Abstract
In order to evaluate and integrate travel time reliability and capacity reliability of a road network subjected to ice and snowfall conditions, the conceptions of travel time reliability and capacity reliability were defined under special conditions. The link travel time model (ice and snowfall based-bureau public road, ISB-BPR) and the path choice decision model (elastic demand user equilibrium, EDUE) were proposed. The integrated reliability was defined and the model was set up. Monte Carlo simulation was used to calculate the model and a numerical example was provided to demonstrate the application of the model and efficiency of the solution algorithm. The results show that the intensity of ice and snowfall, the traffic demand and supply, and the requirements for level of service (LOS) have great influence on the reliability of a road network. For example, the reliability drops from 65% to 5% when the traffic demand increases by 30%. The comprehensive performance index may be used for network planning, design and maintenance.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
XIONG Zhi-hua, SHAO Chun-fu, YAO Zhi-sheng. Integrated method for road network reliability under stochastic demand [C]//Proceedings of the Conference on Traffic and Transportation Studies. Restone: American Society of Civil Engineers, 2006: 425–434.
BELL M G H. A game theory approach to measuring the performance reliability of transport networks [J]. Transportation Research (Part B): Methodological, 2000, 34(6): 533–545.
DIMITRIOU L, STATHOPOULOS A, TSEKERIS T. Reliable stochastic design of road network systems [J]. International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 2008, 3(5): 549–574.
HU S, WILLIAM L, MEI T. A reliability-based stochastic traffic assignment model for network with multiple user classes under uncertainty in demand [J]. Networks and Spatial Economics, 2006, 6(3): 173–204.
LENG Jun-qiang, ZHANG Ya-ping, LENG Yu-quan. Assessment of road network capacity reliability based on the constraints of link LOS [J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2009, 9(5): 148–152. (in Chinese)
CHEN A, TATNENI M, LEE D H, YANG H. Effect of route choice models on estimating network capacity reliability [J]. Transportation Research Record, 2000 (1733): 63–70.
ASAKURA Y. Requirements for transport network flow models used in reliability analysis [J]. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2007, 3(3/4): 287–300.
LO H K, LUO X W, SIU B W Y. Degradable transport network: Travel time budget of travelers with heterogeneous risk aversion [J]. Transportation Research (Part B): Methodological, 2006, 40: 792–806.
UNO N, KURAUCHI F, TAMURA H, IIDA Y. Using bus probe data for analysis of travel time variability [J]. Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems: Technology, Planning and Operations, 2009, 13(1): 2–15.
ASAKURA Y, KASHIWADANI M. Road network reliability caused by daily fluctuation of traffic flow [C]// Proceedings of the 19th PTRC Summer Annual Conference. Brighton: Seminar G, 1991: 73–84.
CLARK S, WALTING D. Modeling network travel time reliability under stochastic demand [J]. Transportation Research (Part B): Methodological, 2005, 39(12): 119–140.
CHEN A, YANG H, LO H K, TANG W H. Capacity reliability of a road network: An assessment methodology and numerical results [J]. Transportation Research (Part B): Methodological, 2002, 36(3): 225–252.
DEEK A H, EMAM E B. New methodology for estimating reliability in transportation networks with degraded link capacities [J]. Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems: Technology, Planning and Operations, 2006, 10(3): 117–129.
WILLIAM H K L, HU S, AGACHAI S. Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply [J]. Transportation Research (Part B): Methodological, 2008, 42(10): 890–910.
KUANG A W, HUANG Z X, CHAN W K V. An analysis on road network capacity reliability based on OD pair travel time reliability [C]// Proceedings of International Conference on Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation. Piscataway: Institute of Electric and electronic Engineering Computer Society, 2008: 333–337.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Foundation item: Project(E200940) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province, China; Project(2009GC20008020) supported by the Technology Research and Development Program of Shandong Province, China
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Leng, Jq., Zhang, Yp., Zhang, Q. et al. Integrated reliability of travel time and capacity of urban road network under ice and snowfall conditions. J. Cent. South Univ. Technol. 17, 419–424 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-010-0062-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-010-0062-y