Skip to main content
Log in

Spatial-temporal variability of seismic hazard in peninsular India

  • Published:
Journal of Earth System Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper examines the variability of seismic activity observed in the case of different geological zones of peninsular India (10°N–26°N; 68°E–90°E) based on earthquake catalog between the period 1842 and 2002 and estimates earthquake hazard for the region. With compilation of earthquake catalog in terms of moment magnitude and establishing broad completeness criteria, we derive the seismicity parameters for each geologic zone of peninsular India using maximum likelihood procedure. The estimated parameters provide the basis for understanding the historical seismicity associated with different geological zones of peninsular India and also provide important inputs for future seismic hazard estimation studies in the region. Based on present investigation, it is clear that earthquake recurrence activity in various geologic zones of peninsular India is distinct and varies considerably between its cratonic and rifting zones. The study identifies the likely hazards due to the possibility of moderate to large earthquakes in peninsular India and also presents the influence of spatial rate variation in the seismic activity of this region. This paper presents the influence of source zone characterization and recurrence rate variation pattern on the maximum earthquake magnitude estimation. The results presented in the paper provide a useful basis for probabilistic seismic hazard studies and microzonation studies in peninsular India.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bhatia S C, Ravi Kumar M and Gupta H K 1999 A probabilistic seismic hazard map of India and adjoining regions; Ann. Di. Geofisica 42(6) 1153–1166.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boschi E, Giardini D, Pantost D, Valensise G, Arrowsmith R, Basham P, Burgmann R, Crone A J, Hull A, Mcguire R K, Schwartz D, Sieh K, Ward S N and Yeats R S 1996 New trends in active faulting studies for seismic hazard assessment; Ann. Di. Geofisica 39 1301–1304.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bozkurt S B, Stein R S and Toda S 2007 Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations; Earthquake Spectra 23 525–546.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chandra U 1977 Earthquakes of peninsular India — a seismotectonic study; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 65 1387–1413.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornell C A 1968 Engineering seismic risk analysis; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58 1583–1606.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frankel A 2004 How can seismic hazard around the New Madrid seismic zone be similar to that in California?; Seis. Res. Lett. 75 575–586.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta H K 1992 Reservoir-induced earthquakes (Amsterdam: Elsevier Scientific Publishing) 355 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta H K and Rastogi B K 1976 Dams and earthquakes (Amsterdam: Elsevier Scientific Publishing) 229 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gutenberg B and Richter C F 1944 Frequency of earthquakes in California; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 34 185–188.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaiswal K 2006 Probabilistic seismic hazard estimation methodology for stable continental regions incorporating spatial and temporal uncertainties; Ph.D. thesis, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, 2006.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaiswal K and Sinha R 2005 EarthquakeInfo.org: Webportal on earthquake disaster awareness in India; http://www.earthquakeinfo.org.

  • Jaiswal K and Sinha R 2007 Probabilistic seismic-hazard estimation for peninsular India; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97(1B) 318–330.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Johnston A 1996 Seismic moment assessment of earthquakes in stable continental regions: Part-II instrumental seismicity; Geophys. J. Int. 124 381–414.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khatri K N, Rogers A M and Algermissen S T 1984 A seismic hazard map of India and adjacent areas; Tectonophys. 108 93–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A 2004 Estimation of the maximum earthquake magnitude m max; Pure Appl. Geophys. 161 1655–1681.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A, Lasocki S and Graham G 2001 Nonparametric seismic hazard analysis in mines; Pure Appl. Geophys. 158 1655–1675.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A and Sellevoll M A 1989 Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files. Part I: Utilization of extreme and complete catalogs with different threshold magnitudes; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 793 645–654.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A and Sellevoll M A 1992 Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files. Part II: Incorporation of magnitude heterogeneity; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 821 120–134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mcguire R M 1993 Computation of seismic hazard; Ann. Di Geofisica 36 181–200.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mohan I, Sitaram M V D and Gupta H K 1981 Some recent earthquakes in peninsular India; J. Geol. Soc. India 22 292–298.

    Google Scholar 

  • Naqvi S M, Divakara Rao V and Narain H 1974 The proto-continental growth of the Indian shield and the antiquity of its rift valleys; Precramb. Res. 1 345–398.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Earthquake Information Center 2003 USA PDE reportings http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/epic/

  • Page R 1968 Aftershocks and microaftershocks; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58 1131–1168.

    Google Scholar 

  • Raghukanth S T G and Iyengar R N 2006 Seismic hazard estimation for Mumbai city; Curr. Sci. 91(11) 1486–1494.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rajendran C P 2000 Using geological data for earthquake studies: A perspective from peninsular India; Curr. Sci. 79(9&10) 1251–1258.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao B R 2000 Historical seismicity and deformation rates in the Indian peninsular shield; J. Seismol. 4 247–258.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rao B R and Rao P S 1984 Historical seismicity of peninsular India; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74 2519–2533.

    Google Scholar 

  • Seeber L, Armbruster J G and Jacob K H 1999 Probabilistic assessment of earthquake hazard for the state of Maharashtra; Report to Government of Maharashtra Earthquake Rehabilitation Cell Mumbai.

  • Shankar D and Sharma M L 1998 Estimation of seismic hazard parameters for the Himalayas and its vicinity from complete data files; Pure Appl. Geophys. 152 267–279.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharma M L, Wason H R and Dimri R 2003 Seismic zonation of the Delhi region for bedrock ground motion; Pure Appl. Geophys. 160 2381–2398.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stepp J 1973 Analysis of completeness of the earthquake sample in Puget Sound area; In: Seismic zoning (ed.) S T Harding, NOAA Tech. Report ERL 267-ESL30, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A.

  • Wang Z and Ormsbee L 2005 Comparison between probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and flood frequency analysis; EOS, Trans., AGU 86(45) 51–52.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang Z 2006 Understanding seismic hazard and risk assessments: An example in the New Madrid seismic zone of the Central United States; Proc. of the 8th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, April 18–22, San Francisco, CA, Paper no. 416.

  • Wang Z 2007 Seismic hazard and risk assessment in the intraplate environment: The New Madrid seismic zone of the central United States; In: Continental Intraplate Earthquakes: Science, Hazard, and Policy Issues (eds) S Stein and S Mazzotti; Geological Society of America Special Paper 425 363–373.

  • Wang Z and M Zhou 2007 Comment on “Why Do Modern Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analyses Often Lead to Increased Hazard Estimates?” by Julian J Bommer and Norman A Abrahamson; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97 2212–2214.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valdiya K S 1973 Tectonic framework of India: A review and interpretation of recent structural and tectonic studies; Geophys. Res. Bull. 11 79–114.

    Google Scholar 

  • Veneziano D, Cornell C A and O’hara T 1984 Historic method for seismic hazard analysis; Elect. Power Res. Inst. Report, NP-3438, Palo Alto.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kishor Jaiswal.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Jaiswal, K., Sinha, R. Spatial-temporal variability of seismic hazard in peninsular India. J Earth Syst Sci 117 (Suppl 2), 707–718 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-008-0065-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-008-0065-3

Keywords

Navigation