Skip to main content
Log in

Land-use change and socio-economic driving forces of rural settlement in China from 1996 to 2005

  • Published:
Chinese Geographical Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

While urbanization has accelerated, the rural population in China has started decreasing in recent years. However, the expansion of rural settlement has not been sufficiently curbed. The questions of why this has happened and who has driven the land-use change (LUC) of rural settlement in China have aroused great interests among researchers. In this paper, it is suggested that population is not always a positive driving force for the LUC of rural settlement in China. Furthermore, socio-economic driving forces other than urbanization, population and industrialization are analyzed. On a national scale, the major driving forces are the per-capita rural housing area and the cultivated land area. On a regional scale, the main driving forces in the eastern China are the house-building capacity of rural households and the per-capita rural housing area; while in the central China, the main driving forces are rural housing investment, the proportion of primary industry employees in the rural working population, and the cultivated land area. For the western China, the main driving forces are rural register population and cultivated land area.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Arayama Y, Miyoshi K, 2004. Regional diversity and sources of economic growth in China. World Economy, 27(10): 1583–1607. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2004.00668.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baltagi B H, 2008. Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Chichester, UK; Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonnal M, 2010. Economic growth and labor standards: Evidence from a dynamic panel data model. Review of Development Economics, 14(1): 20–33. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2009.00536.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burgi M, Hersperger A M, Schneeberger N, 2004. Driving forces of landscape change: Current and new directions. Landscape Ecology, 19(8): 857–868. doi: 10.1007/s10980-004-0245-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cai Y S, 2003. Collective ownership or cadres’ ownership? The non-agricultural use of farmland in China. China Quarterly, (1175): 662–680. doi: 10.1017/S0305741003000890

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen J H, Guo F, Wu Y, 2011. Chinese urbanization and urban housing growth since the mid-1990s. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 26(2): 219–232. doi: 10.1007/s10901-011-9214-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen L D, Wang J, Fu B J et al., 2001. Land-use change in a small catchment of northern Loess Plateau, China. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 86(2): 163–172. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(00)00271-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chou T L, Chang J Y, 2008. Urban sprawl and the politics of land use planning in urban Taiwan. International Development Planning Review, 30(1): 67–92. doi: 10.3828/idpr.30.1.3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Koning G H J, Verburg P H, Veldkamp A et al., 1999. Multi-scale modelling of land use change dynamics in Ecuador. Agricultural Systems, 61(2): 77–93. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(99)00039-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding C R, 2003. Land policy reform in China: Assessment and prospects. Land Use Policy, 20(2): 109–120. doi: 10.1016/S0264-8377(02)00073-X

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding C R, 2007. Policy and praxis of land acquisition in China. Land Use Policy, 24(1): 1–13. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.09.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fang S F, Gertner G Z, Anderson A B, 2007. Prediction of multinomial probability of land use change using a bisection decomposition and logistic regression. Landscape Ecology, 22(3): 419–430. doi: 10.1007/s10980-006-9037-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Figueroa F, Sanchez-Cordero V, Meave J A et al., 2009. Socioeconomic context of land use and land cover change in Mexican biosphere reserves. Environmental Conservation, 36(3): 180–191. doi: 10.1017/S0376892909990221

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fischer M M, Scherngell T, Reismann M, 2009. Knowledge spillovers and total factor productivity: Evidence using a spatial panel data model. Geographical Analysis, 41(2): 204–220. doi: 10.1111/j.1538-4632.2009.00752.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Foley J A, DeFries R, Asner G P et al., 2005. Global consequences of land use. Science, 309(5734): 570–574. doi: 10.1126/science.1111772

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Garedew E, Sandewall M, Soderberg U, 2012. A dynamic simulation model of land-use, population, and rural livelihoods in the central rift valley of ethiopia. Environmental Management, 49(1): 151–162. doi: 10.1007/s00267-011-9783-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho S P S, Lin G C S, 2003. Emerging land markets in rural and urban China: Policies and practices. China Quarterly, (175): 681–707. doi: 10.1017/S0305741003000407

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho S P S, Lin G C S, 2004. Non-agricultural land use in postreform China. China Quarterly, (179): 758–781. doi: 10.1017/S0305741004000578

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hsiao C, 2003. Analysis of Panel Data. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Hsing Y-t, 2006. Brokering power and property in China’s townships. The Pacific Review, 19(1): 103–124. doi: 10.1080/09512740500417772

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu X H, Yang G Q, Zhang X et al., 2007. The change of land use for rural residential and the driving forces: A case study in Xiantao City, Hubei Province. Resources Science, 29(3): 191–197. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Irwin E G, Geoghegan J, 2001. Theory, data, methods: Developingspatially explicit economic models of land use change. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 85(1–3): 7–23. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00200-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kanbur R, Zhang X B, 1999. Which regional inequality? The evolution of rural-urban and inland-coastal inequality in China from 1983 to 1995. Journal of Comparative Economics, 27(4): 686–701. doi: 10.1006/jcec.1999.1612

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krausmann F, Haberl H, Schulz N B et al., 2003. Land-use change and socio-economic metabolism in Austria. Part I: driving forces of land-use change: 1950–1995. Land Use Policy, 20(1): 1–20. doi: 10.1016/S0264-8377(02)00048-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lambin E F, Geist H J, Lepers E, 2003. Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 28: 205–241. doi: 10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.105459

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lambin E F, Turner B L, Geist H J et al., 2001. The causes of land-use and land-cover change: Moving beyond the myths. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 11(4): 261–269. doi: 10.1016/S0959-3780(01)00007-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li L, Zhang P Y, Hou W, 2005. Land use/cover change and driving forces in southern Liaoning Province since 1950s. Chinese Geographical Science, 15(2): 131–136. doi: 10.1007/s11769-005-0005-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lin G C S, Ho S P S, 2005. The state, land system, and land development processes in contemporary China. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 95(2): 411–436. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.2005.00467.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lin Y P, Chu H J, Wu C F et al., 2011. Predictive ability of logistic regression, auto-logistic regression and neural network models in empirical land-use change modeling: A case study. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 25(1): 65–87. doi: 10.1080/13658811003752332

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu J Y, Deng X Z, 2010. Progress of the research methodologies on the temporal and spatial process of LUCC. Chinese Science Bulletin, 55(21): 3251–3258. doi: 10.1007/s11434-009-0733-y

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu J Y, Liu M L, Zhuang D F et al., 2003. Study on spatial pattern of land-use change in China during 1995–2000. Science in China Series D-Earth Sciences, 46(4): 373–384. doi: 10.1360/03yd9033

    Google Scholar 

  • Long H L, Hellig G K, Li X B et al., 2007. Socio-economic development and land-use change: Analysis of rural housingland transition in the Transect of the Yangtse River, China. Land Use Policy, 24(1): 141–153. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.11.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Long H L, Li Y R, Liu Y S et al., 2012. Accelerated restructuringin rural China fueled by ‘increasing vs. decreasing balance’ land-use policy for dealing with hollowed villages. Land Use Policy, 29(1): 11–22 doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2011.04.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Long H L, Liu Y S, Li X B et al., 2010. Building new countryside in China: A geographical perspective. Land Use Policy, 27(2): 457–470. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.06.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Long H L, Liu Y S, Wu X Q et al., 2009a. Spatio-temporal dynamic patterns of farmland and rural settlements in Su-Xi-Chang region: Implications for building a new countryside in coastal China. Land Use Policy, 26(2): 322–333. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.04.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Long H L, Zou J, Liu Y S, 2009b. Differentiation of rural development driven by industrialization and urbanization in eastern coastal China. Habitat International, 33(4): 454–462. doi: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2009.03.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maslow A H, 1943. A theory of human motivation. Psychological Review, 50: 370–396. doi: 10.1037/h0054346

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mottet A, Ladet S, Coque N et al., 2006. Agricultural land-use change and its drivers in mountain landscapes: A case study in the Pyrenees. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 114(2–4): 296–310. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.017

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 1997–2006. China Statistical Yearbook 1997–2006. Beijing: China Statistic Press. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Paulsen K, 2012. Yet even more evidence on the spatial size of cities: Urban spatial expansion in the US, 1980–2000. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(4): 561–568. doi: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2012.02.002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • PESD (Population and Employment Statistics Division), 1997–2006. China Population and Employment Statistics Yearbook 1997–2006. Beijing: China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Qian Z, 2008. Empirical evidence from Hangzhou’s urban land reform: Evolution, structure, constraints and prospects. Habitat International, 32(4): 494–511. doi: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2008.02.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Qiao J J, Zhu Y L, 2008. Location change of rural settlement at village level based on rural household survey. Resources Science, 30(2): 206–212. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Riebsame W E, Parton W J, Galvin K A et al., 1994. Integrated modeling of land-use and cover change. Bioscience, 44(5): 350–356. doi: 10.2307/1312385

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • RSEID (Rural Social and Economic Investigation Division), 1997–2006. China Rural Statistical Yearbook 1997–2006. Beijing: China Statistic Press. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Rudel T K, Coomes O T, Moran E et al., 2005. Forest transitions: Towards a global understanding of land use change. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 15(1): 23–31. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.11.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • SCNPC (the Standing Committee of the National People’s Commette), 1998. Land Administrative Law of People’s Republic of China (1999). Beijing: China Legal Publishing House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Serneels S, Lambin E F, 2001. Proximate causes of land-use change in Narok District, Kenya: A spatial statistical model. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 85(1–3): 65–81. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00188-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seto K C, Kaufmann R K, 2003. Modeling the drivers of urban land use change in the Pearl River Delta, China: Integratingremote sensing with socioeconomic data. Land Economics, 79(1): 106–121. doi: 10.3368/le.79.1.106

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sismeiro C, Mizik N, Bucklin R E, 2012. Modeling coexistingbusiness scenarios with time-series panel data: A dynamics-based segmentation approach. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 29(2): 134–147. doi: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2011.08.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Song W, Chen B M, Yang H et al., 2008. Analysis on the status quo of residence base resourcdes in rural areas of China. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 29(3): 1–5. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Song W, Chen B M, Zhang Y et al., 2012. Establishment of rural housing land standard in China. Chinese Geographical Science, 22(4): 483–495. doi: 10.1007/s11769-012-0532-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taillefumier F, Piegay H, 2003. Contemporary land use changes in prealpine Mediterranean mountains: A multivariate GIS-based approach applied to two municipalities in the Southern French Prealps. Catena, 51(3–4): 267–296. doi: 10.1016/S0341-8162(02)00168-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tan M H, Li X B, Lu C H et al., 2008. Urban population densities and their policy implications in China. Habitat International, 32(4): 471–484. doi: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2008.01.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tian G J, 2003. The spatial distribution of rural settlements and their dynamic change in China Using GIS. Remote SensingInformation (2): 32–35. doi: 10.1007/s00267-006-0048-6

    Google Scholar 

  • Tian G J, Qiao Z, Zhang Y Q, 2012. The investigation of relationship between rural settlement density, size, spatial distribution and its geophysical parameters of China usingLandsat TM images. Ecological Modelling, 231: 25–36. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.01.023

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tian G Q, Qu K, 2008. The remote sensing monitoring of rural residential land in Shandong Province. Areal Research and Development, 27(1): 102–104. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Unger J, 2002. The Transformation of Rural China. Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe.

    Google Scholar 

  • Veldkamp A, Lambin E F, 2001. Predicting land-use change. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 85(1–3): 1–6. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00199-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Verburg P H, Overmars K P, Witte N, 2004. Accessibility and land-use patterns at the forest fringe in the northeastern part of the Philippines. Geographical Journal, 170: 238–255. doi: 10.1111/j.0016-7398.2004.00123.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Verburg P H, Veldkamp T, Bouma J, 1999. Land use change under conditions of high population pressure: The case of Java. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 9(4): 303–312. doi: 10.1016/S0959-3780(99)00175-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang X H, Zheng D, Shen Y C, 2008. Land use change and its driving forces on the Tibetan Plateau during 1990–2000. Catena, 72(1): 56–66. doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2007.04.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wood E C, Tappan G G, Hadj A, 2004. Understanding the drivers of agricultural land use change in south-central Senegal. Journal of Arid Environments, 59(3): 565–582. doi: 10.1016/j.jardinev.2004.03.022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao P J, 2012. Urban-rural transition in China’s metropolises: New trends in peri-urbanisation in Beijing. International Development Planning Review, 34(3): 269–294. doi: 10.3828/Idpr.2012.20

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wei Song.

Additional information

Foundation item: Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41001108), China Clean Development Mechanism Fund (No. 2031202400003)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Song, W., Chen, B. & Zhang, Y. Land-use change and socio-economic driving forces of rural settlement in China from 1996 to 2005. Chin. Geogr. Sci. 24, 511–524 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-013-0633-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-013-0633-6

Keywords

Navigation