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Acta Meteorologica Sinica

, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 13–25 | Cite as

Formation of an interactive user-oriented forecasting system: Experience from hydrological application in Linyi, Eastern China

  • Zhongwei Yan (严中伟)
  • Jiarui Han (韩佳芮)
  • Meiyan Jiao (矫梅燕)Email author
  • Jing Chen (陈 静)
  • Qian Ye (叶 谦)
  • Linna Zhao (赵琳娜)
  • Kai Tu (涂 锴)
Article

Abstract

Having provided an overview of the ideas of developing user-oriented interactive forecast system (UIFS) emerging in recent years, the authors proposed an idealized framework of the new-generation meteorological system, which includes the initial user-end module for configuring the forecast target, the physical predictive and downscaling components, and an incessant assessing module in association with decision-making at the user-end. A case study was carried out with a focus on applying the TIGGE (THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble; THORPEX stands for The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment) precipitation forecasts for the hydrological users in Linyi, a region richest in rivers and reservoirs in eastern China. The preliminary results exhibited great potential of improvement in applications of weather forecasts by combining the user-end information. Although the TIGGE results provided by existing national/ international operating models were independent from the user-end, the case study enlightened ways of establishing an iteratively self-improving UIFS involving user-orientation throughout the forecast process.

Key words

user-end information user-oriented interactive forecasting system TIGGE 

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Copyright information

© The Chinese Meteorological Society and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  • Zhongwei Yan (严中伟)
    • 1
  • Jiarui Han (韩佳芮)
    • 2
  • Meiyan Jiao (矫梅燕)
    • 3
    Email author
  • Jing Chen (陈 静)
    • 4
  • Qian Ye (叶 谦)
    • 5
  • Linna Zhao (赵琳娜)
    • 4
    • 6
  • Kai Tu (涂 锴)
    • 1
  1. 1.TEA, Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina
  2. 2.Research Center for Strategic DevelopmentChina Meteorological Administration (CMA)BeijingChina
  3. 3.China Meteorological AdministrationBeijingChina
  4. 4.National Meteorological CenterCMABeijingChina
  5. 5.Consortium for Capacity BuildingUniversity of ColoradoColoradoUSA
  6. 6.Public Meteorological CenterCMABeijingChina

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