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Identifying the early predictors of non-response to steroids in patients with flare of autoimmune hepatitis causing acute-on-chronic liver failure

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Abstract

Background and aims

Early identification of non-response to steroids is critical in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We assessed if this non-response can be accurately identified within first few days of treatment.

Methods

Patients with AIH-ACLF without baseline infection/hepatic encephalopathy were identified from APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) database. Diagnosis of AIH-ACLF was based mainly on histology. Those treated with steroids were assessed for non-response (defined as death or liver transplant at 90 days for present study). Laboratory parameters, AARC, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were assessed at baseline and day 3 to identify early non-response. Utility of dynamic SURFASA score [− 6.80 + 1.92*(D0-INR) + 1.94*(∆%3-INR) + 1.64*(∆%3-bilirubin)] was also evaluated. The performance of early predictors was compared with changes in MELD score at 2 weeks.

Results

Fifty-five out of one hundred and sixty-five patients (age—38.2 ± 15.0 years, 67.2% females) with AIH-ACLF [median MELD 24 (IQR: 22–27); median AARC score 7 (6–9)] given oral prednisolone 40 (20–40) mg per day were analyzed. The 90 day transplant-free survival in this cohort was 45.7% with worse outcomes in those with incident infections (56% vs 28.0%, p = 0.03). The AUROC of pre-therapy AARC score [0.842 (95% CI 0.754–0.93)], MELD [0.837 (95% CI 0.733–0.94)] score and SURFASA score [0.795 (95% CI 0.678–0.911)] were as accurate as ∆MELD at 2 weeks [0.770 (95% CI 0.687–0.845), p = 0.526] and better than ∆MELD at 3 days [0.541 (95% CI 0.395, 0.687), p < 0.001] to predict non-response. Combination of AARC score > 6, MELD score > 24 with SURFASA score ≥ − 1.2, could identify non-responders at day 3 (concomitant— 75% vs either − 42%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Baseline AARC score, MELD score, and the dynamic SURFASA score on day 3 can accurately identify early non-response to steroids in AIH-ACLF.

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Abbreviations

AARC:

APASL ACLF research consortium

ACLF:

Acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIH:

Autoimmune hepatitis

ALF:

Acute liver failure

APASL:

Asia Pacific Association of Study of Liver Disease

HAV:

Hepatitis A virus

HEV:

Hepatitis E virus

MELD:

Model for end-stage liver disease

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Correspondence to Anoop Saraya or Shiv Kumar Sarin.

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Sanchit Sharma, Samagra Agarwal, Anoop Saraya, Ashok Kumar Choudhury, Sanjiv Saigal, A S Soin, Akash Shukla, Manoj K Sahu, Laurentius A Lesmana, Renaldi C Lesmana, Samir N Shah, Jinhua Hu, Soek Siam Tan, Dinesh Jothimani, Mohammed Rela, Hasmik L Ghazinyan, DN Amrapurkar, C E Eapen, Ashish Goel, Diana Alcantra Payawal, Saeed Hamid, Amna S Butt, Duan Zhongping, Virender Singh, Ajay Duseja, Ajit Sood, Vandana Midha, Mamun Al Mahtab, Dong Joon Kim, Qin Ning, Anand V Kulkarni, PN Rao, Guan Huei Lee, Sombat Treeprasertsuk, Xin Shaojie, Md. Fazal Karim, Jose D Sollano, Kemal Fariz Kalista, Rino Alvani Gani, VG Mohan Prasad, Shiv Kumar Sarin are none of the authors had any conflicts of interests.

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Sharma, S., Agarwal, S., Saraya, A. et al. Identifying the early predictors of non-response to steroids in patients with flare of autoimmune hepatitis causing acute-on-chronic liver failure. Hepatol Int 17, 989–999 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12072-023-10482-4

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