Acta Seismologica Sinica

, Volume 21, Issue 2, pp 202–212 | Cite as

Seismic hazard estimation based on the distributed seismicity in northern China

  • Yong Yang (杨勇)Email author
  • Bao-ping Shi (史保平)
  • Liang Sun (孙亮)


In this paper, we have proposed an alternative seismic hazard modeling by using distributed seismicites. The distributed seismicity model does not need delineation of seismic source zones, and simplify the methodology of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Based on the devastating earthquake catalogue, we established three seismicity model, derived the distribution of a-value in northern China by using Gaussian smoothing function, and calculated peak ground acceleration distributions for this area with 2%, 5% and 10% probability of exceedance in a 50-year period by using three attenuation models, respectively. In general, the peak ground motion distribution patterns are consistent with current seismic hazard map of China, but in some specific seismic zones which include Shanxi Province and Shijiazhuang areas, our results indicated a little bit higher peak ground motions and zonation characters which are in agreement with seismicity distribution patterns in these areas. The hazard curves have been developed for Beijing, Tianjin, Taiyuan, Tangshan, and Ji’nan, the metropolitan cities in the northern China. The results showed that Tangshan, Taiyuan, Beijing has a higher seismic hazard than that of other cities mentioned above.

Key words

distributed seismicity Gaussian smoothed function seismic hazard estimation northern China peak ground acceleration 

CLC number



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Copyright information

© Seismological Society of China and Springer-Verlag GmbH 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  • Yong Yang (杨勇)
    • 1
    Email author
  • Bao-ping Shi (史保平)
    • 2
  • Liang Sun (孙亮)
    • 1
    • 3
  1. 1.Institute of GeophysicsChina Earthquake AdministrationBeijingChina
  2. 2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina
  3. 3.Earthquake Adiministration of Huairou DistrictBeijingChina

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