Study population
Consecutive patients admitted to COVID Care Unit of Santa Maria delle Grazie Hospital, Pozzuoli (Naples), for high clinical suspicion of SARS-CoV-2 infection between the 12th of March and the 12th of April 2020 were enrolled. High clinical suspicion of SARS-CoV-2 was defined by the presence of at least two of the following symptoms: fever, dyspnea, cough or desaturation at pulse oximetry. All the patients enrolled were evaluated in a dedicated room and underwent clinical history, physical examination, laboratory tests, arterial blood gas analysis, lung ultrasound, chest CT, and nasopharyngeal swab to obtain the sample for the diagnostic test of SARS-CoV-2 infection through a nucleic acid test by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). In case of negative SARS-Co-V-2 test but persistence of high suspicion of SARS-CoV-2 also at other exams, patients were further tested for SARS-Co-V-2 infection using samples obtained also from bronchoalveolar lavage if needed. According to the results of SARS-CoV-2 test and other diagnostic exams, patients were divided into two groups: Group A (pneumonia due to SARS-CoV2 infection) and Group B (no SARS-CoV2 infection and another diagnosis). Group A patients were admitted to COVID Care Unit and received ventilator support as needed and were treated according to the standard and experimental protocol available [11, 12]; therapies administered and collateral effects were collected. Group B patients were transferred to other wards as needed. Data relative to intrahospital mortality were considered as outcome for the Group A. All participants gave their informed written consent and the protocol was performed in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. The study protocol was approved by the “Campania Centro” Ethical Committee.
Laboratory tests and blood gas analyses
Peripheral venous blood samples were collected from all individuals for the measurement of cell blood count, glucose, creatinine, AST, ALT, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatinine phosphokinase, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin.
Arterial blood samples were processed and instantly analyzed through a mobile point of care system (Cobas b 123, Roche). The radial artery is the site used for arterial puncture. Oxygenation status is assessed using partial pressure of O2 (pO2), partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) and hemoglobin oxygen saturation (SO2). The P/F ratio was used to compare different values of arterial pO2 in patients receiving different fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2); it was obtained dividing the pO2 by the percent of FiO2 expressed as decimals. Among other parameters, pH and bicarbonate concentration (HCO3−) were measured for the evaluation of acid–base disorders; finally, lactate levels were also recorded.
Lung ultrasound
Lung ultrasound was performed by experts clinicians provided of adequate personal protective equipment with a machine dedicated to SARS-CoV-2 patients. The echo machine was a Samsung HM70A with both linear and convex probes appropriately reset to the study of the lungs. Sonographers were unaware of the results of nasopharyngeal swab. Lung ultrasound was performed bedside in sitting position according to validated protocol described elsewhere [5].
The chest wall was divided into three areas for each side: anterior, lateral and posterior. Each area was further divided into two sections (superior and inferior) for a total of twelve zones of examination (Fig. 1). Each zone was scored according to the lung ultrasound pattern as follows:
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Score 0: presence of A-lines or fewer than three isolated B-lines
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Score 1: presence of multiple well-spaced B-lines
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Score 2: presence of coalescent B-lines with or without small subpleurical consolidations
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Score 3: presence of lung consolidation.
The score observed in each region was recorded and their sum defined the total score (range 0–36). Higher LUS values are indicative of worse ultrasound pattern.
The echographic images were stored according to DICOM standards for subsequent blinded readings by a senior investigator.
Statistical analysis
Continuous data are expressed as mean ± standard deviation. Mann–Whitney U test for independent samples was used to compare quantitative variables between groups. Categorical variables were presented as frequencies and percentages and compared using chi-square test with Yates correction. Correlations between variables were examined by determining Pearsons’ coefficient. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses was used to determine the hazard ratio (HR) of experiencing the primary endpoint: intrahospital mortality rate was the dependent variable; whereas, LUS, PF, LDH, PCR, PCT and AST were included as independent variables. The ability of LUS to predict the diagnosis was assessed by measurement of the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC or c-index). The best threshold of the ROC curve was chosen using bootstrap analysis and maximization of the Youden index.
A p value less than 0.05 was considered as statistically significant. All data were collected and entered in an Excel database (Microsoft Office 2016), and statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (IBM SPSS Statistics 25 Version, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).