This study shows that ETCO2 variation is correlated with changes in cardiac output induced by a simplified PLR maneuver. Thus, it could provide a noninvasive and easily available method at the bedside for predicting fluid responsiveness (or non-responsiveness) in paralyzed patients receiving mechanical ventilation.
End-tidal CO2 is determined by minute ventilation, pulmonary blood flow (i.e., cardiac output), and CO2 production by cell metabolism (VCO2). It is inversely proportional to minute ventilation and proportional to cardiac output and VCO2.9,14 Therefore, assuming constant CO2 production and constant minute ventilation, ETCO2 should reflect changes in cardiac output. This reasoning has been very well described in numerous publications showing a direct and linear relationship between cardiac output and ETCO2 variations. This thinking has been validated for a wide range of cardiac output, including a very low cardiac output state.15–17
Assessing fluid responsiveness is essential in managing hemodynamic instability. The PLR maneuver induces a transient shift of venous blood from the lower limbs and the abdominal compartment towards the heart, increasing right and left cardiac preload.18 Numerous studies,8,19–21 including a recent meta-analysis,7 have shown that the change in cardiac output after PLR is a reliable and accurate method to predict fluid responsiveness.
During PLR, the cardiac output variation must be measured, and this can be achieved noninvasively by obtaining the ETCO2 variation when no direct cardiac output measurement devices are available. Our study shows that a significant change in cardiac output (≥ 15%) induced by PLR is correlated with an ETCO2 variation of > 2 mmHg (ΔETCO2 ≥ 2 mmHg). Therefore, ETCO2 could be considered a surrogate to cardiac output during PLR, predicting fluid responsiveness with a sensitivity of 75%. In a similar trial by Monnet et al., a sensitivity of 71% was obtained.12 Interestingly, before and after PLR, absolute values of ETCO2 were not different between responders and non-responders. This is explained by the fact that ETCO2 is influenced by minute ventilation and VCO2, which are different for every patient included in this study. It shows that ΔETCO2 must be used instead of absolute values. Our study also confirms previous observations7 that SBP and arterial pulse pressure are less reliable than CI to assess the effect of PLR, even if those variables were significantly different between responders and non-responders after the PLR maneuver. Usual static parameters of fluid responsiveness, such as CVP and PCWP, were not reliable in this study. This finding is consistent with observations reported by many groups.22,23
Our study shows that an ΔETCO2 > 2 mmHg induced by PLR is associated with a low PPV (54%), meaning that only 54% of patients with a positive test would be fluid responders. Nevertheless, the high NPV(86%) of this test gives useful information regarding fluid responsiveness. Patients are unlikely to respond to fluids if the ΔETCO2 is < 2 mmHg following the onset of PLR.
These observations confirm the results of three recent and well-designed trials showing accurate tracking of cardiac output by ETCO2 during PLR.10–12 Nevertheless, in these trials, a standard PLR maneuver (semi-recumbent to recumbent position with a 45o elevation of the lower limbs) was performed using a dedicated ICU bed. In certain situations (in the operating room for example), however, only a simplified PLR can be done, starting in a recumbent position and lifting the patient’s legs at a 45o angle. In previous PLR trials, Jabot et al.
24 found significant differences in hemodynamic response to PLR favouring the semi-recumbent starting position, but in a recent meta-analysis by Cavallaro et al.,7 the authors found no difference between those two starting positions. The authors conclude that the hemodynamic effects of PLR are independent from the technique used to perform the maneuver. Fluid responders are on the steep part of their Frank-Starling curve. Only a small fluid challenge is necessary to induce a significant increase in cardiac output25; therefore, a simplified PLR maneuver is sufficient. Someone higher along the Frank-Starling curve, towards the flat part, will not respond, even with a bigger fluid challenge. If fluid is given to these patients, the result will likely be worsening edema.26 In the present study, we showed that fluid responsiveness can be assessed using ETCO2 monitoring and a simplified PLR maneuver.
This prospective observational trial provides a clinically useful way to predict fluid responsiveness using readily available diagnostic tools such as a simplified PLR maneuver and ETCO2 measurement by capnography. In three recent trials, a 5% ΔETCO2 cut-off was proven reliable for tracking a 15% cardiac output variation following a PLR maneuver, which defines fluid responsiveness.10–12 In these trials, a 5% variation corresponded to a mean absolute value of 2 mmHg. For these reasons, a cut-off of 2 mmHg for ΔETCO2 was chosen as a pragmatic and easily applicable hemodynamic target. In clinical practice, absolute values are much easier to use than percentage of variation. Following the same line of reasoning, a 10 mmHg SBP was selected. When we combine these two factors in a logistic regression model, the probability of response to PLR, and fluid loading, is increased. This relation is mostly driven by the presence of an ΔETCO2 ≥ 2 mmHg, which shows once again that CI variation, or its surrogate, is the parameter that must be followed to assess the hemodynamic response to PLR.
End-tidal CO2 monitoring as a surrogate to cardiac output during PLR has some limitations. First, it can help monitor CI variations only during short periods of time since VCO2 is not constant, being dependent on cell metabolism. In situations where the metabolic rate varies considerably, such as in fever or shivering, ETCO2 variations cannot be explained solely by cardiac output variation. Nevertheless, it is unlikely that this phenomenon would be of clinical importance since the maximal hemodynamic effect of PLR is in the first minute. Second, to eliminate fluctuation of minute ventilation, patients must receive volume-controlled ventilation and be paralyzed or deeply sedated to be fully adapted to this mode of ventilation. End-tidal CO2 monitoring would not be reliable with any spontaneous breathing activity. In this study, all patients were anesthetized and paralyzed. The population was also highly selective and might not represent a general intensive care or general surgical population. Nevertheless, they represent patients with cardiovascular disease after the induction of anesthesia before a surgical procedure. With the aging population, this type of patient is likely to increase in the non-cardiac surgical setting. Patients with vasoplegic states or cardiogenic shock were not included in this study, which affects the external validity of this trial. Third, any conditions that affect the interpretation of PLR, such as abdominal hypertension,27 must be taken into account. Fourth, the effect of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on the validity of ETCO2 variation as a marker of cardiac output variation could be questioned. In our study, COPD patients were not excluded, and there was no difference in the number of COPD patients between responders and non-responders, as shown in Table 1. With COPD, ETCO2 is usually lower, reflecting the increase in alveolar dead space. In our population, the mean (SD) basal ETCO2 values were the same in COPD patients [37 (3) mmHg] as in normal subjects [36 (3) mmHg]. Therefore, we can hypothesize that these COPD patients did not have severe disease. When minute ventilation and CO2 production are kept constant, ETCO2 variation correlates closely with cardiac output variation. This is true in both normal subjects and COPD patients. In previous trials by Monnet et al.
12 and Monge Garcia et al.,10 COPD patients were not excluded. Our results correlate with their findings. With regard to the PLR maneuver, there is a lack of studies investigating the validity of this test to predict fluid responsiveness specifically in the COPD population. Finally, continuous cardiac output measurements were not used. Using a standard dilution method, a single measurement was made one minute after the start of the PLR maneuver, i.e., the moment with the maximal reported hemodynamic effect.8 With this protocol, earlier or delayed cardiac output variations might have been missed, incorrectly labelling patients as non-responders.