Skip to main content
Log in

Three-stage approach for dynamic traffic temporal-spatial model

  • Geological, Civil, Energy and Traffic Engineering
  • Published:
Journal of Central South University Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In order to describe the characteristics of dynamic traffic flow and improve the robustness of its multiple applications, a dynamic traffic temporal-spatial model (DTTS) is established. With consideration of the temporal correlation, spatial correlation and historical correlation, a basic DTTS model is built. And a three-stage approach is put forward for the simplification and calibration of the basic DTTS model. Through critical sections pre-selection and critical time pre-selection, the first stage reduces the variable number of the basic DTTS model. In the second stage, variable coefficient calibration is implemented based on basic model simplification and stepwise regression analysis. Aimed at dynamic noise estimation, the characteristics of noise are summarized and an extreme learning machine is presented in the third stage. A case study based on a real-world road network in Beijing, China, is carried out to test the efficiency and applicability of proposed DTTS model and the three-stage approach.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. FRANKEL F, REID R. Big data: Distilling meaning from data [J]. Nature, 2008, 455(7209): 30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. LOS W, WOOD J. Dealing with data: Upgrading infrastructure [J]. Science, 2011, 331(6024): 1515–1516.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. ZHANG Yong, LI Shi-gao. Analysis of scale-free characteristic on sharp variation point of trafficc flow [J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2014, 63(24): 240509. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  4. CHANG Gang, ZHANG Yi, YAO Dan-ya. Missing data imputation for traffic flow based on improved local least squares [J]. Tsinghua Science and Technology, 2012, 17(3): 304–309.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. DONG Shen, LI Rui-min, SUN Li-guang, CHANG T H, LU Hua-pu. Short-term traffic forecast system of Beijing [J]. Transportation Research Record, 2010(2193): 116–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. XU Cheng-cheng, LIU Pan, WANG Wei, LI Zhi-bin. Evaluation of the impacts of traffic states on crash risks on freeways [J]. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2012, 47: 162–171.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. TAN Hua-chun, WU Yuan-kai, CHENG Bin, WANG Wu-hong, RAN Bin. Robust missing traffic flow imputation considering nonnegativity and road capacity [J]. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2014, 2014: 763469.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. XU Dong-wei, DONG Hong-hui, LI Hai-jian, JIA Li-min, FENG Yuan-jing. The estimation of road traffic states based on compressive sensing [J]. Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, 2015, 3(2): 131–152.

    Google Scholar 

  9. WANG Jin, SHI Qi-xin. Short-term traffic speed forecasting hybrid model based on chaos-wavelet analysis-support vector machine theory [J]. Transportation Research Part C, 2013, 27(S1): 219–232.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. CHENG Rong-jun, HAN Xiang-lin, LO Siu-ming, GE Hong-xia. A control method applied to mixed traffic flow for the coupled-map car-following model [J]. Chinese Physics B, 2014, 23(3): 030507.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. LIANG Zi-lu, WAKAHARA Y. Real-time urban traffic amount prediction models for dynamic route guidance systems [J]. EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking, 2014, 2014: 85.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. SHENG Peng, WANG Jun-feng, TANG Tie-qiao, ZHAO Shu-long. Long-range correlation analysis of urban traffic data [J]. Chinese Physics B, 2010, 19(8): 080205.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. CHEN Xi-qun, LI Li, LI Zhi-heng. Phase diagram analysis based on a temporal-spatial queueing model [J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation System, 2012, 13(4): 1705–1716.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. CHEN Shao-kuan, WEI Wei, MAO Bao-hua, GUAN Wei. Analysis on urban traffic status based on improved spatio-temporal Moran’s I [J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2013, 62(14): 148901. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  15. PAN T L, SUMALEE A, ZHONG R X, INDRA-PAYOONG N. Short-term traffic state prediction based on temporal-spatial correlation [J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation System, 2012, 14(3): 1242–1254.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. WU Shan-hua, YANG Zhong-zhen, ZHU Xiao-cong, YU Bin. Improved k-nn for short-term traffic forecasting using temporal and spatial information [J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 2014, 140(7): 04014026.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. LU Hua-pu, SUN Zhi-yuan, QU Wen-cong. Big data-driven based real-time traffic flow state identification and prediction [J]. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2015, 2015: 284906.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  18. PENG Yu, LEI Miao, LI Jun-bao, PENG Xi-yuan. A novel hybridization of echo state networks and multiplicative seasonal ARIMA model for mobile communication traffic series forecasting [J]. Neural Computing & Application, 2014, 24(3/4): 883–890.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. ZHENG Zu-duo, SU Dong-cai. Short-term traffic volume forecasting: A k-nearest neighbor approach enhanced by constrained linearly sewing principle component algorithm [J]. Transportation Research Part C, 2014, 43(S1): 143–157.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. ZHANG Ru-hua, YANG Xiao-guang, CHU Hao. Application of signal sampling theory on traffic flow detector layout [J]. China Journal of Highway Transport, 2007, 20(6): 105–110. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  21. GUYON I, ELISSEEFF A. An introduction to variable and feature selection [J]. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2003, 3(7/8): 1157–1182.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. XIA Ying, LIANG Zhong-jun, WANG Guo-yin. Research of shortterm traffic flow forecasting model based on spatio-temporal analysis [J]. Journal of Nanjing University: Natural Sciences, 2010, 46(5): 552–560. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  23. DONG Hong-hui, SUN Xiao-liang, JIA Li-min, LI Hai-jian, QIN Yong. Traffic condition estimation with pre-selection space time model [J]. Journal of Central South University, 2012, 19(1): 206–212.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. LU Hua-pu, SUN Zhi-yuan, QU Wen-cong, WANG Ling. Real-time corrected traffic correlation model for traffic flow forecasting [J]. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2015, 2015: 348036.

    Google Scholar 

  25. ALEXANDRE E, CUADRA L, SALCEDO-SANZ S, PASTORSANCHEZ A, CASANOVA-MATEO C. Hybridizing extreme learning machines and genetic algorithms to select acoustic features in vehicle classification applications [J]. Neurocomputing, 2014, 152: 58–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhi-yuan Sun  (孙智源).

Additional information

Foundation item: Project(2014BAG01B0403) supported by the National High-Tech Research and Development Program of China

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Lu, Hp., Sun, Zy. & Qu, Wc. Three-stage approach for dynamic traffic temporal-spatial model. J. Cent. South Univ. 23, 2728–2734 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-016-3334-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-016-3334-3

Key words

Navigation