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Does consensus bargaining control labor costs in Japan? Evidence from the “bubble economy” and its aftermath

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Abstract

Japan’s system of labor negotiations provides an opportunity to see whether consensus bargaining restrains labor costs. The recent volatility of the Japanese economy affords a unique chance to observe how consensus-based labor settlements adjusted to sudden, sharp changes in market conditions. It is also possible to evaluate the role of bonus payments in amending labor settlements. With observations for 1986–1995,1 use measures of productivity gains to calculate the capacity for increasing worker pay and then analyze whether pay increases exceeded that capacity. I report the extent to which changes in labor earnings were scheduled or resulted from adjustments in bonus pay. During the boom years of the late 1980s, employers inflated bonuses so that workers’ pay increased more than had been scheduled, but not enough to exceed the capacity for growth. But during the sluggish years of the early 1990s, pay agreements were excessive. Employers cut workers’ bonuses to keep earnings growth in check. Thus, bonus pay provided a “degree of freedom” allowing employers to adjust labor costs following sudden upswings and downturns in the economy.

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I am grateful to Professor Hideo Kawada and Mr. Kenichi Matsuki, both of Senshu University, for their assistance in gathering the earnings data for this study. Thanks are also due to Craig MacPhee, Roger Riefler, and Hendrik Van den Berg for thoughtful comments and suggestions. I am responsible for any remaining shortcomings.

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Fuess, S.M. Does consensus bargaining control labor costs in Japan? Evidence from the “bubble economy” and its aftermath. J Labor Res 20, 233–245 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12122-999-1016-8

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