Stopping disease-modifying therapy in relapsing and progressive multiple sclerosis. Curr Opin Neurol. 2021;34:598–603. https://doi.org/10.1097/WCO.0000000000000960.
Prosperini L, Kinkel RP, Miravalle AA, et al. Post-natalizumab disease reactivation in multiple sclerosis: systematic review and meta-analysis. Ther Adv Neurol Disord. 2019;12:1756286419837809. https://doi.org/10.1177/1756286419837809.
Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ. 2021;372:71. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n71.
O’Sullivan D, Wilk S, Michalowski W, Farion K. Using PICO to align medical evidence with MDs decision making models. Stud Health Technol Inform. 2013;192:1057.
Stang A. Critical evaluation of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for the assessment of the quality of nonrandomized studies in meta-analyses. Eur J Epidemiol. 2010;25:603–5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-010-9491-z.
Borenstein M, Hedges LV, Higgins JPT, Rothstein HR. A basic introduction to fixed-effect and random-effects models for meta-analysis. Res Synth Methods. 2010;1:97–111. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.12.
Higgins JPT, Thompson SG. Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Stat Med. 2002;21:1539–58. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.1186.
Berkovich R. Clinical and MRI outcomes after stopping or switching disease-modifying therapy in stable MS patients: a case series report. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2017;17:123–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2017.07.007.
Birnbaum G. Stopping disease-modifying therapy in nonrelapsing multiple sclerosis. Int J MS Care. 2017;19:11–4. https://doi.org/10.7224/1537-2073.2015-032.
Bonenfant J, Bajeux E, Deburghgraeve V, et al. Can we stop immunomodulatory treatments in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis? Eur J Neurol. 2017;24:237–44. https://doi.org/10.1111/ene.13181.
Bsteh G, Hegen H, Riedl K, et al. Quantifying the risk of disease reactivation after interferon and glatiramer acetate discontinuation in multiple sclerosis: the VIAADISC score. Eur J Neurol. 2021;28:1609–16. https://doi.org/10.1111/ene.14705.
Chappuis M, Rousseau C, Bajeux E, et al. Discontinuation of second- versus first-line disease-modifying treatment in middle-aged patients with multiple sclerosis. J Neurol. 2023;270:413–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00415-022-11341-2.
Coerver EME, Bourass A, Wessels MHJ, et al. Discontinuation of first-line disease-modifying therapy in relapse onset multiple sclerosis. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2023;74: 104706. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2023.104706.
Olival GS, Cavenaghi VB, Serafim V, et al. Medication withdrawal may be an option for a select group of patients in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Arq Neuropsiquiatr. 2013;71:516–20. https://doi.org/10.1590/0004-282X20130081.
Fagius J, Feresiadou A, Larsson E-M, Burman J. Discontinuation of disease modifying treatments in middle aged multiple sclerosis patients: first line drugs vs natalizumab. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2017;12:82–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2017.01.009.
Hua LH, Fan TH, Conway D, et al. Discontinuation of disease-modifying therapy in patients with multiple sclerosis over age 60. Mult Scler. 2019;25:699–708. https://doi.org/10.1177/1352458518765656.
Jakimovski D, Kavak KS, Vaughn CB, et al. Discontinuation of disease modifying therapies is associated with disability progression regardless of prior stable disease and age. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2022;57: 103406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2021.103406.
Kaminsky A-L, Omorou AY, Soudant M, et al. Discontinuation of disease-modifying treatments for multiple sclerosis in patients aged over 50 with disease inactivity. J Neurol. 2020;267:3518–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00415-020-10029-9.
Kister I, Spelman T, Alroughani R, et al. Discontinuing disease-modifying therapy in MS after a prolonged relapse-free period: a propensity score-matched study. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2016;87:1133–7. https://doi.org/10.1136/jnnp-2016-313760.
Landi D, Signori A, Cellerino M, et al. What happens after fingolimod discontinuation? A multicentre real-life experience. J Neurol. 2022;269:796–804. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00415-021-10658-8.
Lus G, Signoriello E, Maniscalco GT, et al. Treatment withdrawal in relapsing−remitting multiple sclerosis: a retrospective cohort study. Eur J Neurol. 2016;23:489–93. https://doi.org/10.1111/ene.12790.
McFaul D, Hakopian NN, Smith JB, et al. Defining benign/burnt-out MS and discontinuing disease-modifying therapies. Neurol Neuroimmunol Neuroinflammation. 2021;8: e960. https://doi.org/10.1212/NXI.0000000000000960.
Monschein T, Salhofer-Polanyi S, Altmann P, et al. Should I stop or should I go on? Disease modifying therapy after the first clinical episode of multiple sclerosis. J Neurol. 2021;268:1247–53. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00415-020-10074-4.
Pasca M, Forci B, Mariottini A, et al. Sustained disease remission after discontinuation of disease modifying treatments in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2021;47: 102591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2020.102591.
Salavisa M, Serrazina F, Ladeira AF, Correia AS. Discontinuation of disease-modifying therapy in MS patients over 60 years old and its impact on relapse rate and disease progression. Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2023;225: 107612. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clineuro.2023.107612.
Siger M, Durko A, Nicpan A, et al. Discontinuation of interferon beta therapy in multiple sclerosis patients with high pre-treatment disease activity leads to prompt return to previous disease activity. J Neurol Sci. 2011;303:50–2. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jns.2011.01.016.
Wu X, Dastidar P, Kuusisto H, et al. Increased disability and MRI lesions after discontinuation of IFN-beta-1a in secondary progressive MS. Acta Neurol Scand. 2005;112:242–7. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0404.2005.00477.x.
Yano H, Gonzalez C, Healy BC, et al. Discontinuation of disease-modifying therapy for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: effect on clinical and MRI outcomes. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2019;35:119–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msard.2019.07.021.
Zanga G, Portinari C, Barber J, et al. Disease activity after discontinuation of disease-modifying therapies in patients with multiple sclerosis in Argentina: data from the nationwide registry RelevarEM. Neurol Res. 2023;45:112–7. https://doi.org/10.1080/01616412.2022.2124792.
Metelli S, Chaimani A. Challenges in meta-analyses with observational studies. Evid Based Ment Health. 2020;23:83–7. https://doi.org/10.1136/ebmental-2019-300129.
Portaccio E, Bellinvia A, Fonderico M, et al. Progression is independent of relapse activity in early multiple sclerosis: a real-life cohort study. Brain. 2022;145:2796–805. https://doi.org/10.1093/brain/awac111.
Lublin FD, Häring DA, Ganjgahi H, et al. How patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability. Brain. 2022;145:3147–61. https://doi.org/10.1093/brain/awac016.
Alping P, Frisell T, Novakova L, et al. Rituximab versus fingolimod after natalizumab in multiple sclerosis patients. Ann Neurol. 2016;79:950–8. https://doi.org/10.1002/ana.24651.
Hersh CM, Harris H, Conway D, Hua LH. Effect of switching from natalizumab to moderate- vs high-efficacy DMT in clinical practice. Neurol Clin Pract. 2020;10:e53-65. https://doi.org/10.1212/CPJ.0000000000000809.
Mancinelli CR, Scarpazza C, Cordioli C, et al. Switching to ocrelizumab in RRMS patients at risk of PML previously treated with extended interval dosing of natalizumab. Mult Scler. 2021;27:790–4. https://doi.org/10.1177/1352458520946017.
van Lierop Z, Toorop AA, Coerver E, et al. Ocrelizumab after natalizumab in JC-virus positive relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis patients. Mult Scler J Exp Transl Clin. 2021;7:20552173211013830. https://doi.org/10.1177/20552173211013831.
Zanghì A, Gallo A, Avolio C, et al. Exit strategies in natalizumab-treated RRMS at high risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy: a multicentre comparison study. Neurotherapeutics. 2021;18:1166–74. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13311-021-01037-2.
Smoot K, Marginean H, Gervasi-Follmar T, et al. Evaluating the efficacy and safety of transitioning patients with multiple sclerosis from natalizumab to ocrelizumab (OCTAVE). Mult Scler. 2023;29:956–66. https://doi.org/10.1177/13524585231175284.
Corboy JR, Fox RJ, Kister I, et al. Risk of new disease activity in patients with multiple sclerosis who continue or discontinue disease-modifying therapies (DISCOMS): a multicentre, randomised, single-blind, phase 4, non-inferiority trial. Lancet Neurol. 2023;22:568–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1474-4422(23)00154-0.
Prosperini L, Ruggieri S, Haggiag S, et al. Prognostic accuracy of NEDA-3 in long-term outcomes of multiple sclerosis. Neurol Neuroimmunol Neuroinflamm. 2021;8: e1059. https://doi.org/10.1212/NXI.0000000000001059.
Thompson SG, Higgins JPT. How should meta-regression analyses be undertaken and interpreted? Stat Med. 2002;21:1559–73. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.1187.
Sedgwick P. The ecological fallacy. BMJ. 2011. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.d4670.
Acknowledgements
We thank Dr. Dejan Jamowski, Prof. Giacomo Lus, Dr. Manuel Salavisa and Dr. Elisabetta Signoriello for data sharing.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Funding
No sources of funding were used to conduct this study or prepare this article.
Conflicts of Interest
Luca Prosperini, Shalom Haggiag, Serena Ruggieri, Carla Tortorella and Claudio Gasperini have no conflicts of interest that are directly relevant to the content of this article. Financial disclosure (outside this work): Luca Prosperini: consulting fees and/or speaker honoraria from Biogen, Celgene, Genzyme, Merck-Serono, Novartis and Teva; travel grants from Biogen, Genzyme, Novartis and Teva and research grants from the Italian MS Society (Associazione Italiana Sclerosi Multipla) and Genzyme. Carla Tortorella: honoraria for speaking and travel grants from Biogen, Sanofi-Aventis, Merck Serono, Bayer-Schering, Teva, Genzyme, Almirall and Novartis. Shalom Haggiag: travel funding and/or speaker honoraria from Biogen, Roche, Genzyme, Novartis, CSL Behring. Serena Ruggieri: personal fees and non-financial support from Biogen, Genzyme, Merck-Serono, Novartis, and Teva. Claudio Gasperini: fees as invited speaker or travel expenses for attending meeting from Biogen, Merck-Serono, Teva, Sanofi, Novartis, Genzyme.
Ethics Approval
Not applicable.
Consent to Participate
Not applicable.
Consent for Publication
Not applicable.
Availability of Data and Material
The data that support the findings of this study are available in the supplementary information.
Code Availability
Not applicable.
Authors’ Contributions
Conception and design of the study, drafting a significant portion of the manuscript/figures: LP, SH, SR. Acquisition and analysis of data, revision of manuscript content: LP, SR, CT. Supervision and drafting the final version of the manuscript: LP, CT, CG. All authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript.
Supplementary Information
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Prosperini, L., Haggiag, S., Ruggieri, S. et al. Stopping Disease-Modifying Treatments in Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Real-World Studies. CNS Drugs 37, 915–927 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40263-023-01038-z
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40263-023-01038-z