A total of 2,026 articles were identified after removal of duplicates. Non-pertinent titles and abstracts were excluded, leaving 12 full-text articles that were assessed for eligibility (Fig. 1). After exclusions, five RCTs were included in the review,22,23,24,25,26 with a total of 1,214 patients. Table 1 outlines the study characteristics. All the studies included patients undergoing non-elective CD under regional anesthesia, except one, which looked specifically at non-elective CD under general anesthesia.25 None of the studies specified whether regional anesthesia was intrathecal, epidural, or a combined technique. One study originally included data from a mixed population of elective and non-elective cases, but the author was successfully contacted and provided raw data for the non-elective cases.22 Two of the studies included patients with risk factors for PPH other than non-elective CD, one looking at women with a body mass index (BMI) over 30 and the other looking at general anesthesia only.23,25 The dose of carbetocin was 100 µg iv in all of the studies, being compared with a single bolus dose of oxytocin 5 international units (IU) iv in two of the studies and a bolus dose of 10 IU iv in one study.22,24,26 Two studies used an oxytocin infusion of 20 or 30 IU over four and two hours, respectively.23,25 The need for additional uterotonics was used as the primary outcome measure in all but one of the studies, which used PPH (> 1000 mL) as the primary outcome and need for additional uterotonics as a secondary outcome.23 The most frequent secondary outcome measures were estimated blood loss, hemoglobin drop, and need for blood transfusion.
Table 1 Demographics of included studies Meta-analysis
Pooled results were generated for the parameters below.
Primary outcome
Need for additional uterotonics
Data were available from all five trials and included 617 patients in the carbetocin group and 597 patients in the oxytocin group. In the carbetocin group, 28.20% (95% CI, 24.79 to 31.88) of patients required additional uterotonics whereas, in the oxytocin group, 51.59% (95% CI, 47.59 to 55.58) of patients needed uterotonic supplementation. The MH odds ratio for the need for additional uterotonics was 0.30 (95% CI, 0.11 to 0.86) for patients in the carbetocin group (random effects I2, 90.60%; Fig. 2). To explore the heterogeneity in the above pooled estimate, a sensitivity analysis was performed using the “single-study removal method” revealing that the study by El Behery et al.23 contributed most to the heterogeneity of the estimate. Removing this trial reduced heterogeneity to an I2 of 79.01%. For the conventional boundary, the alpha error was set to 0.05 and the estimated required information size was 335. The alpha-spending boundary was constructed using the O’Brien spending function. The model was adjusted for the heterogeneity observed in the meta-analysis (heterogeneity-adjusted, information size). The relative risk reduction, used by the model to construct the alpha boundary, was estimated based on a 51.59% need for additional uterotonics (the incidence in the control arm of trials with a low risk of bias). Trial sequential analysis calculations were performed for a power of 80%. The information size required for a conclusion based upon the alpha-spending function was calculated to be 850. The total sample size of 1,214 exceeded the required information size for both models (Fig. 3). Thus, a type I error was unlikely.
Secondary outcomes
Incidence of blood transfusion
No patients required a blood transfusion in one trial,25 and data for blood transfusion were available from the remaining four trials, including 507 patients in the carbetocin group and 487 patients in the oxytocin group. The pooled incidence of blood transfusion was 2.17% (95% CI, 1.22 to 3.84) in the carbetocin group and 5.95% (95% CI, 4.18 to 8.42) in the oxytocin group. The MH odds ratio for blood transfusion incidence with carbetocin was 0.46 (95% CI, 0.14 to 1.59). This pooled estimate failed to achieve statistical significance in the random effects model (P = 0.22; I2, 47.74%; eFig. 1 [ESM]). Trial sequential analysis estimated a required information size of 994 for the conventional boundary and 3,342 for the alpha-spending function. Thus, the present sample size (994) was inadequate to make a definitive conclusion.
Estimated blood loss
Data were available from all five trials. Pooled mean difference of blood loss failed to achieve statistical significance and suffered from high heterogeneity (random effects I2, 97.47%; eFig. 2 [ESM]). The mean difference in blood loss (carbetocin to oxytocin) was 46.60 mL (95% CI, -71.95 to 165.15; P = 0.44). Presently available information from the trials was inadequate to construct an alpha boundary for TSA.
Incidence of PPH (> 1000 mL)
Four trials reported this outcome, but the pooled results failed to achieve statistical significance. The MH odds ratio for PPH with carbetocin was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.31 to 1.80; P = 0.52; random effects I2, 57.26%; eFig. 3 [ESM]).
Mean change in hemoglobin
Data were available from four trials. Pooled results failed to achieve statistical significance. The difference in mean drop of hemoglobin (carbetocin to oxytocin) was 0.07 g·dL−1 (95% CI, -0.59 to 0.74; P = 0.83; random effects I2, 96.45%; eFig. 4 [ESM]).
Quality
A risk of bias assessment was performed on the studies (Fig. 4). Primary outcome measurements had an unclear risk of bias in one study because the methods for estimating blood loss were subjective,23 and in another study because randomization was unblinded after recruitment and prior to analysis.26 The generalisability of two of the studies was unclear because of the exclusive recruitment of patients with high BMI and general anesthesia.23,25 Nevertheless, this did not contribute to the risk of bias assessment using the revised RoB 2 tool.20 The quality of the evidence, rated using the GRADE framework, is shown in Table 2.
Table 2 GRADE Framework: GRADEPro summary of findings table Publication bias
Publication bias was evaluated visually with a funnel plot (eFig. 5 [ESM]) and subsequently by Egger’s Regression test. No publication bias was suggested by these tests. The regression test was statistically non-significant and showed an X-axis intercept at -2.43 with P = 0.55 (two-tailed).