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Estimating Design Loads with Environmental Contour Approach Using Copulas for an Offshore Jacket Platform

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Abstract

Jacket-type offshore platforms are widely used for oil, gas field, and energy development in shallow water. The design of a jacket structure is highly dependent on target environmental variables. This study focuses on a strategy to estimate design loads for offshore jacket structures based on an environmental contour approach. In addition to the popular conditional distribution model, various classes of bivariate copulas are adopted to construct joint distributions of environmental variables. Analytical formulations of environmental contours based on various models are presented and discussed in this study. The design loads are examined by dynamic response analysis of jacket platform. Results suggest that the conditional model is not recommended for use in estimating design loads in sampling locations due to poor fitting results. Independent copula produces conservative design loads and the extreme response obtained using the conditional model are smaller than those determined by copulas. The suitability of a model for contour construction varies with the origin of wave data. This study provides a reference for the design load estimation of jacket structures and offers an alternative procedure to determine the design criteria for offshore structures.

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Acknowledgements

The study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (No. 2016YFC0303401), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 517 79236), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China-Shandong Joint Fund Project (No. U1706226).

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Correspondence to Sheng Dong.

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Zhao, Y., Liu, D. & Dong, S. Estimating Design Loads with Environmental Contour Approach Using Copulas for an Offshore Jacket Platform. J. Ocean Univ. China 19, 1029–1041 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11802-020-4411-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11802-020-4411-1

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