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The most suitable mode decomposition technique for machine learning in meteorological time series prediction

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Abstract

To predict the most suitable mode decomposition technique for machine learning in meteorological time series prediction, this study has been carried out. The best mode decomposition technique along with a suitable machine learning algorithm will help predict a time series accurately. For this empirical mode decomposition (EMD), ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), coupled ensemble EMD with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), variational mode decomposition (VMD), singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and independent component analysis (ICA) have been taken for comparison. The long short-term memory (LSTM) network has been used for machine learning. The max–min temperature time series have been constructed from Kolkata's max–min temperature data. Those time series have been predicted individually by the LSTM network along with each of these techniques. It has been found that the predicted time series by LSTM decomposed by ICA mostly matches the original time series compared to other techniques.

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Acknowledgements

We gratefully acknowledge India Meteorological Department for encouraging and supplying us with the data to carry out this study.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Regional Meteorological Centre Kolkata, IMD, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Kolkata, 700 052, India

    Pravat Rabi Naskar

  2. Department of Industrial Engineering, Maulana Abul Kalam Azad University of Technology, Kolkata, 700 064, India

    Somnath Naskar

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  1. Pravat Rabi Naskar
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  2. Somnath Naskar
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Contributions

Pravat Rabi Naskar: Concept, analysis and writing; Somnath Naskar: Writing and formatting.

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Correspondence to Pravat Rabi Naskar.

Additional information

Communicated by Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay

Corresponding editor: Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay

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Naskar, P.R., Naskar, S. The most suitable mode decomposition technique for machine learning in meteorological time series prediction. J Earth Syst Sci 132, 84 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-023-02091-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-023-02091-4

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