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Range Shifts Under Constant-Speed and Accelerated Climate Warming

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Abstract

Many species are experiencing range shifts as the climate warms. Earlier models have considered moving-habitat scenarios where the shift speed of the moving habitat is either constant or fluctuates around a constant speed. This paper considers scenarios where the shifting speed may either be constant or accelerated. In addition to population persistence, the paper also analyzes the range-shift deficit, which is a lag in the spatial distribution of the population. Another highlight of the results is an analytic formula for a population persistence metric in a particular example, which adds to existing analytic formulas about this persistence metric in the literature.

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Acknowledgements

This manuscript includes ideas that originated in the Ph.D. thesis of the author, but have been improved and generalized to a large extent since the submission of the thesis. The author wishes to thank all the reviewers for their constructive feedback.

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  1. Department of Mathematics, Lafayette College, Easton, USA

    Ying Zhou

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  1. Ying Zhou
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Correspondence to Ying Zhou.

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Zhou, Y. Range Shifts Under Constant-Speed and Accelerated Climate Warming. Bull Math Biol 84, 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-021-00963-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-021-00963-8

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