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3–6-9 “Threatened-Me” Rule: Testing a New Method to Reduce Unrealistic Comparative Optimism

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Abstract

Unrealistic comparative optimism (UO) bias, which is a specific and biased form of optimism, poses major risks for the individual, particularly for one’s health. From this perspective, there is a pressing need for methods reducing this bias and the present paper joins this effort. In two on-line mixed-design experiments (N = 1,330), the second of which was preregistered, we tested whether UO – regarding the probability of COVID-19 infection—can be eradicated or at least reduced via generation of optimistic/pessimistic scenarios in comparison to others. Generating pessimistic scenarios consistently fully eradicated the UO bias. Generating optimistic scenarios did not change UO.

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All materials, as well as databases, and statistical analysis for the experiments are available at the Open Science Framework (OSF; https://osf.io/3u956/).

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Funding

This research was supported by: The Polish National Agency for Academic Exchange (NAWA) within the Urgency Grants programme granted to Wojciech Kulesza (number: PPN/GIN/2020/1/00063/U/00001).

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Correspondence to Paweł Muniak.

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Ethical committee

All experiments were reviewed and approved by the ethics committee of the SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities in Wroclaw, Poland (02/P/08/2020).

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Our research aims to explore people's current views on the COVID-19 pandemic. There is one question and one survey to complete. The entire procedure should take you no longer than 5 min. The survey is confidential, but anonymized data may be published online. The research contains two parts: firstly, you will be asked to answer the question and after that, you will be asked to complete a short survey. This study was reviewed and approved by the ethics committee of the SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities in Wroclaw, Poland (opinion number: 02/P/08/2020). Thank you for your engagement in this study! Participation agreement: I confirm that I have read the information about the research and its proceedings. I understand that my participation is voluntary and that I am free to withdraw at any time, without giving a reason and without risking any consequences. I was informed about confidentiality. I consent to the processing of my personal data, but only related to the purpose of the study.

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Kulesza, W., Dolinski, D., Muniak, P. et al. 3–6-9 “Threatened-Me” Rule: Testing a New Method to Reduce Unrealistic Comparative Optimism. Curr Psychol 43, 7284–7296 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-023-04927-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-023-04927-0

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