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Cognitive biases in energy decisions during the planning, design, and construction of commercial buildings in the United States: an analytical framework and research needs

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Abstract

Despite a national goal for every building to achieve net-zero energy by 2050 and despite exemplary projects proving the technical and economic feasibility of much better energy performance, commercial buildings in the USA today use more energy per square foot than they ever have. Decisions made during planning, design, and construction (delivery) of commercial buildings appear systematically irrational, not maximizing utility for designers, occupants, or society. In other fields, notably economics, improved understanding of cognitive biases like “loss aversion” and “anchoring” has helped to explain seemingly irrational decision making. Related work has examined these cognitive biases for energy decisions made in an occupied building. Less clear is the role these cognitive biases play in the high-impact, long-term energy decisions made during commercial building delivery. As an initial step towards addressing this gap in understanding, this paper outlines key energy decisions in commercial building delivery and shows how cognitive biases may impact these decisions. A suggested approach to study these biases, and to design policies that address them, is provided. By highlighting these potential cognitive biases, based on an understanding of the building delivery process, this paper aims to engage those with relevant expertise in the behavioral and social sciences to help address the decision making that is preventing progress towards improved energy performance in commercial buildings.

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Notes

  1. On average, computers account for 1.5% of this energy intensity and electronics another 5% (U.S. Department of Energy 2008), so increased use of these technologies does not fully explain the increase.

  2. The green buildings studied generally outperform comparable new buildings (Turner & Frankel 2008). However, taken as a whole, the existing building stock outperforms these green buildings. This is not a perfect comparison, as the green buildings studied represent a limited sample that is not necessarily a perfect cross-section of the entire commercial building sector. Still, the fact remains that much more needs to be done to reduce the energy intensity of US commercial buildings.

  3. LEED, which stands for Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design, is the green building certification system of the US Green Building Council.

  4. A recent study found that, for homes in the United Kingdom, greatly increased energy performance can actually be more cost-effective, per ton of carbon dioxide saved, than smaller improvements (Shorrock and Henderson, 2009).

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Table 2 Example cognitive biases and their potential relevance to this project

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Klotz, L. Cognitive biases in energy decisions during the planning, design, and construction of commercial buildings in the United States: an analytical framework and research needs. Energy Efficiency 4, 271–284 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-010-9089-z

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