Abstract
Condition based maintenance (CBM) is becoming more and more popular in equipment maintenance. A prerequisite to widespread deployment of CBM technology and practice in industry is effective diagnostics and prognostics. A dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) based prognosis method was investigated to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) for an equipment. First, a DBN based prognosis framework and specific steps for building a DBN based prognosis model were presented. Then, the corresponding inference algorithms for DBN based prognosis were provided. Finally, a prognosis procedure based on particle filtering algorithms was used to predict the RUL of drill-bits of a vertical drilling machine, which is commonly used in industrial process. Preliminary experimental results are promising.
Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.References
Bunks C, Mccarthy D, Tarik A. Condition based maintenance of machines using hidden Markov models [J]. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2000, 14(4): 597–612.
Jardine A K S, Lin D M, Banjevic D. A review on machinery diagnostics and prognostics implementing condition-based maintenance[J]. Mechanical Systems and Signal processing, 2006, 20(6): 1483–1510.
Lin D, Markis V. On-line parameter estimation for a failure-prone system subject to condition monitoring [J]. Journal of Applied Probability, 2004, 41(1): 211–220.
Su L P, Nolan M, DeMare G, et al. Prognostic framework software design tool [C]// Proceedings of IEEE Aerospace Conference. Big sky, Montana: IEEE, 2000: 9–14.
Goode K B, Moore J, Roylance B J. Plant machinery working life prediction method utilizing reliability and condition-monitoring data[J]. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part E: Journal of Process Mechanical Engineering, 2000, 214(2): 109–122.
Volk P J, Wnek M, Zygmunt M. Utilising statistical Residual life estimates of bearings to quantify the influence of preventive maintenance actions [J]. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2004, 18(4): 833–847.
Yan J, Koc M, Lee J. A prognostic algorithm for machine performance assessment and its application [J]. Production Planning and Control, 2004, 15(8): 796–801.
Baruah P, Chinnam R B. HMMs for diagnostics and prognostics in machining processes [J]. International Journal of Production Research, 2005, 43(6): 1275–1293.
Brotherton T, Jahns J, Jacobs J, et al. Prognosis of faults in gas turbine engines [C]// Proceedings of the IEEE Aerospace Conference. Big sky, Montana: IEEE, 2000: 163–171.
Murphy K P. Dynamic bayesian networks: representation, inference and learning [D]. Berkeley: University of California, 2002.
Murphy K P. Bayes net toolbox [EB/OL]. http://www.ai.mit.edu/murphyk/Software/BNT/bnt.html, 2003.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Foundation item: the Shanghai Pujiang Program (No. 05PJ14067)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Dong, M., Yang, Zb. Dynamic Bayesian network based prognosis in machining processes. J. Shanghai Jiaotong Univ. (Sci.) 13, 318–322 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12204-008-0318-y
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12204-008-0318-y