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Research on expressway traffic flow prediction model based on MSTA-GCN

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Abstract

The traffic flow prediction of expressway is highly nonlinear and complex, so it is technically and operationally difficult to predict it accurately. In order to predict the traffic flow of expressway and alleviate its traffic congestion, a multi-component spatial–temporal graph convolution network model based on attention mechanism (MSTA-GCN) is proposed, which combines GCN, standard CNN and attention mechanism. Firstly, near period, daily period and weekly period are modeled to capture the nonlinear correlation characteristics in multivariable urban spatial–temporal series. Then input the sample data into the integrated model for training and extract the characteristics of traffic flow data. Finally, the model is tested on California Expressway PeMS D7 dataset. The experimental results show that MSTA-GCN is superior to classical shallow learning model, benchmark deep learning model and other traffic flow deep learning models, and has lower prediction error.

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Data will be made available on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

This work is partially supported by Research Project on Economic and Social Development of Liaoning Province (2022lsljdybkt-014), Science and technology innovation fund program of Dalian (2021JJ13SN81), Scientific and Research Project of Education Department of Liaoning Province (No. L2020006) and Research project of China Federation of logistics and procurement (Grant No.:2022CSLKT3-021).

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Correspondence to Tao Ning.

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Ning, T., Wang, J. & Duan, X. Research on expressway traffic flow prediction model based on MSTA-GCN. J Ambient Intell Human Comput 14, 9317–9328 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12652-022-04431-6

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