INTRODUCTION

There is broad consensus with regard to the value and principles of primary care in the USA and around the world1,2,3,4,5 As expressed by Starfield,1 Bodenheimer et al.,2 and more recently, the Patient-Centered Primary Care Collaborative,6 primary care should be (1) person and family centered, (2) continuous, (3) comprehensive and equitable, (4) team based and collaborative, (5) coordinated and integrated, (6) accessible, and (7) of high value. Health system structures and processes needed to support these aims have also been identified, including meaningful use of information technology, population management, linkage with social services and community resources, and appropriate and adequate financing mechanisms.3,4,7,8,9

Team-based care is at the core of most strategies aimed at improving primary care.4,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15 Clinicians alone do not have the time and may not be best suited to meet all of the needs of their patients. A primary care team, with each member working collaboratively and performing to the full extent of their training, can more efficiently and effectively serve a practice’s patients. Researchers have identified a wide variety of elements necessary to form an effective team, including leadership and culture, team size, staffing ratios, workflow, and communication9,10,11,12 and called for expanded roles for nurses, medical assistants (MAs) and others on primary care teams.12,13,14 Though not yet definitive, early evidence, especially around patient-centered medical homes (PCMHs), shows that team-based approaches have positive impacts on patient and provider outcomes.15,16,17

However, there is relatively little data on team compositions in U.S. primary care practices besides the number of physicians per practice.18,19,20 Peikes et al. analyzed staffing patterns of 496 practices participating in the Comprehensive Primary Care initiative in 2012, reporting that 98% of them employed administrative staff, 89% employed MAs, 47% employed licensed practical nurses (LPNs), 36% employed registered nurses (RNs), and 24% employed care managers, with larger practices having more of these professionals.21 Patel et al. examined staffing requirements for practices transitioning to a PCMH by comparing available staffing data and staffing needs to fulfill PCMH functions, and concluded that, to be a successful PCMH, 4.25 full-time-equivalent (FTE) supporting staff members are needed per FTE physician.9 No study has attempted to examine optimal workforce configurations in relation to general primary care principles, quality of care, cost of care, or staff experience, due to the lack of data sources to support such examination.

Recognizing this gap and the current lack of empirical data, we combined quantitative and qualitative data with an iterative, deliberative, consensus-building process to develop optimal staffing configurations for four types of hypothetical primary care practices. The resulting workforce models and associated cost estimates are intended to provide reference points for discussion about primary care staffing and inform broader debates on primary care workforce and financing in the USA.

METHODS

We took a four-step process to develop each workforce configuration (see Online Appendix A for more details). First, we defined high-quality, comprehensive care and created a conceptual framework to guide the staffing modeling. Second, the definitions and framework were used to explicate the specific functions needed in a primary care practice. Third, we used a mix of qualitative and quantitative data, expert input, and a deliberative, consensus building process to translate the functions into the number and type of staff needed to care for a hypothetical patient panel. Fourth, the per-patient-per-month (PPPM) cost was estimated using existing data on labor and overhead costs.

Data Sources on Practice Staffing Configurations

We compiled staffing data for 73 primary care practices participating in five primary care innovation programs: (1) Robert Wood Johnson Foundation’s Learning from Effective Ambulatory Practices,11 (2) American Board of Internal Medicine Foundation’s Finding Joy in Primary Care,16 (3) Peterson Center’s America’s Most Valuable Primary Care, (4) University of California at San Francisco Center for Health Professions’ Innovative Workforce Models in Health Care, and (5) Agency for Health Research and Quality’s Transforming Primary Care grant initiative22 (see Online Appendix B for staffing statistics from the data). We conducted in-depth case studies of eight practices nominated by national experts, focusing on staffing characteristics related to one or more functions highlighted in the conceptual framework (Online Appendix C).

Workforce Model Development

After creating the conceptual framework,23 analyzing existing staffing data, and distilling the lessons from visits to eight exemplary practices,24 we began our staffing modeling for a practice serving a hypothetical panel of 10,000 actively managed adults. Recognizing the current inconsistencies in defining patient panels,8,25,26 we estimated the practice’s workload assuming that its patient panel was reflective of the national distribution of health conditions27 and every adult had at least one visit per year to the practice. We then estimated the type and number of FTE staff needed to perform each function identified in the conceptual framework. A steering committee composed of 19 national experts in primary care was consulted on the overall methodology, process, data, and intermediate and final estimates (Online Appendix D). Once the “index” model was established, we then modified it to create three additional workforce configurations for practices with patient panels with a higher concentration of older patients and chronic care needs, with higher behavioral health and social needs, and with locations in sparsely populated rural areas (with a smaller panel of 5000). Key characteristics of the four hypothetical patient panels are described in Online Appendix E.

Workforce Model Costing

We obtained salary data for physicians and other staff types in 2015 dollars from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)28 and used other sources29,30,31,32 to estimate salaries for occupations not captured by the BLS. We calculated the median salary for each occupation (shown in Online Appendix F), adjusted the salary cost by 30% to account for benefits,9,33 multiplied the adjusted salary by FTEs, and aggregated the salaries for all staff types to yield the total labor cost for a practice in a year. To account for differences in labor rates across the USA, costs were estimated based with low (25th percentile in the national distribution), medium, and high (75th percentile) salary rates. We used data from the Medical Group Management Association to estimate general operating and business operating costs for a primary care practice, including but not limited to rent, utilities, supplies, laboratory and phlebotomy personnel, and the non-clinical time of a medical director.34 These costs were added to the total labor costs to yield the total costs to run the practice for a year. Finally, total annual costs were divided by 12 months and by the panel size to obtain PPPM costs.

RESULTS

Primary Care Practice Staffing Configurations

Table 1 presents the proposed workforce configurations to provide high-quality, comprehensive primary care to four adult populations, listing staffing needs for each of the eight specific primary care practice functions, as well as administrative support and leadership for quality improvement. It should be noted that many staff member types (i.e., RN, MA, social worker) provide more than one essential function, and there are multiple ways an individual practice might fulfill the required functions. For example, the 0.5 RN FTE for population health management in the index model could be met wholly by a single nurse who also provides complex care management, or divided between two nurses who each also provides direct care and supervises MAs, or solely by a part-time nurse. The models recognize that team members may perform multiple functions while highlighting that it is critical to account for the staffing to accomplish each function, rather than focusing exclusively on team role. We highlight the salient points about each model below.

Table 1 Primary Care Team Configurations to Provide High-Quality, Comprehensive Primary Care

The Index Model

To provide high-quality, comprehensive primary care to 10,000 actively managed adults, a primary care practice would need about 37 staff members, including eight primary care professionals (PCPs) (i.e., six physicians and two NPs or PAs). These PCPs would be supported in providing clinical care by 1.5 team nurses and 9 MAs. The team would also include 2.5 RNs providing complex care management for patients with multiple chronic conditions and those newly diagnosed with serious acute or chronic illnesses. In this model, two behavioral health specialists offer scheduled appointments but primarily see patients at the PCPs’ request before, during, or after visits on a flexible basis. They offer brief assessments and interventions for patients with mental health, substance use, or behavioral health problems. One pharmacist provides medication therapy management, especially to those with multiple medications or new prescriptions. Referral management is performed by a MA and a trained lay person. While all direct care staff members are trained in self-management support techniques such as motivational interviewing, additional 1 MA and 0.5 RN are dedicated to this function.

High Geriatric Model

To manage 10,000 adults with a high percentage of older patients and those with multiple chronic conditions, a practice would need 52 staff members, including 12 PCPs. In comparison to the index model, the team needs more staff devoted to complex care management (3.5 versus 2.5 RNs), medication management (2.0 versus 1.0 pharmacy staff), and self-management support (2.5 versus 1.5 staff). Additional non-clinical staff would help with care coordination and the increased administrative needs of complex patients.

High Social Need Model

The model requires 50 staff members, including 10 PCPs. More behavioral health specialists (4.0 versus 1.5 for the index model) are needed, including a psychologist and substance use counselor. Two pharmacy staff (versus 1.0 in the index model) manage physical and behavioral health medications. Similar to the high geriatric model, 4.0 care coordinators are needed. In addition, 2.0 community health workers are needed to link patients with community resources (housing, social support, transportation, etc.) and perform outreach.

Rural Model

The patient panel of 5000 adults reflects the lower population density of a rural area. Despite the smaller patient panel, the model requires 22 staff members, including 4 PCPs, to meet the increased needs for care coordination and self-management support given more limited health and social services in rural communities. Additionally, one community health worker is added to conduct outreach to isolated patients and to maintain relationships with dispersed community resources. Recognizing the challenges of physician recruitment and retention in rural areas, this model utilizes equal numbers of physicians and NPs/PAs.

Costs Associated with Workforce Configurations

Table 2 presents the estimated labor and overhead costs associated with different configurations. The median PPPM costs range from $45 for the index model to $64 for the high geriatric model. The PPPM estimates calculated based on low, median, and high salary rates are presented in more details in Online Appendix G.

Table 2 Median Costs Associated with Four Types of Staff Configurations, in 2015 Dollars

DISCUSSION

In this study, we evaluated the staffing configurations and associated costs for four hypothetical primary care practices. Our results appear to be consistent with the only comparable previous findings by Patel et al.9 who determined that at a fully functional PCMH, a FTE physician needed 4.25 FTE supporting staff members as compared to a ratio of 3.6 FTE supporting team members in our index model and 4.0 FTE supporting team members in our high geriatric or social needs model. We have gone beyond the staffing ratio to configure the entire primary care team capable of providing comprehensive, high-quality primary care to a practice’s patient panel. While the models are presented as serving 10,000 active patients (5000 in the rural model), they are intended to be scalable. Scaling the models downward to practices with three or fewer clinicians demonstrates a current real-world challenge of smaller primary care practices—it can be difficult to secure part-time services of skilled team members such as pharmacists and behavioral health counselors. Potential solutions include forming groups with other small primary care practices to share services and contracting with community-based organizations.

Our goal with this study is to spur and inform conversation about the appropriate level of staffing and revenue needed for a practice to provide high-quality, comprehensive primary care in the USA. These models are not numerically precise and are not designed to dictate staffing standards. An individual practice in considering its own staffing composition will need to consider numerous external and internal factors, including the local availability of health care workers and the specific skills and preferences of the practice’s individual team members. Our estimates should be viewed, both in terms of their implications and limitations, in light of some key factors, discussed below.

Comprehensive Care

Primary care practices in the USA have limited the comprehensiveness of care they provide over the past decades, partially, if not entirely, driven by the incentives from the fee-for-service payment system.4 With reimbursements linked to face-to-face visits by primary care physicians (sometimes also including visits with NPs or PAs), primary care practices have become efficient in increasing the volume of office visits, often through increasing reliance on referrals to support the diagnosis and management of individual problems. This greatly increases the fragmentation of each individual patient’s care. The models presented here are built to allow a primary care practice to address the large majority of the needs of its patient panel. This more comprehensive approach includes both returning the breadth of care provided by primary care practices and the depth. It continues to recognize the appropriate use of sub-specialist services necessary to provide high-quality care, while allowing primary care practices to utilize sub-specialists as consultants rather than managers of care. These models also recognize that patient-centered primary care requires the team to provide care coordination and linkage to community resources, health education and self-management support, and care for common behavioral health needs, including both support for behavior change such as smoking cessation and care for basic mental health conditions including depression and anxiety.

Panel Size

The average primary care practice in the USA today utilizes a smaller team of professionals to care for a larger group of patients than recommended by these models.18,19,35,36 While commonly cited patient panel sizes are likely over-estimates due to inclusion of patients who are not seen by the practice and who are seen by multiple practices,8,25,26,36 the models presented here propose that in order to provide high-quality, comprehensive primary care, panel sizes need to be smaller and primary care teams larger and more diverse. Our index model, which proposes a patient panel for a primary care physician at 1333, is consistent with the recommendations of Altschuler et al.37 and the findings of Peikes et al. which found that 65.3% of the practices participated in the Comprehensive Primary Care initiative had a physician panel size below 1500 patients.21

Not surprisingly, larger teams providing comprehensive care for smaller numbers of patients cost more. The estimated costs of our index model practice of $45 PPPM is higher than what most health insurers currently pay for primary care services.38 Payers will need to financially support primary care practices if they are to sustainably maintain smaller panel sizes and comprehensive teams. However, providing high-quality, comprehensive primary care by expanded teams has the potential not only to improve patient health and experience but also to substantially offset expenditures in other parts of the larger health care system.15,17

Cost, Financing, and Payment for Primary Care

The US spent $9990 per capita for health care in 2015,39 and the portion of this spent on primary care was unclear. Goroll et al. estimated that primary care patient visits accounted for 6–7% of total health care spending for Medicare beneficiaries in 2007, and suggested that this percentage might be lower for the rest of the population.33 Bailit et al. estimated that primary care spending accounted for 7.7% total spending in preferred provider organizations plans and 8.6% for Health Maintenance Organizations in 2014.40 If one considers that 7% of $9990 per capita per year is spent on primary care (i.e., $58 PPPM), our estimates suggest that comprehensive primary care delivery is feasible without requiring substantial additional spending at the national level.

However, substantial changes in the payment system are needed. The visit-based, fee-for-service payment system does not incentivize the delivery of team-based, comprehensive primary care. To implement team configurations aimed at providing comprehensive primary care, the payment system must reward care coordination, outreach services, and population management.41

The Future Primary Care Workforce

Our models may also inform national discussions on broader primary care workforce issues. Many researchers have expressed concerns and proposed various solutions to the primary care workforce shortages in the USA.14,42,43,44,45,46 Our workforce models may provide fresh reference points with which to study the global demand and supply for PCPs and other health care professionals. For example, our estimates could be extrapolated to calculate the needed supply of MAs or RNs in order to provide high-quality, comprehensive primary care in the USA.

Limitations

There are important limitations in our methods. Foremost, our study is not based on empirical data; no data exist that allow identification of high-performing primary care practices and their respective team configurations. For this reason, we could not include confidence intervals for our staffing estimates. In addition, we had to make many assumptions on patient panel sizes and characteristics, many of which are debatable. The models do not account for the costs associated with transforming towards this model, including recruitment and training, which can be expected to be substantial. The models also do not account for primary care teams delivering care to hospitalized patients or patients in nursing homes. Future work should consider primary care workforce models that include different assumptions such as smaller practice sizes as well as the care of children, validate the models against real-world data, and explore approaches to achieving the ideal staffing configurations.

CONCLUSION

Our study explored staffing configurations and associated costs for primary care practices to provide high-quality, comprehensive care for four adult patient panels. While not numerically precise, our estimates can serve as guideposts on optimal primary care practice staffing and inform discussions on larger primary care issues such as primary care workforce planning and financing in the USA.