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Changes in stratospheric ClO and HCl concentrations under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios

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Abstract

In this study, comparison of model results and satellite observations reveals that the Whole-Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM-3) reasonably well reproduced the distributions and seasonal variations of ClO and HCl concentrations. In three greenhouse gas emission scenarios (A1B, A2, and B1), the ClO, Cl, ClONO2, and HCl concentrations would gradually decrease with time as emissions of ozone depleting substances (ODS) steadily decrease. The rates of the changes in the ClO, Cl, ClONO2, and HCl concentrations are different in the same emission scenario and the rates of change in the same composition concentration are different for different emission scenarios. The ClO, Cl, and ClONO2 concentrations decrease fastest in scenario A2, next fastest in scenario A1B, and slowest in scenario B1. In contrast, the HCl concentration decreases fastest in scenario B1. The ozone concentration recovers quickly, and is highest in scenario A2. The results show that a rapid decrease in the ClO concentration is an important reason for the accelerated recovery of the ozone layer in scenario A2.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081, China

    Xiaonan Tang  (唐笑男), Yu Liu  (刘煜) & Weiliang Li  (李维亮)

  2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yunnan University, Kunming, 650091, China

    Xiaonan Tang  (唐笑男) & Weiguo Wang  (王卫国)

  3. Jiaxing Weather Bureau of Zhejiang Province, Jiaxing, 314000, China

    Liuming Song  (宋刘明)

Authors
  1. Xiaonan Tang  (唐笑男)
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  2. Yu Liu  (刘煜)
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  3. Weiguo Wang  (王卫国)
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  4. Liuming Song  (宋刘明)
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  5. Weiliang Li  (李维亮)
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yu Liu  (刘煜).

Additional information

Supported by the National (Key) Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (2011CB428605), National Natural Science Foundation of China (41275045 and U1133603), and Key Project of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (2013Z005).

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Tang, X., Liu, Y., Wang, W. et al. Changes in stratospheric ClO and HCl concentrations under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios. J Meteorol Res 29, 639–653 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-015-4065-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-015-4065-3

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