Skip to main content
Log in

Traffic condition estimation with pre-selection space time model

  • Published:
Journal of Central South University Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A pre-selection space time model was proposed to estimate the traffic condition at poor-data-detector, especially non-detector locations. The space time model is better to integrate the spatial and temporal information comprehensibly. Firstly, the influencing factors of the “cause nodes” were studied, and then the pre-selection “cause nodes” procedure which utilizes the Pearson correlation coefficient to evaluate the relevancy of the traffic data was introduced. Finally, only the most relevant data were collected to compose the space time model. The experimental results with the actual data demonstrate that the model performs better than other three models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. LIU Yi, SHA Man. Research on prediction of traffic flow at non-detector intersections based on ridge trace and fuzzy linear regression analysis [C]// Proceedings of International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Security. Washington D C: CPS, 2009: 571–575.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  2. WANG Yi-bing, PAPAGEORGIOU M, MESSMER A. Real-time freeway traffic state estimation based on extended kalman filter: A case study [J]. Transportation Science, 2007, 41(2): 167–181.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. SMITH B L, DEMERTSKY M J. Short-term traffic flow prediction: Neural network approach [J]. Transportation Research Record, 1994(1453): 98–104.

  4. SMITH B L, WILLIAMS B M, OSWALSD R K. Comparison of parametric and nonparametric models for traffic flow forecasting [J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2002, 10(4): 303–321.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. WILLIAMS B M, HOEL L A, Modeling and forecasting vehicular traffic flow as a seasonal arima process: Theoretical basis and empirical results [J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 2003, 129(6): 642–672.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. HAN Chao, SONG Su. A review of some main models for traffic flow forecasting [C]// Proceedings of International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems. Shanghai: IEEE, 2003: 216–219.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  7. ZHANG He, WANG Wei, GU Huai-zhong. Application of cluster analysis and stepwise regression in predicting the traffic volume of lanes [J]. Journal of Southeast University (English Edition), 2005, 21(3): 359–362.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. KAMARIANAKIS Y. Spatial time series modeling: A review of the proposed methodologies [R]. The Regional Economics Applications Laboratory. 2003.

  9. KAMARIANAKIS Y, PRASTACOS P. Space-time modeling of traffic flow [J]. Computers and Geosciences, 2005, 31(2): 119–133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. MIN W, WYNTER L, AMEMIYA Y. Real time road traffic prediction with spatio-temporal correlations [J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2011, 19(4): 606–616.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. SUN Shi-liang, ZHANG Chang-shui. The selective random subspace predictor for traffic flow forecasting [J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2007, 8(2): 367–373.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. PFEIFER P E, DEUTSCH S J. Variance of the sample-time autocorrelation function of contemporaneously correlated variables [J]. SIAM Journal of Applied Mathematics: Series A, 1981, 40(1): 133–136.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. PFEIFER P E, DEUTSCH S J. A three-stage iterative procedure for space-time modeling [J]. Technometrics, 1980, 22(1): 35–47.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. GIACOMINI R, GRANGER C W J. Aggregation of space time processes [J]. Journal of Econometrics, 2004, 118(1): 7–26.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. JIA Li-min. Study on the novel and intelligent magnetic detectors [R]. Beijing: Beijing Jiaotong University and Beijing Traffic Management Bureau Report, 2008. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  16. KINDZERSKE M D, NI D H. Composite nearest neighbor nonparametric regression to improve traffic prediction [J]. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2007(1993): 30–35.

  17. GUYON I, ELISSEEFF A. An introduction to variable and feature selection [J]. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2003(3): 1157–1182.

  18. SUN Xiao-liang. Research on traffic state forecasting towards urban freeway [D]. Beijing: Beijing Jiaotong University, 2009. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Li-min Jia  (贾利民).

Additional information

Foundation item: Project(D101106049710005) supported by the Beijing Science Foundation Program, China; Project(61104164) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation, China

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Dong, Hh., Sun, Xl., Jia, Lm. et al. Traffic condition estimation with pre-selection space time model. J. Cent. South Univ. Technol. 19, 206–212 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-012-0993-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-012-0993-6

Key words

Navigation