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Spatial visualization on patterns of disaggregate robberies

Operational Research volume 19, pages 857–886 (2019)Cite this article

Abstract

The problem of aggregating large samples of criminal data in visual representations, as often observed in many studies using geographic information systems and optimization tools to perform social assessments and design spatial patterns, is discussed in this work. A compensation bias in the correlation measure of the spatial association can be found in such types of big data aggregations, which may jeopardize the entire analysis and the conclusions from the results. In this work, a big dataset of robbery incidents recorded from the years 2013 through 2016 in Recife, one of the most important Brazilian capitals, is decomposed into nine small sets of specific robberies, namely, larceny, armed robbery, group stealing, motor vehicles thefts, burglary, commercial burglary, saidinha de banco (saucy bank), motor vehicle robbery (carjacking) and arrastão (flash robbery). More accurate measures for the spatial autocorrelation can be derived from the individual incidences as proposed in this work. The visualization of optimized hot spots and cold spots of crime based on these autocorrelation measures besides enable rapid actions where crime concentrates, they have the property to design spatial patterns that can be associated with environmental, social and economic factors to support more efficient decision making on the allocation of public safety resources.

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Notes

  1. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR04545.v1.

  2. When disaggregated, data on the individual types of the remaining robberies, besides larceny and armed robbery, become insufficient to explore additional spatial regressions.

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Funding

Funding was provided by Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Departamento de Engenharia de Produção, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Av. da Arquitetura - Cidade Universitária, Recife, PE, 50740-550, Brazil

    Thyago Celso C. Nepomuceno & Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Costa

  2. Dipartimento di Ingegneria Informatica Automatica e Gestionale Antonio Ruberti, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Ariosto, 25, 00185, Rome, RM, Italy

    Thyago Celso C. Nepomuceno

Authors
  1. Thyago Celso C. Nepomuceno
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  2. Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Costa
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Correspondence to Thyago Celso C. Nepomuceno.

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Nepomuceno, T.C.C., Costa, A.P.C.S. Spatial visualization on patterns of disaggregate robberies. Oper Res Int J 19, 857–886 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-019-00479-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-019-00479-z

Keywords

  • Criminal behavior
  • Spatial analysis
  • Geographic information system (GIS)
  • Data visualization
  • Data disaggregation
  • Optimized hot spots