Abstract
The outputs of a national economy can be partitioned into three sets of products: tangible goods (due to manufacturing, construction, extraction and agriculture), intangible services (due to an act of useful effort), and an integration of services and goods or, as initially defined by Tien (2012), servgoods. Actually, these products can also be considered in terms of their relation to the first three Industrial Revolutions: the First Industrial Revolution (circa 1800) was primarily focused on the production of goods; the Second Industrial Revolution (circa 1900) was primarily focused on the mass production of goods; and the Third Industrial Revolution (circa 2000) has been primarily focused on the mass customization of goods, services or servgoods. In this follow-up paper, the Third Industrial Revolution of mass customization continues to accelerate in its evolution and, in many respects, is subsuming the earlier Industrial Revolutions of production and mass production. More importantly, with the advent of real-time decision making, artificial intelligence, Internet of Things, mobile networks, and other advanced digital technologies, customization has been extensively enabled, thereby advancing mass customization into a Fourth Industrial Revolution of real-time customization. Moreover, the moral, ethical, security and employment problems associated with both mass and real-time customization must be carefully assessed and mitigated, especially in regard to unintended consequences. Looking ahead and with the advance of artificial general intelligence, this Fourth Industrial Revolution could be forthcoming in about the middle of the 21st Century; it would allow for multiple activities to be simultaneously tackled in real-time and in a customized manner.
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James M. Tien received the BEE from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) and the SM, EE and PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has held leadership positions at Bell Telephone Laboratories, Rand Corporation, and Structured Decisions Corporation. He joined the Department of Electrical, Computer and Systems Engineering at RPI in 1977, became Acting Chair of the department, joined a unique interdisciplinary Department of Decision Sciences and Engineering Systems as its founding Chair, and twice served as the Acting Dean of Engineering. In 2007, he joined the University of Miami (UM) as its Dean of Engineering; he stepped down from the Dean's position in 2015 and remains a Distinguished Professor. He has been awarded the IEEE Joseph G. Wohl Outstanding Career Award, the IEEE Major Educational Innovation Award, the IEEE Norbert Wiener Award, and the IBM Faculty Award. Recently, he was appointed the Faculty Om-budsperson at UM; additionally, he was elected the Foreign Secretary of the prestigious U. S. National Academy of Engineering.
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Tien, J.M. Toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution on Real-Time Customization. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 29, 127–142 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-019-5433-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-019-5433-9