Supply of Healthcare Providers in Relation to County Socioeconomic and Health Status

INTRODUCTION

Non-physician clinicians now constitute nearly one-quarter of the US primary care workforce, and as such are expected to play a significant role in offsetting projected physician shortfalls.1^, 2 It has long been recognized that the per capita availability of physicians varies substantially across regions,3 and that physicians tend to locate in more affluent locales rather than areas of greatest need.4 Less is known about the practice location of non-physician clinicians and whether they exhibit similar patterns to those of physicians. Therefore, we examined the relationship of nurse practitioner and physician assistant supply with local socioeconomic and health status. As an example of a healthcare profession that operates outside the traditional medical system, 80% of whom operate as small business owners, we also examined the distribution of US chiropractors.

METHODS

To identify active providers, we linked providers listed in the 2014 National Plan and Provider Enumeration System to Medicare claims. Using practice location and specialty code, we identified the total number of adult primary care physicians (internal medicine, family medicine, and general practice), nurse practitioners, physician assistants, and chiropractors in each US county. Data on county characteristics were gathered from the 2010 US Census, and the presence of a hospital was identified using the Area Health Resource File. To control for the presence of training institutions, we geocoded US professional schools for these provider groups using data from school accreditation bodies. County-level life expectancy was used as a measure of regional health status5 and county-level median household income as a measure of socioeconomic status—both were collapsed into quartiles.

To examine the relationship of per capita supply of providers with county socioeconomic and health status level, Poisson regression was used, with the adult population as an offset to adjust for county differences.

RESULTS

We identified 272,105 primary care physicians, 63,615 nurse practitioners, 47,006 physician assistants, and 43,278 chiropractors who were actively providing care in 2014 (Table 1). The unadjusted rate of providers increased across levels of socioeconomic and health status for all providers except nurse practitioners.

Table 1 Median Rate of Primary Care Physicians, Nurse Practitioners, Physician Assistants, and Chiropractors According to County Socioeconomic and Health Status

Adjusted for county-level differences, the supply of primary care physicians increased across socioeconomic status (p-trend = 0.01). For instance, the number of primary care physicians was 31% higher in the highest income quartile than in the lowest (RR = 1.31 [95% CI: 1.15, 1.48]; Fig. 1). The distribution of physician assistants exhibited a pattern similar to that of primary care physicians. Supply of chiropractors was most strongly related to county socioeconomic and health status (p-trend <0.001 for both), whereas nurse practitioners were the only provider group to exhibit an inverse association between per capita supply and county socioeconomic and health status.

Figure 1

Adjusted rate ratios for the association between county characteristics and supply of (A) primary care physicians, (B) nurse practitioners, (C) physician assistants, and (D) chiropractors. Rate ratios adjusted for age (percentage ≥65 years), sex (percentage female), presence of a hospital, and presence of respective professional school located within county. ^aCounty socioeconomic status based on median household income (in $000s): quartile 1 (25–39), quartile 2 (39–45), quartile 3 (45–53), and quartile 4 (53–126). ^bCounty health status based on life expectancy (in years): quartile 1 (68–76), quartile 2 (76–79), quartile 3 (78–80), and quartile 4 (80–87)

DISCUSSION

To our knowledge, this study is the first to directly compare the relationship between provider supply and county socioeconomic and health status for this broad set of frontline US healthcare providers. Across all provider groups except nurse practitioners, we found a higher supply of providers in areas of higher income and better health status. Chiropractor supply was most strongly associated with these factors.

There is an extensive body of literature on the value of having access to primary care.6 The supply of other providers who might substitute for physicians has important implications for policies aimed at improving access. This study shows that nurse practitioners, who unlike physician assistants can practice independently in many states, are more likely to be located in areas of lower socioeconomic and health status than are physicians. Alternative providers such as chiropractors are least likely to locate in these higher-need areas. Policies for enhancing access to care for underserved communities should incorporate incentives to encourage providers to locate in areas of greatest need.