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Generating evacuation task plans for community typhoon emergencies: an integration of case-driven and model-driven approaches

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Abstract

In community emergency management, it is crucial to generate evacuation task plans (ETPs) to help reduce risks in complex disaster situations. Case-driven and model-driven approaches have their respective advantages in generating ETPs, which can complement each other. With case-driven approach, historical experience can be fully used to establish the relationship between typhoon scenarios and historical ETPs. Through model-driven approach, the continuity of ETPs can be guaranteed when required information to operate the plans is missing. This study aims at proposing an integrated approach that can combine the benefits of both case-driven approaches and model-driven approaches. Based on the structural modeling of evacuation tasks, this paper proposes an integrated approach to generate ETPs for community typhoon emergencies. Finally, a case that is based on actual problems is provided to verify the reasonability and effectiveness of the proposed method.

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Acknowledgements

This work is supported by the Major Research Project of Nation Natural Science Foundation of China named “Big data Driven Management and Decision-making Research” (No. 91746207), the General Program of Nation Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71774043) and the Emergency Management Major Research Project of Nation Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 91024028).

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  1. School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, No. 13, Fa-yuan Street, Harbin, 150001, Heilongjiang, China

    Zhao-ge Liu, Xiang-yang Li & Dilawar Khan Durrani

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  1. Zhao-ge Liu
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  2. Xiang-yang Li
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  3. Dilawar Khan Durrani
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Correspondence to Zhao-ge Liu.

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Liu, Zg., Li, Xy. & Durrani, D.K. Generating evacuation task plans for community typhoon emergencies: an integration of case-driven and model-driven approaches. Oper Res Int J 21, 745–774 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-019-00481-5

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