Abstract
This paper explores the effect of informed trading, heterogeneity investment and liquidity shocks on the valuation of credit default swaps (CDSs). Under the condition of asymmetric information, the informed trading plays an important role in the valuation of CDS. Instruction order flow has a significant influence on CDS price. And the scope of influence changes in accordance with different time interval, company status and the size of bid-ask spread. Heterogeneity of investors seriously affects the market liquidity and subsequently affects the CDS price. The bigger heterogeneity of the investment philosophy, investment habits, investment preference and so on is the bigger risk for market liquidity, and the higher price for CDS shall be. On the contrary, the conclusion is also consistent. The effectiveness of liquidity, whether it is before or after the financial crisis, dominates the fluctuation of CDS price. The premium of liquidity accounts for 36% to 50% of the CDS price.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
BONGAERTS D, JONG F D, DRIESSEN J. Derivative pricing with liquidity risk: Theory and evidence from credit default swap market [J]. Journal of Finance, 2011, 66(1): 203–240.
ACHARYAV V, PEDERSEN L H. Asset pricing with liquidity risk [J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2005, 77(2): 375–410.
HASBROUCK J. Measuring the information content of stock trades [J]. Journal of Finance, 1991, 46(1): 179–207.
CAMERON A C, TRIVEDI P K. Microeconometrics methods and applications [M]. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2005.
PIRES P, PEREIRA J P, MARTINS L F. The complete picture of credit default swap spreads: A quantile regression approach [EB/OL]. [2010–07-13]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstractid=1125265.
ACHARYA V V, JOHNSON T C. Insider trading in credit derivatives [J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2007, 84(1): 110–141.
TANG D Y, YAN H. Liquidity and credit default swap spreads [EB/OL]. (2007-09-04) [2009-01-22]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract id=891263.
GÂRLEANU N, PEDERSEN L H, POTESHMAN A M. Demand-based option pricing [J]. Review of Financial Studies, 2009, 22(10): 4259–4299.
BOLLEN N P B, WHALEY R E. Does net buying pressure affect the shape of implied volatility function? [J]. Journal of Finance, 2004, 59(2): 711–753.
CHORDIA T, ROLL R, SUBRAHMANYAM A. Commonality in liquidity [J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2000, 56(1): 3–28.
DUFOUR A, ENGLE R F. Time and the price impact of a trade [J]. Journal of Finance, 2000, 55(6): 2467–2498.
TANG D Y, YAN H. Does the tail wag the dog? The price impact of CDS trading [EB/OL]. [2010-06-30]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract id=1632976.
HASBROUCK J, SEPPI D J. Common factors in prices, order flows and liquidity [J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2001, 59(3): 383–411.
BÜHLER W, TRAPP M. Credit and liquidity risk in bond and CDS market [EB/OL]. (2007-02-01) [2007-03-03]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstractid=967301.
BÜHLER W, TRAPP M. Time-varying credit risk and liquidity premia in bond and CDS markets [EB/OL]. [2008-03-07]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstractid=1101730
CHEN L H, HAMMOUDEH S, YUAN Y. Asymmetric convergence in US financial credit default swap sector index markets [J]. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2011, 51(4): 408–418.
BADAOUI S, CATHCART L, EI-JAHEL L. Implied liquidity risk premium in the term structure of sovereign credit default swap and bond spreads [EB/OL]. [2014-01-05]. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract id=2317966.
GÜNDÜZ Y, KAYA O. Impacts of the financial crisis on eurozone sovereign CDS spreads [J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014, 49: 425–442.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding authors
Additional information
Foundation item: the National Social Science Foundation of China (No. 11BGJ013)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Yang, X., Fan, C. & Li, G. Informed trading, heterogeneity investment, liquidity shocks and the valuation of credit default swaps. J. Shanghai Jiaotong Univ. (Sci.) 21, 69–80 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12204-016-1701-8
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12204-016-1701-8