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Politische Vierteljahresschrift

, Volume 51, Issue 4, pp 605–617 | Cite as

Die politischen Konsequenzen der niedrigen Wahlbeteiligung bei der Europawahl 2009

  • Cees van der Eijk
  • Hermann SchmittEmail author
  • Eliyahu V. Sapir
Kommentar

Zusammenfassung

Wenn Wahlenthaltung mit Parteipräferenz verknüpft ist, dann können niedrige Beteiligungsraten – wie sie z. B. in den Wahlen zum Europäischen Parlament vorkommen – bestimmte Parteien benachteiligen und andere bevorzugen. Um dies zu überprüfen, haben wir das tatsächliche (nationale) Ergebnis einer Partei bei der Wahl zum Europäischen Parlament verglichen mit dem, das diese Partei erreicht hatte, wenn die Wahlbeteiligung das Niveau der letzten nationalen Hauptwahl erreicht hätte. Wir finden, dass die Wahlbeteiligungseffekte verschwindend gering sind. Die Zusammensetzung des Europäischen Parlaments wäre nicht anders, wenn mehr Bürger sich an der Wahl beteiligt hätten.

Schlüsselwörter

Wahlbeteiligung Wahlbeteiligungseffekte Wahlverhalten Nichtwahl Repräsentation Wahlen zum europäischen Parlament 

Political consequences of low turnout in the 2009 European Parliament elections

Abstract

If electoral abstention is linked to party preferences, low turnout—as witnessed in European Parliament elections—may hurt some parties and benefit others. In order to assess this possibility, we compare, in the member states of the EU, parties’ vote shares in the 2009 European Parliament elections with the results that would have been obtained had turnout reached the level of national general elections. We find that the effects of low turnout are minimal, and that—except for a single seat—higher turnout would not have resulted in a different composition of the European Parliament.

Keywords

Turnout Turnout effects Voting Abstention Representation European Parliament elections 

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Copyright information

© VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  • Cees van der Eijk
    • 1
  • Hermann Schmitt
    • 2
    Email author
  • Eliyahu V. Sapir
    • 3
  1. 1.School of Politics and International RelationsUniversity of NottinghamNottinghamUK
  2. 2.Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische SozialforschungUniversität MannheimMannheimDeutschland
  3. 3.Methods and Data InstituteUniversity of NottinghamNottinghamUK

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