Environmental Earth Sciences

, Volume 65, Issue 5, pp 1405–1414

A methodology for dealing with regional change in integrated water resources management

  • Jochen Schanze
  • Johanna Trümper
  • Cornelia Burmeister
  • Dirk Pavlik
  • Ivan Kruhlov
Special Issue

DOI: 10.1007/s12665-011-1311-6

Cite this article as:
Schanze, J., Trümper, J., Burmeister, C. et al. Environ Earth Sci (2012) 65: 1405. doi:10.1007/s12665-011-1311-6

Abstract

The paper presents a methodology on how to consistently deal with the future change and management options in integrated water resources management (IWRM). It is based on a conceptual framework with a five step procedure for the formulation and analysis of a so-called ‘parameterised regional futures’. Developing and testing the approach for IWRM is realised for the upper part of the Western Bug River catchment (Ukraine). Special attention is paid to scenarios of change covering climate and land use. The future regional climate is downscaled with the model CCLM. Land cover is projected after retrospective change detection and the derivation of prospective algorithms. Parameters of the interrelations between land use and the water cycle are tackled through using the concept of the model PWF-LU. The methodology is currently being tested to analyse the impacts of mid-term regional change and management options on the water cycle of the catchment.

Keywords

Scenarios Climate change Land-use change River catchment 

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jochen Schanze
    • 1
    • 2
  • Johanna Trümper
    • 1
  • Cornelia Burmeister
    • 1
  • Dirk Pavlik
    • 3
  • Ivan Kruhlov
    • 4
  1. 1.Chair of Environmental Development and Risk ManagementTechnische Universität DresdenDresdenGermany
  2. 2.Leibniz Institute of Ecological Urban and Regional DevelopmentDresdenGermany
  3. 3.Chair of MeteorologyTechnische Universität DresdenDresdenGermany
  4. 4.Faculty of GeographyIvan Franko National University of LvivLivivUkraine

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