Preliminary Data Linking American Consumer Perceptions with Unauthorized Migration to the U.S.

  • Amanda VentaEmail author
  • Ericka Ball Cooper
  • Justin Bristow
  • Enrique Venta


Unauthorized migration to the U.S. is frequent, though economic predictors are understudied. This study examined the predictive utility of U.S. economic metrics in relation to unauthorized migration 2000–2016. Findings indicated that economic metrics add significant predictive power to models predicting unauthorized migration up to 4 months later. The most predictive metric was the Consumer Confidence Index, indicating that the perception of U.S. economic health—rather than objective parameterization—is most relevant. To our knowledge, this is the first study to consider the Consumer Confidence Index and examine U.S. economic metrics over the last decade, in relation to unauthorized migration.


Migration Economics Southwest Mexico Unauthorized 


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Copyright information

© Springer Nature B.V. 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of PsychologySam Houston State UniversityHuntsvilleUSA
  2. 2.U.S. Border Patrol, Department of Homeland SecurityWashington, D.C.USA
  3. 3.Department of Management and MarketingLamar UniversityBeaumontUSA

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