Abstract
September 2016 harbored record-breaking three tropical cyclones (TCs) affecting Taiwan within a month. Multiple modulating processes governing these three TC events and associated rainfall and intensification features are examined. September 2016 fell in a La Niña phase. For interannual variability, major warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in September 2016 shifted eastward toward the tropical western North Pacific (WNP) compared to the Maritime Continent during other La Niña events. These SST anomalies induced strong convergence and convection anomalies facilitating TC formation. The TCs formed in the joint region between a northern anticyclonic anomaly over the northern WNP and a southern cyclonic anomaly extending from the tropical WNP toward Taiwan. They were steered by anomalous easterly/southeasterly flows northwestward toward an anomalous cyclonic center overlying Taiwan, leading to intensive TC activity affecting Taiwan. For intraseasonal variability, the three TCs of September 2016 were steered by anomalous easterly/southeasterly flows in the southern section of a 30–60-day anomalous anticyclone over the subtropical WNP northwestward toward a 30–60-day anomalous cyclone that lay over Taiwan. During these events, local rainfall in Taiwan was mainly affected by moisture convergence due to 3–10-day transient anomalies, rather than intraseasonal anomalies. For TC intensification processes, faster intensification was assisted by decreases in vertical wind shear and increases in upward motion, moisture convergence, upper-level divergence, and SST. Intensification processes were mainly affected by transient anomalies. Overall, interannual and intraseasonal anomalies modulated TC genesis and movement, while transient anomalies influenced local rainfall and intensification processes.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aiyyer, A., Mekonnen, A., Schreck, C.J.: Projection of tropical cyclones on wavenumber–frequency-filtered equatorial waves. J. Clim. 25(10), 3653–3658 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00451.1
Bi, M., Li, T., Shen, X., Peng, M.: To what extent the presence of real-strength tropical cyclones influences the estimation of atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation intensity? Atmos. Sci. Let. 16(4), 438–444 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.579
Camargo, S.J., Robertson, A.W., Gaffney, S.J., Smyth, P., Ghil, M.: Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part I: General properties. J. Clim. 20(14), 3635–3653 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4188.1
Chan, J.C.L.: Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events. J. Clim. 13(16), 2960–2972 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2960:TCAOTW>2.0.CO;2
Chen, C.-S., Chen, Y.-L.: The rainfall characteristics of Taiwan. Mon. Wea. Rev. 131(7), 1323–1341 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<1323:TRCOT>2.0.CO;2
Chen, J.-M., Chen, H.-S.: Interdecadal variability of summer rainfall in Taiwan associated with tropical cyclones and monsoon. J. Clim. 24(22), 5786–5798 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4043.1
Chen, J.-M., Shih, C.-F.: Association between northward-moving tropical cyclones and southwesterly flows modulated by intraseasonal oscillation. J. Clim. 25(14), 5072–5087 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00264.1
Chen, J.-M., Lu, F.-C., Kuo, S.-L., Shih, C.-F.: Summer climate variability in Taiwan and associated large-scale processes. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 83(4), 499–516 (2005). https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.83.499
Chen, C.-S., Chen, Y.-L., Liu, C.-L., Lin, P.-L., Chen, W.-C.: Statistics of heavy rainfall occurrences in Taiwan. Wea. Forecast. 22(5), 981–1002 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF1033.1
Chen, J.-M., Li, T., Shih, C.-F.: Tropical cyclone and monsoon induced rainfall variability in Taiwan. J. Clim. 23(15), 4107–4120 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3355.1
Chen, J.-M., Chen, H.-S., Liu, J.-S.: Coherent interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone rainfall and seasonal rainfall in Taiwan during October. J. Clim. 26(1), 308–321 (2013a). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00697.1
Chen, J.-M., Tan, P.-H., Shih, C.-F.: Heavy rainfall induced by tropical cyclones across northern Taiwan and associated intraseasonal oscillation modulation. J. Clim. 26(20), 7992–8007 (2013b). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00692.1
Chen, J.-M., Tan, P.-H., Wu, L., Liu, J.-S., Chen, H.-S.: Climatological analysis of passage-type tropical cyclones from the Western North Pacific into the South China Sea. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. 28(3), 327–343 (2017). https://doi.org/10.3319/TAO.2016.10.04.02
Chen, J.-M., Tan, P.-H., Wu, L., Chen, H.-S., Liu, J.-S., Shih, C.-F.: Interannual variability of summer tropical cyclone rainfall in the western North Pacific depicted by CFSR and associated large-scale processes and ISO modulations. J. Clim. 31(5), 1771–1787 (2018a). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0805.1
Chen, J.-M., Wu, C.-H., Chung, P.-H., Sui, C.-H.: Influence of intraseasonal–interannual oscillations on tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 31(12), 4949–4961 (2018b). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0601.1
Chen, J.-M., Wu, C.-H., Gao, J., Chung, P.-H., Sui, C.-H.: Migratory tropical cyclones in the South China Sea modulated by intraseasonal oscillations and climatological circulations. J. Clim. 32(19), 6445–6466 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0824.1
Chen, J.-M., Lin, P.-H., Wu, C.-H., Sui, C.-H.: Track variability of South China Sea-formed tropical cyclones modulated by seasonal and intraseasonal circulations. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. 31(2), 239–259 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3319/TAO.2019.11.07.02
Chia, H.-H., Ropelewski, C.F.: The interannual variability in the genesis location of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific. J. Clim. 15(20), 2934–2944 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2934:TIVITG>2.0.CO;2
Chih, C.-H., Wu, C.-C.: Exploratory analysis of upper-ocean heat content and sea surface temperature underlying tropical cyclone rapid intensification in the Western North Pacific. J. Clim. 33(3), 1031–1050 (2020). https:// https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0305.1
Chu, J.-H., Sampson, C.R., Levine, A.S., Fukada, E.: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center tropical cyclone best tracks, 1945–2000. U.S. Naval Research Laboratory technical report NRL/MR/7540-02-16. http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/best_tracks/TC_bt_report.html (2002). Accessed 26 January 2021
Duchon, C.E.: Lanczos filtering in one and two dimensions. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 18(8), 1016–1022 (1979). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1979)018<1016:LFIOAT>2.0.CO;2
Feng, X., Wu, R., Chen, J., Wen, Z.: Factors for interannual variations of September-October rainfall in Hainan, China. J. Clim. 26(22), 8962–8978 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00728.1
Fudeyasu, H., Ito, K., Miyamoto, Y.: Characteristics of tropical cyclone rapid intensification over the Western North Pacific. J. Clim. 31(21), 8917–8930 (2018). https:// https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0653.1
Gao, S., Zhu, L., Zhang, W., Chen, Z.: Strong modulation of the Pacific meridional mode on the occurrence of intense tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 31(19), 7739–7749 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0833.1
Gao, S., Zhu, L., Zhang, W., Shen, X.: Impact of the Pacific meridional mode on landfalling tropical cyclone frequency in China. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc. 146(730), 2410–2420 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3799
Gill, A.E.: Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 106(449), 447–462 (1980). https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49710644905
Harr, P.A., Elsberry, R.L.: Tropical cyclone track characteristics as a function of large-scale circulation anomalies. Mon. Wea. Rev. 119(6), 1448–1468 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1991)119<1448:TCTCAA>2.0.CO;2
Hsu, H.-H., Hung, C.-H., Lo, A.-K., Wu, C.-C., Hung, C.-W.: Influence of tropical cyclones on the estimation of climate variability in the tropical western North Pacific. J. Clim. 21(12), 2960–2975 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1847.1
Kaplan, J., DeMaria, M.: Large-scale characteristics of rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin. Wea. Forecast. 18(6), 1093–1108 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<1093:LCORIT>2.0.CO;2
Kubota, H., Wang, B.: How much do tropical cyclones affect seasonal and interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific? J. Clim. 22(20), 5495–5510 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2646.1
Li, R.C.Y., Zhou, W.: Modulation of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by the ISO. Part II: Tracks and landfall.J. Clim. 26(9), 2919–2930 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00211.1
Liebmann, B., Smith, C.A.: Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77(6), 1275–1277 (1996)
Lin, I.-I., Wu, C.-C., Pun, I.-F., Ko, D.-S.: Upper-ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific category 5 typhoons. Part I: Ocean features and the category 5 typhoons’ intensification. Mon. Wea. Rev. 136(9), 3288–3306 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2277.1
Lin, I.-I., Pun, I.-F., Wu, C.-C.: Upper-ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific category-5 typhoons. Part II: Dependence on translation speed.Mon. Wea. Rev. 137(11), 3744–3757 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1175/2009MWR2713.1
Matsuno, T.: Quasi-geostrophic motions in the equatorial area. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 44(1), 25–43 (1966). https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj1965.44.1_25
Mori, N., Kato, M., Kim, S., Mase, H., Shibutani, Y., Takemi, T., Tsuboki, K., Yasuda, T.: Local amplification of storm surge by super typhoon Haiyan in Leyte gulf. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41(14), 5106–5113 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060689
Reynolds, R.W., Smith, T.M., Liu, C., Chelton, D.B., Casey, K.S., Schlax, M.G.: Daily high-resolution-blended analyses for sea surface temperature. J. Clim. 20(22), 5473–5496 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1824.1
Saha, S., et al.: The NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 91(8), 1015–1058 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1
Saha, S., et al: The NCEP climate forecast system version 2. J. Clim. 27(6), 2185–2208 (2014). https:// https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00823.1
Schreck III, C.J., Molinari, J., Mohr, K.I.: Attributing tropical cyclogenesis to equatorial waves in the western North Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci. 68(2), 195–209 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3396.1
Tan, P.-H., Tu, J.-Y., Wu, L., Chen, H.-S., Chen, J.-M.: Asymmetric relationships between ENSO and entrance tropical cyclones in the South China Sea during fall. Int. J. Climatol. 39(4), 1872–1888 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5921
Teague, W.J., Jarosz, E., Wang, D.W., Mitchell, D.A.: Observed oceanic response over the upper continental slope and outer shelf during hurricane Ivan. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 37(9), 2181–2206 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO3115.1
Tu, J.-Y., Chen, J.-M.: Large-scale indices for assessing typhoon activity around Taiwan. Int. J. Climatol. 39(2), 921–933 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5852
Wang, B., Chan, J.C.L.: How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 15(13), 1643–1658 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1643:HSEEAT>2.0.CO;2
Wang, D.W., Mitchell, D.A., Teague, W.J., Jarosz, E., Hulbert, M.S.: Extreme waves under hurricane Ivan. Science. 309(5736), 896 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1112509
Wu, L., Takahashi, M.: Contributions of tropical waves to tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific. Clim. Dyn. 50(11–12), 4635–4649 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3895-3
Zhan, R., Wang, Y., Liu, Q.: Salient differences in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific between 1998 and 2016. J. Clim. 30(24), 9979–9997 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0263.1
Zhang, W., Vecchi, G.A., Murakami, H., Villarini, G., Jia, L.: The Pacific meridional mode and the occurrence of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific. J. Clim. 29(1), 381–398 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0282.1
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments to improve this paper. This study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan, under grants MOST 108-2111-M-992-001-MY3 and MOST 109-2611-M-110-018.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Pao-Shin Chu.
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Li, WT., Chen, JM., Tseng, RS. et al. Multiple Modulating Processes for Intensive Tropical Cyclone Activity Affecting Taiwan in September 2016. Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci 58, 145–157 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-021-00245-2
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-021-00245-2