In our study, male IM residents with higher self-reported confidence were more likely to choose a procedural subspecialty. On the contrary, female IM residents’ self-reported confidence was not predictive of career choice. To our knowledge, this is the first study showing this difference. One could speculate that reasons other than self-reported confidence may be more influential drivers of career choice for women. Prior data have shown that women more highly value long-term patient relationships, time for non-work activities, time with family, more stable work hours, and a more family/female friendly work environment.1,7 Interestingly, our survey responses showed no gender difference in desire for more time for family or desire for long-term patient relationships.
Regarding other potential reasons for difference in self-reported confidence by gender, we consider the following: Because procedural subspecialties have higher earning potential, a significant influencer on men, these residents may seek out procedures more frequently, resulting in more feedback, and therefore higher confidence.20 This is supported by recent literature showing that male residents perform higher numbers of procedures, though more data is needed to rule out selection and reporting bias.21 Another consideration is gender differences in response to feedback, leading to differences in confidence. This has been seen in the business literature, where women more quickly aligned their self-ratings with peers’ views, resulting in decreased confidence, compared with their male counterparts.22 Finally, gender difference in feedback, which has been documented in graduate medical education, is likely another contributing factor.23
It is important to note that higher self-reported confidence in residents may not correlate with a higher level of competence. Psychology literature describes the Dunning-Kruger effect, whereby individuals with poor insight into their abilities are associated with high self-reported confidence, despite low competence.18 Therefore, it cannot be assumed that male residents’ higher self-reported confidence correlates with level of competence. Similarly, it cannot be accurately inferred that higher proportions of men in IM procedural subspecialties is a reflection of a gender difference in competence in procedural skills. Our study was not designed to investigate the correlation between self-reported confidence and competence in participants.
Male residents reporting higher ratings of self-confidence than female residents, regardless of task, is consistent with prior literature13, and in our study, was observed in first-year residents. Therefore, it can be assumed that this divergence occurred prior to residency. The continued difference observed in subsequent years of training suggests one of two things: (1) factors contributing to this difference persisted in the training environments, and/or (2) factors that caused the gender difference prior to start of training, such as gender imprinting, have a legacy effect that persists over time, despite change in environment.
This study is limited by self-reporting confidence, without objective evaluation of skill or ability for correlation. However, self-reported confidence is a meaningful metric, given individual’s perception of social norms, perception of self, and perception of others.
Our data is incongruent with prior data on female residents’ factors affecting career choice. However, our study represents two large residency programs from different regions of the USA, with near equal representation of men and women, such that our findings may represent changing trends, particularly since our time frame of acquisition differs by over a decade.1,7 Additionally, our high study participation better powered the study yield, and the higher number of third-year residents increases the likelihood that indicated career choices are accurate.
Self-reporting is subject to both the respondents being either overly critical or self-inflating of their scores.22 Some of this deviation should be mitigated, as the residents’ responses were blinded to the research team and were only analyzed in aggregate, and these ratings had no bearing on resident evaluation and training.
The survey used has not been previously validated in another population; however, its validity is supported by its design based on the EPA domains set out by the AAMC, as accepted expectations for graduating IM residents. Additionally, despite the originality of survey design, the responses demonstrated anticipated gains in confidence with time spent in training, supporting survey design validity.
Our study was cross-sectional, limiting the ability to imply causality between factors. A qualitative approach in future work would provide depth, detail, and themes that were not obtainable in our original study design. Career choice was studied at the time of the survey, as opposed to ultimate career choice. This method of acquiring data from a single time point, and from three postgraduate year levels, recognizes that confidence changes over time and may influence career choice throughout. Had we limited data collection to ultimate career choice in senior residents, we would have limited our findings to higher levels of confidence found in these individuals, as observed in our data. A future direction could be to observe a cohort of trainees over time and to include their ultimate career choice. Our study also allowed for selection of only two gender identifiers (male and female), limiting the opportunity for residents to identify as any other self-determined gender. While this study is limited to IM residents, this brings up interesting questions of gender differences in confidence and subspecialty choice in all areas of GME. Further studies in other specialties are needed to determine if this finding crosses into other specialties, as well as into combined program residents such as IM-pediatrics and IM-psychiatry. One limitation of our study was the lack of data in the remaining approximately 20% of resident non-responders. However, our response rate was high compared with previously published studies1,11, and it was necessary to allow residents to opt out of the study for appropriate conduction of research. Finally, there were relatively fewer residents going into GIM, decreasing the power of this sub-group analysis, but our percentage of residents pursuing GIM is comparable to other residencies and prior published reports.24