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Change of annual extreme water levels and correlation with river discharges in the middle-lower Yangtze River: Characteristics and possible affecting factors

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Abstract

As one of the fastest developing regions in China, the middle-lower Yangtze River (MLYR) is vulnerable to floods and droughts. With obtained time series of annual highest water level (HWL), annual lowest water level (LWL) and the corresponding river discharges from three gauging stations in MLYR that covering the period 1987–2011, the current study evaluated the change characteristics of annual extreme water levels and the correlation with river discharges by using the methods of trend test, Mann-Whitney-Pettitt (MWP) test and double mass analysis. Major result indicated a decreasing/increasing trend for annual HWL/LWL of all stations in MLYR during the study period. A change point in 1999 was identified for annual HWL at the Hankou and Datong stations. The year 2006 was found to be the critical year that the relationship between annual extreme water levels and river discharges changed in the MLYR. With contrast to annual LWL in MLYR, further investigation revealed that the change characteristics of annual HWL were highly consistent with regional precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin, while the linkage with Three Gorges Dam (TGD) operation is not strong. Our observation also pointed out that the effect of serious down cutting of the riverbed and the enlargement of the cross-section area during the initial period of TGD operation caused the downward trend of the relationship between annual LWL and river discharge. Whereas, the relatively raised river water level before the flood season due to TGD regulation since 2006 explained for the changing upward trend of the relationship between annual HWL and river discharge.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing, 400715, China

    Xuchun Ye

  2. Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Nanjing, 210008, China

    Xuchun Ye, Yunliang Li, Xianghu Li & Qi Zhang

  3. Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, 0316, Norway

    Chong-Yu Xu

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  1. Xuchun Ye
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  2. Chong-Yu Xu
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  3. Yunliang Li
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  4. Xianghu Li
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  5. Qi Zhang
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Correspondence to Xuchun Ye.

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Foundation item: Under the auspices of the Fund of Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. WSGS2015003), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. XDJK2016C093), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41571023)

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Ye, X., Xu, CY., Li, Y. et al. Change of annual extreme water levels and correlation with river discharges in the middle-lower Yangtze River: Characteristics and possible affecting factors. Chin. Geogr. Sci. 27, 325–336 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-017-0866-x

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