Notes
Frank Knight, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (New York: Houghton Mifflin, 1921); John Maynard Keynes The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (London: Macmillan and Co., 1936)
Milton Friedman, Price Theory (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 1962)
For a more sympathetic account of the use of Bayesian reasoning in the world of intelligence, see David Omand, How Spies Think: Ten Lessons in Intelligence (London: Viking, 2020).
Obama’s own account of his thinking about the Abbottabad raid is worth reading in the light of Kay and King’s discussion. See his A Promised Land (London: Viking, 2020), chapter 27.
Walter R. Fischer, Human Communication as Narration: Towards a Philosophy of Reason, Value, and Action (Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1987)
Ludwig Wittgenstein, On Certainty (Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1969)
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Cassam, Q. John Kay and Mervyn King: Radical Uncertainty: Decision-making for an Unknowable Future. Soc 58, 72–76 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12115-021-00572-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12115-021-00572-0